Essays on Monetary Policy and Financial Markets

Essays on Monetary Policy and Financial Markets

Author: Matteo Leombroni

Publisher:

Published: 2023

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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This thesis studies the interaction of monetary policy and financial markets. The thesis examines the impact of monetary policy shocks on the cross-section of bond prices (e.g., government and corporate bonds). It also analyzes how monetary policy interacts with the portfolios of financial intermediaries and households. In the first chapter, Heterogeneous Intermediaries and Bond Characteristics in the Transmission of Monetary Policy, together Federic Holm-Hadulla, we study the transmission of monetary policy to the corporate bond market. We show that corporate bond purchases by the central bank give rise to credit spread shocks, whereas government bond purchases mainly cause term spread shocks. The yields of bonds held by different intermediaries respond heterogeneously to the two shocks because intermediaries systematically select different types of bonds. We explain these findings through the lens of a model of the fixed-income market with multiple risk factors. Insurance companies and pension funds select into assets with high interest-rate risk exposure to match their long-duration liabilities. The mutual fund sector instead absorbs securities that carry credit risk. Different policy tools affect the market prices of risk factors differentially, thereby redistributing risks across intermediary sectors and ultimately across the households investing in them. In the second chapter, Central Bank Communication and the Yield Curve, with Andrea Vedolin, Gyuri Venter, and Paul Whelan, we study the interaction between monetary policy and sovereign bonds in the Euro area. We argue that monetary policy in the form of central bank communication can shape long-term interest rates by changing risk premia. Using high-frequency movements of default-free rates and equity, we show that monetary policy communications by the ECB on regular announcement days led to a significant yield spread between peripheral and core countries during the European sovereign debt crisis by increasing credit risk premia. We also show that central bank communication has a powerful impact on the yield curve outside of regular monetary policy days. In the third chapter, Household Portfolios, Monetary Policy, and Asset Prices, together with Ciaran Rogers, we examine the role of the household portfolio rebalancing channel for the aggregate and redistributive effects of monetary policy. The transmission of monetary policy works not only through regular income and substitution motives but also through an endogenous portfolio rebalancing effect that generates changes in equilibrium asset prices and a subsequent wealth effect on consumption.


The Theory of Money and Financial Institutions

The Theory of Money and Financial Institutions

Author: Martin Shubik

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 472

ISBN-13: 9780262693110

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This first volume in a three-volume exposition of Shubik's vision of "mathematical institutional economics" explores a one-period approach to economic exchange with money, debt, and bankruptcy. This is the first volume in a three-volume exposition of Martin Shubik's vision of "mathematical institutional economics"--a term he coined in 1959 to describe the theoretical underpinnings needed for the construction of an economic dynamics. The goal is to develop a process-oriented theory of money and financial institutions that reconciles micro- and macroeconomics, using as a prime tool the theory of games in strategic and extensive form. The approach involves a search for minimal financial institutions that appear as a logical, technological, and institutional necessity, as part of the "rules of the game." Money and financial institutions are assumed to be the basic elements of the network that transmits the sociopolitical imperatives to the economy. Volume 1 deals with a one-period approach to economic exchange with money, debt, and bankruptcy. Volume 2 explores the new economic features that arise when we consider multi-period finite and infinite horizon economies. Volume 3 will consider the specific role of financial institutions and government, and formulate the economic financial control problem linking micro- and macroeconomics.


Three Essays on International Economics and Finance

Three Essays on International Economics and Finance

Author: Juan Antonio Montecino

Publisher:

Published: 2017

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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This dissertation studies the macroeconomic and social impacts of two increasingly common macroeconomic policies: restrictions on international capital mobility -- capital controls -- and so-called unconventional monetary policy -- often referred to as "quantitative easing." The consensus view is that capital controls can effectively lengthen the maturity composition of capital inflows and increase the independence of monetary policy but are not generally effective at reducing net inflows and influencing the real exchange rate. The first essay presents empirical evidence that although capital controls may not directly affect the long-run equilibrium level of the real exchange rate, they may enable disequilibria to persist for an extended period of time relative to the absence of controls. Allowing the speed of adjustment to vary according to the intensity of restrictions on capital flows, it is shown that the real exchange rate converges to its long-run level at significantly slower rates in countries with capital controls. The second essay studies the social welfare implications of capital controls when controls are imperfectly binding and financial markets actively aim to bypass regulation. I consider a series of models of a small open economy featuring a "Dutch disease" externality arising from excessive capital inflows, as well as strategic interactions between a regulatory authority attempting to enforce capital controls and a financial sector attempting to evade them. The models suggest that capital controls, by internalizing externalities associated with capital inflows, can improve welfare relative to a "laissez-faire" benchmark even when these are imperfectly binding. The third and final essay uses data from the Federal Reserve's Tri-Annual Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) to study the distributional impacts of quantitative easing in the U.S. since the 2008-9 financial crisis. I decompose the change in the distribution of income into three key impact channels of QE policy: 1) the employment channel 2) the asset appreciation and return channel, and 3) the mortgage refinancing channel. The results suggest that while employment changes and mortgage refinancing were equalizing, these impacts were nonetheless swamped by the large dis-equalizing effects of asset appreciations.