The Timeline of Presidential Elections
The Timeline of Presidential Elections

Author: Robert S. Erikson

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2012-08-24

Total Pages: 221

ISBN-13: 0226922162

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.

Why Americans Split Their Tickets
Why Americans Split Their Tickets

Author: Barry C. Burden

Publisher: University of Michigan Press

Published: 2002-11-22

Total Pages: 216

ISBN-13: 0472112864

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Why do some voters split their ballots, selecting a Republican for one office and a Democrat for another? Why do voters often choose one party to control the White House while the other controls the Congress? Barry Burden and David Kimball address these fundamental puzzles of American elections by explaining the causes of divided government and debunking the myth that voters prefer the division of power over one-party control. Why Americans Split Their Tickets links recent declines in ticket-splitting to sharpening policy differences between parties and demonstrates why candidates' ideological positions still matter in American elections. "Burden and Kimball have given us the most careful and thorough analysis of split-ticket voting yet. It won't settle all of the arguments about the origins of ticket splitting and divided government, but these arguments will now be much better informed. Why Americans Split Their Tickets is essential reading for anyone interested in understanding the major trends in U.S. electoral politics of the past several decades." -Gary Jacobson, University of California, San Diego "When voters split their tickets or produce divided government, it is common to attribute the outcome as a strategic verdict or a demand for partisan balance. Burden and Kimball strongly challenge such claims. With a thorough and deft use of statistics, they portray ticket-splitting as a by-product of the separate circumstances that drive the outcomes of the different electoral contests. This will be the book to be reckoned with on the matter of ticket splitting." -Robert Erikson, Columbia University "[Burden and Kimball] offset the expansive statistical analysis by delving into the historical circumstances and results of recent campaigns and elections. ... [They] make a scholarly and informative contribution to the understanding of the voting habits of the American electorate-and the resulting composition of American government." -Shant Mesrobian, NationalJournal.com

When America Liked Ike
When America Liked Ike

Author: Gary A. Donaldson

Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers

Published: 2016-11-03

Total Pages: 147

ISBN-13: 1442211776

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The 2016 election cycle put in sharp relief the rifts that divide, and threaten to destroy, the Republican Party. While some claim these divisions originated in Nixon’s “Southern Strategy” or in Newt Gingrich’s tenure as Minority Whip, Gary Donaldson argues that the conflict has its origins much earlier, at least as far back as the 1952 presidential election. That election pitted the conservative wing of the Republican Party (the Right Wing, the Old Guard, what is now the Tea Party) against the Republican moderates, represented by Dwight D. Eisenhower. Set against the backdrop of the Korean War and escalating cold war tensions, the 1952 presidential campaign culminated in Eisenhower’s landslide victory over Adlai Stevenson. The election exposed deep internal divisions on the left and the right, but especially within the Republican Party. This book will prove an invaluable resource to readers, students, and scholars interested in rooting out the origins of our contemporary political landscape, on the right and the left.

The Vanishing Voter
The Vanishing Voter

Author: Thomas E. Patterson

Publisher: Vintage

Published: 2009-09-09

Total Pages: 288

ISBN-13: 0307548678

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

From the award-winning author of Out of Order—named the best political science book of the last decade by the American Political Science Association—comes this landmark book about why Americans don’t vote. Based on more than 80,000 interviews, The Vanishing Voter investigates why—despite a better educated citizenry, the end of racial barriers to voting, and simplified voter registration procedures—the percentage of voters has steadily decreased to the point that the United States now has nearly the lowest voting rate in the world. Patterson cites the blurring of differences between the political parties, the news media’s negative bias, and flaws in the election system to explain this disturbing trend while suggesting specific reforms intended to bring Americans back to the polls. Astute, far-reaching, and impeccably researched, The Vanishing Voter engages the very meaning of our relationship to our government.

Governing in a Polarized Age
Governing in a Polarized Age

Author: Alan S. Gerber

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2017-02-27

Total Pages: 407

ISBN-13: 1107095093

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This volume provides an in-depth examination of representation and legislative performance in contemporary American politics.

Kennedy Versus Lodge
Kennedy Versus Lodge

Author: Thomas J. Whalen

Publisher:

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 240

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

"Kennedy versus Lodge offers a well-researched and objective perspective on both a key Senate race and a political rivalry that forever changed the landscape of electoral politics in America."--BOOK JACKET.

I Like Ike
I Like Ike

Author: John Robert Greene

Publisher: American Presidential Election

Published: 2017

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780700624041

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

At the beginning of the 1952 presidential election season it was widely assumed it would be a race between President Harry Truman and Senator Robert Taft. This is the story of how it turned out differently and the impact it would have on the following decade.