This Sourcebood is an easy-to-use guide to seasonal price movements for commodity futures, providing the statistics necessary to time entry and exit points, set stop-loss orders, and establish realistic goals. Provides details of dozens of seasonal price trends in the futures markets with over 80% reliability. These extremely useful charts and tables offer traders and hedgers insight into the profit potential and risk involved at any given time of the year, enabling readers to avoid trading against the seasonals. Includes charts and tables for T-bonds, T-bills, soft commodities, metals, etc. The layout of the book enables readers to see the historical trends in both tabular and graphic detail, making this a very easy reference to use.
a groundbreaking look at trading the markets with one of the most important forecasting tools available . . . "If you've ever wondered about the validity of seasonals or how to trade them, buy this book now!" --Glen Larson, Genesis Data Services "Jake does it again. This time his extensive research really leaps out as he makes seasonal trading easy to understand and a very useful tool for any commodity trader." --Jeffrey H. Fox, Fox Investments. Is there a "holy grail" of price prediction? Traders have long been in pursuit of one, and while a handful of strategies, techniques, and methodologies have proven noteworthy, the search continues for the ultimate forecasting instrument --if one does indeed exist. The theory and methods of seasonality may well prove to be a step in the right direction to this goal. In this unique new book, a leading seasonal trading analyst examines seasonality in-depth, elucidating the concise principles, numerous advantages, and enormous potential that make it one of the most important --and effective --methods currently available for targeting futures price trends. Over the years, considerable attention has been paid to the effects of interest rates, money supply, earnings, inflation, and other key factors on stock and commodity prices. Yet, the immense impact of seasonal price tendencies has been either grossly underestimated or completely ignored. Often overlooked, but equally significant, seasonality is based on the assumption that seasonal influences cause biases in the movement of market prices. Among its many advantages, seasonality allows the trader to formulate objective decisions founded on a logical, verifiable, and operational methodology, creating a backdrop of probable market trends in most time frames and in most markets, and providing historically valid input for use as an adjunct to other analytical methods and timing indicators. The essence of seasonality is found in its lengthy history and statistically testable methodologies. However, seasonal correlations are not 100 percent foolproof. Using seasonal data to time the market involves an unavoidable degree of subjectivity --unless you have a firm grasp of seasonal timing concepts and techniques. Now, in the first resource devoted exclusively to the subject, Jake Bernstein gives you the foundation necessary to implement this powerful tool effectively and with confidence. Balancing theory and practice, Bernstein provides a thorough, real-world understanding of seasonal timing concepts and techniques. Along with results of his own extensive research, he integrates the work of numerous market analysts, such as W. D. Gann, Art Merrill, Burton Pugh, Samuel Benner, and Yale Hirsch, among others, to create a pragmatic and highly functional analytical framework. With his accessible, comprehensive coverage of significant concepts such as seasonal spread relationships, key dates, and cash tendencies, you'll be able to discern seasonal patterns in monthly and daily cash and futures data. Once the basics are firmly in place, Bernstein leads you step by step through the essential process of formulating a seasonal trading program that incorporates important timing strategies and risk management tools. An ideal overview for any trader, investor, or analyst, this lucidly written and clearly organized resource emphasizes the validity and significance of seasonality. Jake Bernstein has compiled a comprehensive guide to the effective use of seasonal concepts and methods in the futures markets. This is a major work that belongs on the shelves of all serious traders.
An incisive guide to the use and analysis of seasonal price trends in the futures markets. Emphasizing application, it explains in detail methods and procedures of ``seasonality,'' a trading strategy based on seasonal price tendencies. Includes many figures mapping futures price changes and cycles, and suggestions for further research.
Jake Bernstein's Seasonal Futures Spreads High-Probability Seasonal Spreads for Futures Traders If you're a futures trader or investor, this book is what you've been waiting for. Jake Bernstein explains the seasonal characteristics of a wide range of traditional commodity spreads--grains, meats, livestock, metals, fiber, food, and wood--as well as the seasonal patterns of such popular financial futures as interest rates, foreign currency, and stock index futures. You'll learn everything you need to know--including the basics of spreading and seasonals, how to use seasonal composite spread charts, and how to devise and implement a year-round trading strategy based strictly on seasonal patterns. All spreads featured in this book are shown in composite weekly seasonal tendency charts which list percent of time up or down per spread on a weekly basis. Other Wiley books by Jake Bernstein . The Investor's Quotient The Psychology of Successful Investing in Commodities and Stocks Beyond the Investor's Quotient The Inner World of Investing the Handbook of Commodity Cycles A Window on Time Seasonal Concepts in Futures Trading Turning Seasonality into Profits Cyclic Analysis in Futures Trading Contemporary Methods and Procedures
There is a seasonal bias to the stock market, and by paying attention to the seasonal market tendencies you can gain an edge in the stock market over the long haul. Seasonality offers a practical approach to investing and trading. What better way to learn how to employ seasonal systems than learning from Jay Kaeppel, a master in the analysis of seasonal trends? Kaeppel walks you through this phenomenon that continues to work consistently, providing you with his ultimate seasonal index to make the calendar work for you. Stock Market Seasonals provides a never-before-seen definitive guide that illustrates how to utilize a combination of four basic seasonal tendencies in order to maximize returns.
