The Long-Run Relationship Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials

The Long-Run Relationship Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials

Author: Mr.Jun Nagayasu

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1999-03-01

Total Pages: 13

ISBN-13: 1451845553

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This paper empirically examines the long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials over the recent floating exchange rate period, using a panel cointegration method, with data for a set of industrialized countries. The paper finds evidence of statistically significant long-run relationships and plausible point estimates, which contrasts with much existing evidence. The failure of others to establish such relationships may reflect the estimation method they use rather than any inherent deficiency of the fundamentals-based models.


The Long-Run Relationship between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials

The Long-Run Relationship between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials

Author: Ronald MacDonald

Publisher:

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 12

ISBN-13:

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This paper empirically examines the long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials over the recent floating exchange rate period, using a panel cointegration method, with data for a set of industrialized countries. The paper finds evidence of statistically significant long-run relationships and plausible point estimates, which contrasts with much existing evidence. The failure of others to establish such relationships may reflect the estimation method they use rather than any inherent deficiency of the fundamentals-based models.


IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 1

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 1

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2000-01-01

Total Pages: 168

ISBN-13: 1451974582

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This paper discusses the origins of the pyramid schemes and the way the authorities handled them. The paper analyzes the economic effects of the pyramid schemes, concluding that despite the descent into anarchy triggered by the schemes’ collapse, their direct effects on the economy are difficult to specify and appear to have been limited. The paper also argues that prevention of pyramid schemes is better than cure and that government and international financial institutions should be vigilant in clamping down on frauds.


Handbook of International Economics

Handbook of International Economics

Author: R.W. Jones

Publisher: North Holland

Published: 1984

Total Pages: 654

ISBN-13:

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Textbook, research papers on international economic theory, economic policy and practice - includes a literature survey of theoretical studies in trade relations; covers evolution of economic models explaining the determinants of trade structure, capital flow, labour mobility, trade in natural resources, etc.; examines macroeconomics aspects of balance of payments, exchange rate, international monetary system, economic relations and dependence, etc. Bibliography, graphs, statistical tables.


IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1999-01-01

Total Pages: 148

ISBN-13: 1451974205

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This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One model provides forecasts that are somewhat informative though still not reliable. Plausible modifications to this model improve its performance, providing some hope that future models may do better. The study suggests, though, that although forecasting models may help indicate vulnerability to crises, the predictive power of even the best of them may be limited.


Equilibrium Exchange Rates

Equilibrium Exchange Rates

Author: Ronald MacDonald

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 1999-07-31

Total Pages: 364

ISBN-13: 9780792384243

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How successful is PPP, and its extension in the monetary model, as a measure of the equilibrium exchange rate? What are the determinants and dynamics of equilibrium real exchange rates? How can misalignments be measured, and what are their causes? What are the effects of specific policies upon the equilibrium exchange rate? The answers to these questions are important to academic theorists, policymakers, international bankers and investment fund managers. This volume encompasses all of the competing views of equilibrium exchange rate determination, from PPP, through other reduced form models, to the macroeconomic balance approach. This volume is essentially empirical: what do we know about exchange rates? The different econometric and theoretical approaches taken by the various authors in this volume lead to mutually consistent conclusions. This consistency gives us confidence that significant progress has been made in understanding what are the fundamental determinants of exchange rates and what are the forces operating to bring them back in line with the fundamentals.


IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2001-10-10

Total Pages: 140

ISBN-13: 1451973748

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This paper provides an overview of the recent theoretical and empirical research on herd behavior in financial markets. It looks at what precisely is meant by herding, the causes of herd behavior, the success of existing studies in identifying the phenomenon, and the effect that herding has on financial markets. The paper also surveys a selected number of studies that evaluated the demand for money using the error-correction model approach in the 1990s across a range of industrial and developing countries.


The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets

The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets

Author: Jeffrey A. Frankel

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2009-05-15

Total Pages: 358

ISBN-13: 0226260232

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The foreign exchange market is the largest, fastest-growing financial market in the world. Yet conventional macroeconomic approaches do not explain why people trade foreign exchange. At the same time, they fail to explain the short-run determinants of the exchange rate. These nine innovative essays use a microstructure approach to analyze the workings of the foreign exchange market, with special emphasis on institutional aspects and the actual behavior of market participants. They examine the volume of transactions, heterogeneity of traders, the time of day and location of trading, the bid-ask spread, and the high level of exchange rate volatility that has puzzled many observers. They also consider the structure of the market, including such issues as nontransparency, asymmetric information, liquidity trading, the use of automated brokers, the relationship between spot and derivative markets, and the importance of systemic risk in the market. This timely volume will be essential reading for anyone interested in the economics of international finance.


Studies In East Asian Economies: Capital Flows, Exchange Rates And Monetary Policy

Studies In East Asian Economies: Capital Flows, Exchange Rates And Monetary Policy

Author: Jagdish Handa

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2011-07-29

Total Pages: 284

ISBN-13: 9814462128

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This book includes three economic/econometric studies on four East Asian countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand) and two studies on China. The four East Asian economies, designated at one time as ‘economic tigers’, provide important and interesting case studies on periods of very rapid growth with heavy capital inflows, followed by financial and economic crises. The three studies on these countries examine the impact of heavy capital inflows on growth, real exchange rates and the conduct of domestic monetary policy during the period 1970-96, which immediately preceded their financial crises of 1997-98. At a more general level, they shed light on the contributions that capital inflows make to small open economies and how these inflows impact on their exchange rates and monetary policies.The two studies on China examine the adequacy of capital flows to it and its monetary policies. In recent years, while China has been among the biggest recipients of capital inflows, our study on it finds that these inflows are still considerably short of the amounts that perfect capital flows would imply. Regarding China's pursuit of monetary policy, our study is the first one to question whether interest rates or monetary aggregates are appropriate instruments for the control of the economy. Our finding is that its large informal sector and black money holdings make the use of monetary aggregates the more appropriate policy instrument. This finding contrasts with the usual one for financially developed economies that interest rate targeting and a Taylor rule provide the applicable monetary policy framework.