The Improbability Principle

The Improbability Principle

Author: David J. Hand

Publisher: Scientific American / Farrar, Straus and Giroux

Published: 2014-02-11

Total Pages: 289

ISBN-13: 0374711399

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In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand argues that extraordinarily rare events are anything but. In fact, they're commonplace. Not only that, we should all expect to experience a miracle roughly once every month. But Hand is no believer in superstitions, prophecies, or the paranormal. His definition of "miracle" is thoroughly rational. No mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why someone is lucky enough to win the lottery twice, or is destined to be hit by lightning three times and still survive. All we need, Hand argues, is a firm grounding in a powerful set of laws: the laws of inevitability, of truly large numbers, of selection, of the probability lever, and of near enough. Together, these constitute Hand's groundbreaking Improbability Principle. And together, they explain why we should not be so surprised to bump into a friend in a foreign country, or to come across the same unfamiliar word four times in one day. Hand wrestles with seemingly less explicable questions as well: what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) twice. Along the way, he teaches us how to use the Improbability Principle in our own lives—including how to cash in at a casino and how to recognize when a medicine is truly effective. An irresistible adventure into the laws behind "chance" moments and a trusty guide for understanding the world and universe we live in, The Improbability Principle will transform how you think about serendipity and luck, whether it's in the world of business and finance or you're merely sitting in your backyard, tossing a ball into the air and wondering where it will land.


Pink House Living

Pink House Living

Author: Emily Murray

Publisher: Ryland Peters & Small

Published: 2019-03-19

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781788790840

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Pink has become the hottest color in interiors. Quartz Pink was the Pantone color of 2016 and since then the hue has gone from strength to strength, playing a starring role at the 2018 Milan Design Week. "From advertising to design and fashion, millennial pink has taken popular culture by storm, and it isn't going anywhere" House & Garden Pink House Living is a beautiful, practical guide to decorating with pink by Emily Murray of the award-winning The Pink House blog. Emily draws on her recent interiors projects to guide the reader through their own rose-tinted renovations and includes case studies on well-known interiors experts that reveal their use of pink, their go-to paint shades and where they glean "pinkspiration". Pink House Living is not about decorating your home in pink from rooftop to rugs, but a look at how the color can be used alongside other hues—sometimes sparingly, sometimes in spades. Divided up by room, the book uses the color pink and its history as a starting point from which to discuss the decorating process. Readers will be entertained by Emily’s interiors insights and witty turn of phrase while gaining invaluable advice on adding pink—and color in general—to their homes.


Modern Huntsman

Modern Huntsman

Author: Tyler Sharp

Publisher:

Published: 2018-02

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9780999763803

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By design, Volume One is of an introductory nature, which will help lay the foundation for the path ahead, and explain a bit more about where we're going. Our contributor list includes Charles Post (Guest Editor), Chris Douglas (Guest Editor), Jillian Lukiwski, John Dunaway, Eamon Waddington, Travis Gillett, Camrin Dengel, Kaleb White, Tanner Johnson, Nicole Belke and Dusan & Lorca Smetana, Adam Foss as well as stories from our Creative Director, Tyler Sharp, and a column from Simon Roosevelt.


The Accidental Tourist

The Accidental Tourist

Author: Anne Tyler

Publisher: Vintage

Published: 2007-12-18

Total Pages: 354

ISBN-13: 0307416836

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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • From the beloved Pulitzer Prize–winning author—an irresistible novel exploring the slippery alchemy of attracting opposites, and the struggle to rebuild one’s life after unspeakable tragedy Travel writer Macon Leary hates travel, adventure, surprises, and anything outside of his routine. Immobilized by grief, Macon is becoming increasingly prickly and alone, anchored by his solitude and an unwillingness to compromise his creature comforts. Then he meets Muriel, an eccentric dog trainer too optimistic to let Macon disappear into himself. Despite Macon’s best efforts to remain insulated, Muriel up-ends his solitary, systemized life, catapulting him into the center of a messy, beautiful love story he never imagined. A fresh and timeless tale of unexpected bliss, The Accidental Tourist showcases Tyler’s talents for making characters—and their relationships—feel both real and magical. “Incandescent, heartbreaking, exhilarating…One cannot reasonably expect fiction to be much better than this.” —The Washington Post


The Brightest Star in the Sky

The Brightest Star in the Sky

Author: Marian Keyes

Publisher: National Geographic Books

Published: 2019-09-24

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 140594109X

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*** CONGRATULATIONS TO THE BRITISH BOOK AWARDS AUTHOR OF THE YEAR 2022*** Delve into the lives, loves and hopes of the residents of Star Street, and the mysterious visitor waiting to emerge from the shadows in the No. 1 bestseller from author of Grown Ups 'Gripping from the start . . . the master at her best' DAILY TELEGRAPH ________ 'June the first, a bright summer's evening, a Monday . . .' And into the busy, bustling homes at 66 Star Street slips, unseen, a mysterious visitor. As the couples, flatmates and repentant singletons of No. 66 fall in and out of love, clutch at and drop secrets, laugh, cry and simply try to live, no one suspects the visitor patiently waiting in the wings. For soon, as the light slowly fades to dark, everything is going to change . . . ________ 'Our very favourite Keyes novel yet' Heat 'An expert storyteller who can make you roar with laughter one minute then sob into your pillow the next' Lorraine Kelly 'Zips along with engaging characters, fabulous plotting and spot-on dialogue. Marian Keyes: what a genius' Daily Mail 'A magical tale of love, loss, laughter and secrets' Marie Claire