The essential futures market reference guide A Complete Guide to the Futures Market is the comprehensive resource for futures traders and analysts. Spanning everything from technical analysis, trading systems, and fundamental analysis to options, spreads, and practical trading principles, A Complete Guide is required reading for any trader or investor who wants to successfully navigate the futures market. Clear, concise, and to the point, this fully revised and updated second edition provides a solid foundation in futures market basics, details key analysis and forecasting techniques, explores advanced trading concepts, and illustrates the practical application of these ideas with hundreds of market examples. A Complete Guide to the Futures Market: Details different trading and analytical approaches, including chart analysis, technical indicators and trading systems, regression analysis, and fundamental market models. Separates misleading market myths from reality. Gives step-by-step instruction for developing and testing original trading ideas and systems. Illustrates a wide range of option strategies, and explains the trading implications of each. Details a wealth of practical trading guidelines and market insights from a recognized trading authority. Trading futures without a firm grasp of this market’s realities and nuances is a recipe for losing money. A Complete Guide to the Futures Market offers serious traders and investors the tools to keep themselves on the right side of the ledger.
In this remarkable new book, career trader John Momsen has assembled the 41 most profitable, accurate, and dependable seasonal trades the future markets have to offer.
Following is a chapter from the second edition of The Complete Guide to Option Selling, fully up to date and expanded to be useful in today's markets. It covers new strategies and new ways to approach selling options and futures so that you can continue to produce surprisingly consistent results with only slightly increased risk. This book remains the only guide that explores selling options exclusively, and is a cult favorite among the options-selling community.
In just a few years, futures trading has grown from a specialized area to a major sector that is attracting pension funds, hedge funds, and other capital pools. Technological advances have led to increased globalization and around-the-clock trading, which has generated huge volumes that can be traded at minimal cost. In Timing Techniques for Commodity Futures Markets, expert stocks and futures advisor Colin Alexander explains how to make money in all market conditions. He shows you how to set up monthly and weekly charts with indicators that determine which markets may be worth trading. Then he shows daily and intraday charts tell you when to pull the trigger and get into a trade and stay until market action generates an exit signal. With Alexander's proven approach to evaluating markets, you'll learn how to avoid high-risk and marginal trades without sacrificing the high-potential ones. And, you'll see how informed applications of today's most effective indicators-including MACD, moving averages, stochastics, and Bollinger Bands-can help identify markets with the potential for extended moves. Through a focused examination of how money determines markets, Timing Techniques for Commodity Future Markets shows you how to: Define a trend Interpret who trades what and how much Set stops and get out of trades Fine-tune short-term trading Along with expert advice on such fundamental practices as building charts and reading candlestick charts, Timing Techniques for Commodity Futures Markets provides an insider's edge with rare information on the best chart patterns for all time frames, cyclical and seasonal forces and price rules for knowing when to pull the trigger on a trade. To illustrate real-time use, the Alexander includes two revealing case studies--one based on a prospective long position on gasoline and one based on a short position in copper.
An indispensable resource for today's active commodity, currency, futures, and ETF trader In the 2013 Edition of the Commodity Trader's Almanac, Jeffrey Hirsch has once again put together an essential tool for both professional traders and those who are just getting started and need to understand the complex and exciting world of alternatives. Created in a similar fashion to the Stock Trader's Almanac—trusted for over 40 years—the Commodity Trader's Almanac is a comprehensive guide featuring monthly strategies, patterns, trends, and trading techniques geared towards the major commodities and currencies, as well as ETFs, futures, and options. It also contains in-depth insights on various topics of interest to the active trader and investing public; as well as market highlights that cover key supply, demand, and seasonal tendencies on markets including crude oil, ethanol, and precious metals; critical agricultural products such as corn, wheat, and cattle; and foreign currencies like the British pound and the Euro. The Commodity Trader's Almanac also describes how investors can utilize futures, options, and ETFs in their endeavors. Helps you understand how commodity pricing works and offers great insight into investing in them Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast commodity market trends with accuracy and confidence Contains expanded coverage on timing tools with tips on utilizing candlesticks and pivot points to better time seasonal trades, and more Includes business cycle analysis and trading tips for the current climate Intended for active traders and investors interested in making the most out of today's commodity, ETF, futures, options, and currencies markets, this guide will make you a better trade in the search for greater profits.
