Demand Forecasting for Executives and Professionals

Demand Forecasting for Executives and Professionals

Author: Stephan Kolassa

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2023-09-29

Total Pages: 269

ISBN-13: 100095899X

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This book surveys what executives who make decisions based on forecasts and professionals responsible for forecasts should know about forecasting. It discusses how individuals and firms should think about forecasting and guidelines for good practices. It introduces readers to the subject of time series, presents basic and advanced forecasting models, from exponential smoothing across ARIMA to modern Machine Learning methods, and examines human judgment's role in interpreting numbers and identifying forecasting errors and how it should be integrated into organizations. This is a great book to start learning about forecasting if you are new to the area or have some preliminary exposure to forecasting. Whether you are a practitioner, either in a role managing a forecasting team or at operationally involved in demand planning, a software designer, a student or an academic teaching business analytics, operational research, or operations management courses, the book can inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. No prior knowledge of higher mathematics, statistics, operations research, or forecasting is assumed in this book. It is designed to serve as a first introduction to the non-expert who needs to be familiar with the broad outlines of forecasting without specializing in it. This may include a manager overseeing a forecasting group, or a student enrolled in an MBA program, an executive education course, or programs not specialising in analytics. Worked examples accompany the key formulae to show how they can be implemented. Key Features: While there are many books about forecasting technique, very few are published targeting managers. This book fills that gap. It provides the right balance between explaining the importance of demand forecasting and providing enough information to allow a busy manager to read a book and learn something that can be directly used in practice. It provides key takeaways that will help managers to make difference in their companies.


To Err Is Human

To Err Is Human

Author: Institute of Medicine

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2000-03-01

Total Pages: 312

ISBN-13: 0309068371

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Experts estimate that as many as 98,000 people die in any given year from medical errors that occur in hospitals. That's more than die from motor vehicle accidents, breast cancer, or AIDSâ€"three causes that receive far more public attention. Indeed, more people die annually from medication errors than from workplace injuries. Add the financial cost to the human tragedy, and medical error easily rises to the top ranks of urgent, widespread public problems. To Err Is Human breaks the silence that has surrounded medical errors and their consequenceâ€"but not by pointing fingers at caring health care professionals who make honest mistakes. After all, to err is human. Instead, this book sets forth a national agendaâ€"with state and local implicationsâ€"for reducing medical errors and improving patient safety through the design of a safer health system. This volume reveals the often startling statistics of medical error and the disparity between the incidence of error and public perception of it, given many patients' expectations that the medical profession always performs perfectly. A careful examination is made of how the surrounding forces of legislation, regulation, and market activity influence the quality of care provided by health care organizations and then looks at their handling of medical mistakes. Using a detailed case study, the book reviews the current understanding of why these mistakes happen. A key theme is that legitimate liability concerns discourage reporting of errorsâ€"which begs the question, "How can we learn from our mistakes?" Balancing regulatory versus market-based initiatives and public versus private efforts, the Institute of Medicine presents wide-ranging recommendations for improving patient safety, in the areas of leadership, improved data collection and analysis, and development of effective systems at the level of direct patient care. To Err Is Human asserts that the problem is not bad people in health careâ€"it is that good people are working in bad systems that need to be made safer. Comprehensive and straightforward, this book offers a clear prescription for raising the level of patient safety in American health care. It also explains how patients themselves can influence the quality of care that they receive once they check into the hospital. This book will be vitally important to federal, state, and local health policy makers and regulators, health professional licensing officials, hospital administrators, medical educators and students, health caregivers, health journalists, patient advocatesâ€"as well as patients themselves. First in a series of publications from the Quality of Health Care in America, a project initiated by the Institute of Medicine


Doctors' Errors and Mistakes of Medicine

Doctors' Errors and Mistakes of Medicine

Author: Moshe Wolman

Publisher: IOS Press

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 166

ISBN-13: 9781586034030

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During the last decades, healthcare in the various industrialized countries has been deteriorating steadily. The enormous progress of medicine in the same period could only partly compensate for the loss. This book describes the deterioration of healthcare that increases continually. It analyses its causes and outlines the measures that might prevent or at least slow the change. The deterioration of healthcare, variable in different fields, progressing at different paces in the various industrialized countries, is produced mainly by two types of causes. Minor ones, resulting from lack of knowledge, or by inadequate equipment or procedures, can be corrected by relatively simple means, such as education and technical or procedural improvements. The major causes for the deterioration involve general policy whose effects are the steady decrease in monitoring health care and the change of healthcare into profit-seeking service. The data collected and its analysis is based on over 300 articles in major medical and nursing journals. It has three parts: part 1 deals with individual doctors' errors, part 2 with errors of the medical establishment, and part 3 is devoted to more theoretical a


The Integrated Practitioner

The Integrated Practitioner

Author: Justin Amery

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2024-09-06

Total Pages: 842

ISBN-13: 149879548X

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This extraordinary new series fills a void in practitioner development and well-being. The books take a reflective step back from the tick-box, target-driven and increasingly regulated world of 21st century health practice; and invite us to revisit what health and health practice actually are. Building carefully on the science and philosophy of health, each book addresses the messy, complex and often chaotic world of real-life health practice and offers an ancient but now almost revolutionary understanding for students and experienced practitioners alike: that health practice is a fundamentally creative and compassionate activity. Integrating Everything Turning Tyrants into Tools in Health Practice Co-creating in Health Practice Surviving and Thriving in Health Practice Food for Thought