Jikoni

Jikoni

Author: Ravinder Bhogal

Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing

Published: 2020-07-09

Total Pages: 519

ISBN-13: 1526622920

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Jikoni means 'kitchen' in Kiswahili, a word that perfectly captures Ravinder Bhogal's approach to food. Ravinder was born in Kenya to Indian parents; when she moved to London as a child, the cooking of her new home collided with a heritage that crossed continents. What materialised was a playful approach to the world's larder, and Ravinder's recipes do indeed have a rebellious soul. They are lawless concoctions that draw their influences from one tradition and then another – Cauliflower Popcorn with Black Vinegar Dipping Sauce; Spicy Aubergine Salad with Peanuts, Herbs and Jaggery Fox Nuts; Skate with Lime Pickle Brown Butter; Tempura Samphire and Nori; Lamb and Aubergine Fatteh; or utterly irresistible Banana Cake accompanied by Miso Butterscotch and Ovaltine Kulfi. These proudly inauthentic recipes are what you might loosely call 'immigrant cuisine', with evocative stories from a past that illustrates the powerful relationship between food, people, place and identity. The tastes and smells of this brazen new world are sophisticated, welcoming, fresh, exciting and bold.


The Red House

The Red House

Author: Mark Haddon

Publisher: Vintage

Published: 2012-06-12

Total Pages: 255

ISBN-13: 0385535856

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From Mark Haddon, the bestselling author of The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time, comes a dazzlingly inventive novel about modern family life. Richard, a wealthy doctor, invites his estranged sister and her family to join his family for a week at a vacation home in the English countryside. Against the backdrop of a strange family gathering, Haddon skillfully weaves together the stories of eight very different people forced into close quarters. The Red House is a symphony of long-held grudges, fading dreams and rising hopes, tightly guarded secrets and illicit desires, painting a portrait of contemporary family life that is at once bittersweet, comic, and deeply felt.


The Ultimate Cake Mix Cookie Book

The Ultimate Cake Mix Cookie Book

Author: Camilla Saulsbury

Publisher: Sourcebooks, Inc.

Published: 2011-10-01

Total Pages: 330

ISBN-13: 1402261896

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Transform your pantry staples into fast, easy, and delectable desserts! The age-old delight of homemade cookies just got easier. With The Ultimate Cake Mix Cookie Book, you'll find that the secret to some of the tastiest, and most irresistible desserts imaginable is a convenient box of cake mix. With a few extra ingredients, turns of a spoon, and whirs of a mixer, you'll have spectacular homemade cookies without the hassle. This mouthwatering collection features more than 375 drop, filled, and bar cookie options prefect for busy bakers. From all-American classics to European bakery temptations, these recipes include: Chocolate Chip Cookies Oatmeal Cookies Triple-chocolate gooey bars Strawberry-cheesecake thumbprint cookies And many more! The Ultimate Cake Mix Cookie Book is a wealth of delicious, shortcut dessert options for parents, novice bakers, and anyone else with a sweet tooth who's short on time. Praise for The Ultimate Cake Mix Cookie Book: "If you love cookies, this book is for you. If you like short-cut recipes, this book is for you. If you're searching for a particular cookie recipe, bet you'll find it here. It's true—this is the ultimate cookie book!"—Reader Review


Watching the English

Watching the English

Author: Kate Fox

Publisher: Nicholas Brealey

Published: 2014-07-08

Total Pages: 455

ISBN-13: 1857889177

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Updated, with new research and over 100 revisions Ten years later, they're still talking about the weather! Kate Fox, the social anthropologist who put the quirks and hidden conditions of the English under a microscope, is back with more biting insights about the nature of Englishness. This updated and revised edition of Watching the English - which over the last decade has become the unofficial guidebook to the English national character - features new and fresh insights on the unwritten rules and foibles of "squaddies," bikers, horse-riders, and more. Fox revisits a strange and fascinating culture, governed by complex sets of unspoken rules and bizarre codes of behavior. She demystifies the peculiar cultural rules that baffle us: the rules of weather-speak. The ironic-gnome rule. The reflex apology rule. The paranoid pantomime rule. Class anxiety tests. The roots of English self-mockery and many more. An international bestseller, Watching the English is a biting, affectionate, insightful and often hilarious look at the English and their society.


The Investment Checklist

The Investment Checklist

Author: Michael Shearn

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2011-09-20

Total Pages: 391

ISBN-13: 1118149459

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A practical guide to making more informed investment decisions Investors often buy or sell stocks too quickly. When you base your purchase decisions on isolated facts and don't take the time to thoroughly understand the businesses you are buying, stock-price swings and third-party opinion can lead to costly investment mistakes. Your decision making at this point becomes dangerous because it is dominated by emotions. The Investment Checklist has been designed to help you develop an in-depth research process, from generating and researching investment ideas to assessing the quality of a business and its management team. The purpose of The Investment Checklist is to help you implement a principled investing strategy through a series of checklists. In it, a thorough and comprehensive research process is made simpler through the use of straightforward checklists that will allow you to identify quality investment opportunities. Each chapter contains detailed demonstrations of how and where to find the information necessary to answer fundamental questions about investment opportunities. Real-world examples of how investment managers and CEOs apply these universal principles are also included and help bring the concepts to life. These checklists will help you consider a fuller range of possibilities in your investment strategy, enhance your ability to value your investments by giving you a holistic view of the business and each of its moving parts, identify the risks you are taking, and much more. Offers valuable insights into one of the most important aspects of successful investing, in-depth research Written in an accessible style that allows aspiring investors to easily understand and apply the concepts covered Discusses how to think through your investment decisions more carefully With The Investment Checklist, you'll quickly be able to ascertain how well you understand your investments by the questions you are able to answer, or not answer, without making the costly mistakes that usually hinder other investors.