The Pre-election Polls of 1948
Author: Frederick Mosteller
Publisher:
Published: 1949
Total Pages: 424
ISBN-13:
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The Pre-election Polls of 1948; Report to the Committee on Analysis of Pre-election Polls and Forecasts
Author: Frederick 1916- Mosteller
Publisher: Hassell Street Press
Published: 2021-09-10
Total Pages: 420
ISBN-13: 9781014909879
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. To ensure a quality reading experience, this work has been proofread and republished using a format that seamlessly blends the original graphical elements with text in an easy-to-read typeface. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
The Pre-election Polls of 1948; Report to the Committee on Analysis of Pre-election Polls and Forecasts
Author: Frederick 1916- Mosteller
Publisher: Hassell Street Press
Published: 2021-09-09
Total Pages: 420
ISBN-13: 9781014157232
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. To ensure a quality reading experience, this work has been proofread and republished using a format that seamlessly blends the original graphical elements with text in an easy-to-read typeface. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Pathways to Polling
Author: Amy Fried
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2013-03-01
Total Pages: 219
ISBN-13: 1136711694
DOWNLOAD EBOOKIn midcentury America, the public opinion polling enterprise faced a crisis of legitimacy. Every major polling firm predicted a win for Thomas Dewey over Harry Truman in the 1948 presidential election—and of course they all got it wrong. This failure generated considerable criticisms of polling and pollsters were forced to defend their craft, the quantitative analysis of public sentiment. Pathways to Polling argues that early political pollsters, market researchers, and academic and government survey researchers were entrepreneurial figures who interacted through a broad network that was critical to the growth of public opinion enterprises. This network helped polling pioneers gain and maintain concrete, financial support to further their discrete operations. After the Truman-Dewey debacle, such links helped political polling survive when it could have just as easily been totally discredited. Amy Fried demonstrates how interactions between ideas, organizations, and institutions produced changes in the technological, political, and organizational paths of public opinion polling, notably affecting later developments and practice. Public opinion enterprises have changed a good deal, in the intervening half century, even as today’s approaches have been deeply imprinted by these early efforts.
Lost in a Gallup
Author: W. Joseph Campbell
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Published: 2024-02-20
Total Pages: 366
ISBN-13: 0520397827
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
Report to Federal Statistical Agencies
Author: United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division
Publisher:
Published: 1948
Total Pages: 662
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKPolls and the Awareness of Public Opinion
Author: Leo Bogart
Publisher: Transaction Publishers
Published:
Total Pages: 308
ISBN-13: 9781412831505
DOWNLOAD EBOOKHow well can polls measure public opinion? Should government policies follow majority opinion? Do polls influence elections? Can there be polls under a dictatorship? Recent elections throughout the world have made these issues ever more crucial. "Polls and the Awareness of Public Opinion, "initially published under the title "Silent Politics, "is the first book to look upon polls and the awareness of poll results as forces that influence public opinion. It is a penetrating assessment of the uses of polls, their misuses, and the absurdities carried out in their name. Bogart argues that predictions based on polls can be misleading since they reflect a transient stage in a public opinion that is constantly and often rapidly changing.
The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media
Author: Robert Y. Shapiro
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Published: 2013-05-23
Total Pages: 804
ISBN-13: 0199673020
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWith engaging new contributions from the major figures in the fields of the media and public opinion The Oxford Handbook of American Public Opinion and the Media is a key point of reference for anyone working in American politics today.
Opinion Polls and the Media
Author: C. Holtz-Bacha
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2012-04-05
Total Pages: 368
ISBN-13: 0230374956
DOWNLOAD EBOOKOpinion Polls and the Media provides the most comprehensive analysis to date on the relationship between the media, opinion polls, and public opinion. Looking at the extent to which the media, through their use of opinion polls, both reflect and shape public opinion, it brings together a team of leading scholars and analyzes theoretical and methodological approaches to the media and their use of opinion polls. The contributors explore how the media use opinion polls in a range of countries across the world, and analyze the effects and uses of opinion polls by the public as well as political actors.
Polling at a Crossroads
Author: Michael A. Bailey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2024-03-07
Total Pages: 291
ISBN-13: 1108688306
DOWNLOAD EBOOKPublic opinion polling is in crisis. People aren't responding to polls and misses in critical elections have undermined the field's credibility. Polling at a Crossroads points a way forward by presenting an intuitive new paradigm that confronts the full spectrum of challenges facing modern polling.