Figuring It Out

Figuring It Out

Author: Charles D. Ellis

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2022-07-28

Total Pages: 300

ISBN-13: 111989896X

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An indispensable collection of essays from one of the investment world’s leading lights In Figuring It Out: Answers to the Most Difficult Investment Questions, world-renowned investing and finance guru Charles D. Ellis delivers a robust collection of incisive essays on an array of perennial and contemporary investing issues, from the rise and fall of performance investing to a compilation of essential investing guidelines. In the book, you’ll also find eye-opening discussions of: Whether bonds are an appropriate investment vehicle for long-term investors The costs of excessive liquidity in the typical portfolio The characteristics of successful investment firms, and how to spot them A can’t-miss resource for the everyday retail investor, author Charles Ellis draws on a lifetime of distinguished client service in the financial markets to reward readers with common-sense and accessible advice that deserves to be followed by anyone with an interest in maximizing their investment returns over the long haul.


Research in Counseling

Research in Counseling

Author: C. Edward Watkins, Jr.

Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Published: 2024-06-03

Total Pages: 338

ISBN-13: 1040052320

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Research coursework has long been a recognized component of counselor preparation programs. Originally published in 1991, this groundbreaking book was designed to provide graduate students with an introduction to different types of counseling research (e.g., outcomes, processes, interventions), the variables and issues of relevance to know about in regard to research, and information about implementing research. Whenever possible, the text utilizes a real-world, practical approach showing the reader how to engage in various forms of counseling research inquiry. It is divided into three sections which cover the foundations of, approaches to, and issues and innovations in this realm of study. Other areas explored include philosophy of science, ethics, and the computer and counseling research. Written by experts in the field, the chapters offer a comprehensive, thorough analysis that can have implications for theory building, model building, and counseling practice.


Problem Doctors

Problem Doctors

Author: Peter Lens

Publisher: IOS Press

Published: 1997

Total Pages: 288

ISBN-13: 9789051992878

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The problem of malfunctioning doctors is internationally recognised. Estimates in different countries of the number of disfunctioning doctors are around 5little literature on problem doctors. This book is about understanding problem doctors and helping the profession find better ways to help them and protect the public, the patients. It describes the following questions: Which definitions of malfunctioning are being used? What is the nature of malfunctioning and to what extend does it occur? Are there any data about the incident or prevalence of problem doctors? What kind of regulations exist to deal with malfunctioning doctors and which solutions to tackle the problem have been found? How is or how could malfunctioning doctors be prevented? The first part of the book explores themes like the doctor as iatrogenic factor, the damage doctors may cause, the incompetent physician behind closed doors, the impaired physician, sexual contact between doctors and patients, and fraud and misconduct in medical science. The second part gives an overview of the problem doctor in different countries around the world and of the informal mechanisms used to cope with this problem. Part three covers the measures during the university training to prevent doctors from malfunctioning. How can we select better doctors in the future? And if every thing fails, is outplacement possible?


Practitioner’s Guide to Symptom Base Rates in Clinical Neuropsychology

Practitioner’s Guide to Symptom Base Rates in Clinical Neuropsychology

Author: Robert J. McCaffrey

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 549

ISBN-13: 1461500796

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This volume serves as an aid in the process of differential diagnosis which frequently confronts neuropsychologists. The guide is a compendium of information of the base rates of symptoms across a variety of disorders which neuropsychologists encounter. In addition to serving as a convenient source of information on symptom base rates, this volume also contains detailed cross referencing of symptoms across disorders. It is intended for use by clinical neuropsychologists and psychologists.


Introduction to Radiologic and Imaging Sciences and Patient Care - E-Book

Introduction to Radiologic and Imaging Sciences and Patient Care - E-Book

Author: Arlene M. Adler

Publisher: Elsevier Health Sciences

Published: 2015-01-01

Total Pages: 434

ISBN-13: 032331600X

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Learn the professional and patient care skills you need for clinical practice! Using a clear and concise format, Introduction to Radiologic Sciences and Patient Care, 6th Edition meets the standards set by the American Society of Radiologic Technologists (ASRT) Curriculum Guide and the American Registry of Radiologic Technologists (ARRT) Task List for certification examinations. Updates on current digital imaging and instrumentation provide you with the important information you need for clinical success. Chapter review questions and lab activities available online and on tear sheets in the text give you easy access to on-the-go learning. Step-by-step procedures presented in boxed lists throughout the text ensure you are well prepared for clinical success. More than 300 photos and line drawings help you understand and visualize patient-care procedures. Back of book review questions provide you with an opportunity for review and greater challenge. NEW and UPDATED! Updates on current digital imaging and instrumentation give you the important information you need for clinical success. NEW! Patient care video clips illustrate how to care for patients of any age. NEW! Chapter review questions and lab activities available online and as tear sheets in the text offer easy access to on-the-go chapter review and lab activities. NEW and UPDATED! Appendices containing practice standards, professional organizations, state licensing agencies, the ARRT code of ethics and patient care partnership prepare you for what you will encounter in the practice environment.