The Debate Over Stabilization Policy

The Debate Over Stabilization Policy

Author: Franco Modigliani

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1986-09-18

Total Pages: 294

ISBN-13: 0521267900

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This 1986 book examines some of the main issues that have characterized macroeconomics: the debate between 'monetarists' and 'Keynesians'; the response to demand shocks and supply shocks, by which the monetary authorities control aggregrate nominal income and the use and relevance of the money supply as a target; and the consumption function and the determinants of wealth. It shows that Keynesian stabilization policies succeeded in reducing instability due to demand shocks dramatically, but that no aggregrate demand policy can stabilize both price and employment simultaneously after a supply shock. However, by assigning an overall 'social cost' to (excess) unemployment and (initially) unexpected inflation, an optimism path can be derived. In looking at the consumption function and determinants of wealth the empirical evidence is shown to be most consistent with the life-cycle hypothesis. A concluding section is devoted to the impact on private and national society of the 'social security revolution'.


The Effects of Forward-Versus Backward-Looking Wage Indexation on Price Stabilization Programs

The Effects of Forward-Versus Backward-Looking Wage Indexation on Price Stabilization Programs

Author: Joe Crowley

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1997-04

Total Pages: 40

ISBN-13:

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A standard open-economy model is used to show that price stabilization programs are more likely to succeed if labor contracts specify forward-looking wage indexation. Compared with contracts specifying backward-looking wage indexation or wages based on static expectations, such contracts will result in a greater reduction in inflation with lower output costs, smaller misalignment of real wages, smaller outflows of reserves, smaller disruptions caused by policy announcements, and a reduced impact of some shocks during price stabilization programs. These results are generally true whether or not capital is mobile and whether or not expectations are rational.