The causality relationship between money supply, inflation and Real GDP
The causality relationship between money supply, inflation and Real GDP

Author: Moges Endalamaw Yigermal

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2018-03-08

Total Pages: 23

ISBN-13: 3668655979

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Case Study from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, , language: English, abstract: Since the main objective of the paper is to test the existence of causality relationship between the three macroeconomic variables, namely real GDP, price level (CPI) and M2 money supply (MS), analysis has been made there by employing 40 years of data (data from 1975-2014). VAR Granger causality test has been made to verify the objective of the paper. The VAR Granger causality test result suggesting the existence of strong and significant correlation between the three variable s pairwise. The direction of causation is found to be a uni- directional causation between money supply and inflation, real GDP and Money supply and between real GDP and inflation and the causation runs from money supply to inflation, real GDP to Money supply and real GDP to inflation respectively. From the causation we observed that money supply has relationship with level of price and economic growth (real GDP). Basically targeting monetary expansion has a multiple role to boost economic growth and control the level of inflation.

Fiscal Deficits and Inflation
Fiscal Deficits and Inflation

Author: Mr.Luis Catão

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2003-04-01

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13: 1451848706

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Macroeconomic theory postulates that fiscal deficits cause inflation. Yet empirical research has had limited success in uncovering this relationship. This paper reexamines the issue in light of broader data and a new modeling approach that incorporates two key features of the theory. Unlike previous studies, we model inflation as nonlinearly related to fiscal deficits through the inflation tax base and estimate this relationship as intrinsically dynamic, using panel techniques that explicitly distinguish between short- and long-run effects of fiscal deficits. Results spanning 107 countries over 1960-2001 show a strong positive association between deficits and inflation among high-inflation and developing country groups, but not among low-inflation advanced economies.

Money, Prices and the Real Economy
Money, Prices and the Real Economy

Author: Geoffrey Wood

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published:

Total Pages: 136

ISBN-13: 9781781959244

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This book sets out, in straightforward, accessible terms, crucial aspects of monetary economics. It opens with an exposition of the fundamental question of what money is and what it does. Distinguished contributors then examine the key role of price stability and how to achieve it. Core issues addressed include: an examination of the long run effect of money on prices an analysis of the complex and variable relationship between money and fluctuations in the real economy an investigation of inflation and its dangerous consequences an analysis of the effect of regulation on the stability of financial systems in developed and developing countries the relationship between the money supply regime and economic performance the effect of monetary fluctuations on the interest rate the choice of targets for monetary policy. This book will be extremely useful to practising economists, students and scholars of financial and monetary economics.

General Theory Of Employment , Interest And Money
General Theory Of Employment , Interest And Money

Author: John Maynard Keynes

Publisher: Atlantic Publishers & Dist

Published: 2016-04

Total Pages: 410

ISBN-13: 9788126905911

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John Maynard Keynes is the great British economist of the twentieth century whose hugely influential work The General Theory of Employment, Interest and * is undoubtedly the century's most important book on economics--strongly influencing economic theory and practice, particularly with regard to the role of government in stimulating and regulating a nation's economic life. Keynes's work has undergone significant revaluation in recent years, and "Keynesian" views which have been widely defended for so long are now perceived as at odds with Keynes's own thinking. Recent scholarship and research has demonstrated considerable rivalry and controversy concerning the proper interpretation of Keynes's works, such that recourse to the original text is all the more important. Although considered by a few critics that the sentence structures of the book are quite incomprehensible and almost unbearable to read, the book is an essential reading for all those who desire a basic education in economics. The key to understanding Keynes is the notion that at particular times in the business cycle, an economy can become over-productive (or under-consumptive) and thus, a vicious spiral is begun that results in massive layoffs and cuts in production as businesses attempt to equilibrate aggregate supply and demand. Thus, full employment is only one of many or multiple macro equilibria. If an economy reaches an underemployment equilibrium, something is necessary to boost or stimulate demand to produce full employment. This something could be business investment but because of the logic and individualist nature of investment decisions, it is unlikely to rapidly restore full employment. Keynes logically seizes upon the public budget and government expenditures as the quickest way to restore full employment. Borrowing the * to finance the deficit from private households and businesses is a quick, direct way to restore full employment while at the same time, redirecting or siphoning

