The Accuracy of Simple Enlisted Force Forecasts
The Accuracy of Simple Enlisted Force Forecasts

Author: David Waltz Grissmer

Publisher:

Published: 1985

Total Pages: 88

ISBN-13:

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This Note presents and analysis of the historical accuracy with which enlisted force manpower strengths can be forecast using simple and widely used modeling assumptions. The accuracy of one-, three-, and five-year forecasts is presented for enlisted personnel groups from all four military services for fiscal years 1971 through 1980. Estimating the accuracy of forecasts and analyzing the pattern of errors allow an assessment of the need for more sophisticated techniques, help in developing a strategy for disaggregating enlisted groups when forecasting, and form a basis for the design of an improved enlisted forecasting system. The author finds that the models tested provide reasonably accurate short-term forecasts of the level and structure of enlisted personnel strength. However, long-term forecasts show very large errors for certain enlisted groups. The error pattern, which is stable across the services, shows a distinct structure when estimated by year of service. Keywords: Enlisted personnel; Forecasting; Mathematical models.

The Noncommissioned Officer and Petty Officer
The Noncommissioned Officer and Petty Officer

Author: Department of Defense

Publisher:

Published: 2020-02-10

Total Pages: 178

ISBN-13:

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The Noncommissioned Officer and Petty Officer BACKBONE of the Armed Forces. Introduction The Backbone of the Armed Forces To be a member of the United States Armed Forces--to wear the uniform of the Nation and the stripes, chevrons, or anchors of the military Services--is to continue a legacy of service, honor, and patriotism that transcends generations. Answering the call to serve is to join the long line of selfless patriots who make up the Profession of Arms. This profession does not belong solely to the United States. It stretches across borders and time to encompass a culture of service, expertise, and, in most cases, patriotism. Today, the Nation's young men and women voluntarily take an oath to support and defend the Constitution of the United States and fall into formation with other proud and determined individuals who have answered the call to defend freedom. This splendid legacy, forged in crisis and enriched during times of peace, is deeply rooted in a time-tested warrior ethos. It is inspired by the notion of contributing to something larger, deeper, and more profound than one's own self. Notice: This is a printed Paperback version of the "The Noncommissioned Officer and Petty Officer BACKBONE of the Armed Forces". Full version, All Chapters included. This publication is available (Electronic version) in the official website of the National Defense University (NDU). This document is properly formatted and printed as a perfect sized copy 6x9".

Heirpower!
Heirpower!

Author: Bob Vasquez

Publisher: Military Bookshop

Published: 2008-06

Total Pages: 90

ISBN-13: 9781780399652

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"So you're 22 years old, you've just gotten your commission, you've arrived at your first duty station, you've met with your commander, and you're now 'in charge' of a group of enlisted men and women, all of whom have been in service longer than you, know a whole lot more about military life than you, and are expecting more than you know. To top it all off, your first 'subordinate' happens to be a 30-year veteran of every war you ever read about, and his rank is, yes, E-9. He's not an E-10 only because that rank doesn't exist. Now what do you do? Let me tell you. . . ." In Heirpower! Eight Basic Habits of Exceptionally Powerful Lieutenants, CMSgt Bob Vásquez, an Air Force veteran of more than 30 years, now serving as director of a freshman seminar at the US Air Force Academy's Center for Character Development, shares the views of the enlisted force in a powerful, humorous, anecdotal way that will educate and entertain you. Bob's eight habits will empower you to become an Exceptionally Powerful Lieutenant!

Strengthening U.S. Air Force Human Capital Management
Strengthening U.S. Air Force Human Capital Management

Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2021-03-02

Total Pages: 289

ISBN-13: 0309678684

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The USAir Force human capital management (HCM) system is not easily defined or mapped. It affects virtually every part of the Air Force because workforce policies, procedures, and processes impact all offices and organizations that include Airmen and responsibilities and relationships change regularly. To ensure the readiness of Airmen to fulfill the mission of the Air Force, strategic approaches are developed and issued through guidance and actions of the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Manpower, Personnel and Services and the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Manpower and Reserve Affairs. Strengthening US Air Force Human Capital Management assesses and strengthens the various U.S. Air Force initiatives and programs working to improve person-job match and human capital management in coordinated support of optimal mission capability. This report considers the opportunities and challenges associated with related interests and needs across the USAF HCM system as a whole, and makes recommendations to inform improvements to USAF personnel selection and classification and other critical system components across career trajectories. Strengthening US Air Force Human Capital Management offers the Air Force a strategic approach, across a connected HCM system, to develop 21st century human capital capabilities essential for the success of 21st century Airmen.

The Reserve Force Policy Screening Models (POSM)
The Reserve Force Policy Screening Models (POSM)

Author: Jennifer H. Kawata

Publisher:

Published: 1989

Total Pages: 166

ISBN-13:

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This report is a user's manual for the Reserve Force Policy Screening Models (POSM), which consist of 48 separate models. Eight separate models for each of the six reserve components include three officer and three enlisted models covering military technicians, full-time personnel, and part-time personnel; a fourth pair contains an aggregate of all three types of personnel. Each personnel inventory projection model incorporates behavioral and nonbehavioral options for projecting force sizes into the future. The models incorporate personnel flow into and out of the force, among the different personnel groups (full-time, military technician, and part-time), and into different year-of-service groups. They can project 14 years or more into the future, using assumptions about end strength or accession levels. The models were built to support a wide range of decisions concerning reserve pay, bonus budgets, recruiting resources, and issues of reserve force growth.

Rand
Rand

Author: Rand Corporation

Publisher:

Published: 1985

Total Pages: 164

ISBN-13:

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