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Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Published: 2003-03-20
Total Pages: 130
ISBN-13: 9264177442
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis handbook is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, which ask company managers about the current situation of their business and about their plans and expectations for the future.
Author: Georg Goldrian
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Published: 2007-01-01
Total Pages: 272
ISBN-13: 9781781954362
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis Handbook aims to provide an overview of regular survey activities, as well as to show how survey results can be used scientifically in the context of business-cycle analysis and forecasting. - Examples of various business surveys are described in detail, starting with their objectives, the questions they pose, how they are weighted and extrapolated and the representativeness of their results. A detailed scientific examination of the explanatory value of the data is also made in order to demonstrate their potential usefulness. The Handbook has three parts: firstly, it presents the importance of business surveys for empirical research. Secondly, selected surveys are introduced in detail such as the Ifo Business Survey and the Ifo Investment Survey, and thirdly, a broad spectrum of studies on the consequence of the survey results is presented. The significance of the surveys applied equally to business cycle analysis and to forecasting. An array of modern methods of time series analysis and econometric model construction is used in these investigations.
Author:
Publisher:
Published: 2011
Total Pages: 478
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Jan-Egbert Sturm
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2006-03-30
Total Pages: 232
ISBN-13: 3790816051
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA pilot ?ying to a distant city needs to check his position, ?ight path and weather conditions, and must constantly keep his plane under control to land safely.TheIfosurveydataprovideadvanceinformationonchangingeconomic weather conditions and help keep the economy under control. To be sure, by their very nature they only provide short-term information. But like a plane, the economy will not be able to reach its long-term goals if it strays o? course in the short term. The Ifo survey data provide the most comprehensive and accurate, - to-date database in Europe on the state of the business cycle, and the Ifo climate indicator, sometimes simply called “The Ifo”, is the most frequently cited indicator of its kind in Europe. Both the European stock market and theeuroreacttoourindicator.Ifo’smethodologyfordeterminingthebusiness climateindicatorhasbeenexportedtomorethan?ftycountries,mostrecently toTurkeyandChina.TheIfopeoplewereproudtohavebeenaskedtohelpset up polling systems in these countries. It is said that the Chinese government relies more on their “Ifo indicator” than on their o?cial accounting statistics.
Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher:
Published: 1997
Total Pages: 314
ISBN-13: 9781859724361
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe pressure to produce explanations and forecasts and the economic dichotomies which insist on appearing, lead to a desire to deal with the description, analysis and forecast of the phenomenon of business cycles using economic indicators. This text provides an introduction to business cycles and their theoretical and historical basis. It also includes work on early indicator research and provides examples of business cycle indicators.
Author: Kirsten Ralf
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2012-12-06
Total Pages: 242
ISBN-13: 3642517420
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWhen writing the preface the main work has been done. What remains is thanking all those people who directly or indirectly contributed to the out come. My thanks go to my family and friends for their encouragement towards the completion of this book. Among the academic profession, I would like to thank Prof. Dr. Dr. Harald Scherf, my academic teacher, first. During the years at Hamburg University I benefitted especially from his profound knowledge of Keynesian theory. His way of examining an argument in an unbiased way helped me a lot to carry out the reseach I wanted to do. His confidence enabled me to finish the work. A part of the book was written while I was a visiting fellow at DELTA, Paris, where I am particularly indebted to Roger Guesnerie. I have benefitted from his encouragement, advice, and gentle criticism during discussions and seminars, especially on the topic of the time structure of economic dynamics. I would like to acknowledge the hospitality and stimulating atmosphere at DELTA. Different versions of the manuscript, or parts of it have been read by Prof. Dr. Manfred Holler, Dr. Jorg Bibow and Dr. Gabriele Kasten. Their comments and suggestions were quite helpul and are gratefully acknowledged. Additionally, I have to thank Prof. Dr. M. Funke and Prof. Dr. V. Timmer mann.
Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2019-01-04
Total Pages: 629
ISBN-13: 0429796668
DOWNLOAD EBOOKFirst published in 1998, this wide-ranging and in-depth volume from specialists in economics and statistics examines leading indicators, the timing of cyclical turning points, firm behaviour, financial indicators, economic policy recommendations, transition economies and the service sector in relation to Finland’s bid for European Monetary Union membership.
Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenlander
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2018-02-06
Total Pages: 591
ISBN-13: 1351752006
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis title was first published in 2000: This text offers a comprehensive collection of selected papers from the 24th Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET) conference. Areas selected include leading indicators and turning points, classifications of business cycles, survey data and policy decisions, attitudes and behaviour of firms, and economic forecasting. The text aims to be of interest to all those concerned with the use of business and consumer surveys in a global context.
Author: Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher: Ashgate Publishing
Published: 1992
Total Pages: 492
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis is the second part of a work on business cycle analysis through economic surveys. It examines the stability of leading indicators, the measurement of innovation activities by surveys, consumer surveys, the impact of inflation on business behaviour and new survey activities.
Author: United Nations Publications
Publisher:
Published: 2017-03-15
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9789211616040
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe Handbook on Economic Tendency Surveys provides best practices and harmonized principles on how to conduct economic tendency survey from sample selection, questionnaire design, survey questions, survey execution, to data processing and dissemination. It also provides examples of uses of these surveys, for example, for composite tendency indicators. These surveys provide qualitative information that cannot be collected using other quantitative statistical methods. They also serve as an integral part of an early warning system because they provide information about the occurrence and timing of upturns and downturns of the economy.
