Tests of Conditional Asset Pricing Models on Finnish Stock Return Data Using Latent Variables
Author: Mats Hansson
Publisher:
Published: 1996
Total Pages: 15
ISBN-13: 9789515554925
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Author: Mats Hansson
Publisher:
Published: 1996
Total Pages: 15
ISBN-13: 9789515554925
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Mika Vaihekoski
Publisher:
Published: 1997
Total Pages: 129
ISBN-13: 9789515555250
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Published: 1995
Total Pages: 44
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Stuart Hyde
Publisher:
Published: 2017
Total Pages:
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWe investigate the relationship between consumption and the term structure using U.K. interest rate data. We demonstrate that the term structure contains information about future economic activity as implied by the benchmark time separable power utility consumption based capital asset pricing model (C-CAPM) since the yield spread has forecasting power for future consumption growth. Further, we analyze the ability of this benchmark and two alternative models which adopt utility functions characterized by non-separability, namely, the extension to the habit formation model of Campbell and Cochrane (1999) proposed by Wachter (2006) and the housing C-CAPM proposed by Piazzesi et al. (2007). Our findings are supportive of the habit formation specification of Wachter (2006), other models fail to yield economically plausible parameter values.
Author: Todd Prono
Publisher:
Published: 2015
Total Pages: 48
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA new model misspecification measure for linear asset pricing models is proposed. The origins of this measure are in Shanken (1987) and Kandel and Stambaugh (1985, 1995), where it is argued that the true market return is inherently latent and, as a consequence, only ever partially observed. Tests of asset pricing models that rely on the market return as a risk factor and are based, by necessity, on an observable proxy to this factor are then misspecified. The proposed misspecification measure, which assigns an upper bound to the correlation between the true market return and the observable proxy return used to conduct the test, can be estimated entirely and directly from observable data. This measure is suited both for testing models that include the market return as a pricing factor in a traditional sense (i.e., determining whether the given model does or does not price a collection of risky assets) and ranking those models (i.e., gauging which model performs the best). The measure is used to price portfolios reflecting the size, value, and momentum premiums. While neither the conditional CAPM nor the ICAPM is shown to offer any improvement over the simple CAPM, all three models are shown to perform materially better under the proposed measure, with improvements in model fit of as much as 45%. Also, it is discovered that winner stocks in a momentum portfolio may have higher market betas than loser stocks.
Author: Andreas Schrimpf
Publisher:
Published: 2008
Total Pages: 45
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWe study the performance of conditional asset pricing models in explaining the German cross-section of stock returns. Our test assets are portfolios sorted by size and book-to-market as in the paper by Fama and French (1993). Our results show that the empirical performance of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) can be improved substantially when allowing for time-varying parameters of the stochastic discount factor. A conditional CAPM with the term spread as a conditioning variable is able to explain the cross-section of German stock returns about as well as the Fama-French model. Structural break tests do not indicate parameter instability of the model - whereas the reverse is found for the Fama-French model. Unconditional model specifications however do a better job than conditional ones at capturing time-series predictability of the test portfolio returns.
Author: Antonis Demos
Publisher:
Published: 2016
Total Pages: 35
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis article applies a conditionally heteroskedastic asset pricing model to describe the time variation in the first and second moments of asset returns in an interdependent way in the emerging capital market of Greece. Depending on the observability of the factors and under the chosen parameterization it is possible to derive tests to address economically important questions that the models impose on the risk-return relationship. We apply the derived tests on the nine sectorial portfolios and the value weighted index of the Athens Stock Exchange, over the period 1985-1997. The evidence from the unconditional and conditional CAPM, with the Value Weighted Index as a benchmark portfolio, suggests the inefficiency of the Index. On the other hand, the dynamic latent factor model, considered here, describes sectorial returns in a much better way. However, there is still a shadow of doubt on the hypothesis that the price of risk is common across assets.
Author: Thanh Huynh
Publisher:
Published: 2017
Total Pages: 43
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis paper tests conditional asset pricing models in international markets on value, momentum, and the COMBO anomaly of Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) (AMP). We find that incorporating instruments to capture the time variation in risk exposure can significantly reduce the bias in unconditional alpha documented in recent international studies. Particularly, employing the instrumental variables regression approach of Boguth, Carlson, Fisher, and Simutin (2011) to estimate the conditional Fama-French model can successfully explain returns on COMBO portfolios in North America, Europe, Japan, and the global market. Furthermore, instrumenting the global Fama-French model with lagged component betas can reduce the unconditional AMP's 50-50 COMBO alpha by 11%-72%, pointing to the efficacy of this instrumental variable in international markets. Our findings have important implications for international asset pricing theory.
Author: Mika Vaihekoski
Publisher:
Published: 1999
Total Pages: 161
ISBN-13: 9789515555984
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Campbell R. Harvey
Publisher:
Published: 2005
Total Pages: 36
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis paper proposes tests of asset pricing models that allow for time variation in conditional covariances. The evidence indicates that the conditional covariances do change through time. Estimates of the expected excess return on the market divided by the variance of the market (reward-to-risk ratio) are presented for the Sharpe-Lintner CAPM, as well as a number of tests of the model specification. The patterns of the pricing errors through time suggest the model's inability to capture the dynamic behavior of asset returns. This is the working paper version of my 1989 Journal of Financial Economics article.