An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique
An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2021-05-06

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13: 1513573691

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Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount importance for policy-makers in developed and emerging economies. This paper estimates the exchange rate passthrough in Mozambique using econometric techniques on a sample spanning from 2001 to 2019. Results suggest that the ERPT is assymetric, sizable and fast, with 50 percent of the exchange rate variations passing through to prices in less than six months. Policy-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for the ERPT to decline.

Working with Microfit 4.0
Working with Microfit 4.0

Author: M. Hashem Pesaran

Publisher:

Published: 1997

Total Pages: 505

ISBN-13: 9780192685315

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For the econometric analysis of time series data, Microfit is an unrivalled package. It is an interactive, menu driven program with a host of facilities for estimating and testing equations, forecasting, data processing, file management and graphic display. The accompanying manual, Working with Microfit 4 contains detailed reviews of the underlying econometric and computing methods, 76 tutorial lessons using more than 25 different data sets, and original time series data used by Cobb-Douglas, A.W.Phillips and Almon.

The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited
The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited

Author: Helge Berger

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2008-07

Total Pages: 66

ISBN-13:

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Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete picture of the economy. However, treating monetary factors as a separate matter is a second-best solution. Instead, a general-equilibrium inspired analytical framework that merges the economic and monetary "pillars" of the ECB's policy strategy appears the most promising way forward. The role played by monetary aggregates in such unified framework may be rather limited. However, an integrated framework would facilitate the presentation of policy decisions by providing a clearer narrative of the relative role of money in the interaction with other economic and financial sector variables, including asset prices, and their impact on consumer prices.

Horizontalists and Verticalists
Horizontalists and Verticalists

Author: Basil J. Moore

Publisher:

Published: 1988

Total Pages: 420

ISBN-13: 9780521350792

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Challenging the validity of much of mainstream macroeconomics, Basil Moore argues that the money supply in modern economies is not under the control of central banks, but rather is determined by borrower demand for bank credit. He then explores the implications of this perception for conventional macroeconomic theory. Mainstream analysis takes the view that central banks have it in their power to initiate exogenous changes in the nominal supply of money. In contrast to this "verticalist" view, this book contends that the supply of credit money is endogenous, and responds to changes in the demand for bank credit. This new "horizontalist" view holds that cental banks have the ability to set the supply price of money through short term interest rates, but not the quantity of money. Concluding that a new macroeconomic paradigm must be developed, Moore attempts to initiate the larger task of theory reconstruction that lies ahead.

Money and Credit in Capitalist Economies
Money and Credit in Capitalist Economies

Author: L. Randall Wray

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published: 1990

Total Pages: 360

ISBN-13:

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This widely acclaimed book argues that money is not the product of a simple deposit multiplier process. The impressive analysis includes discussions of the origins and nature of money and of the evolution of monetary institutions and theory. Unlike other recent works on 'endogenous money', this book incorporates liquidity preference theory within the analysis by carefully distinguishing money from liquidity and by showing how money, but not liquidity, is created on demand. This naturally leads to a role for liquidity preference in the determination of interest rates. Extensions then link money to financial instability, the expenditure multiplier, credit, saving, investment, development, deficits and growth. This controversial and provocative book will be essential reading for all economists and researchers concerned with monetary and macroeconomics. It will have particular appeal to post Keynesian economists.

New Directions in Econometric Practice
New Directions in Econometric Practice

Author: Wojciech Charemza

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published: 1997

Total Pages: 364

ISBN-13:

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This work on econometrics offers an analysis of econometric practice, encompassing recent modelling methodology and PC-GIVE. It is intended for advanced undergraduates and graduate students.