Regional Business Cycles in Latin America
Regional Business Cycles in Latin America

Author: Patricio Aroca

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2024-09-22

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9783319988658

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book analyzes regional business cycles in Latin America. The authors explain the nature of regional business cycles and discuss different sources of regional economic fluctuations such as technology changes, natural disasters, or supply and demand shocks. Presenting case studies on Brazil, Chile and Mexico, the authors examine the co-movement of regional business cycles as well as the differing responses of regional economies to external shocks due to regional characteristics such as availability of natural resources, and the degree of integration into national and global markets. This short book appealto students and scholars as well as policy makers interested in regional growth processes in developing countries.

Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean
Effects of the Business Cycle on Social Indicators in Latin America and the Caribbean

Author: Carlos A. Vegh

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2019-04-04

Total Pages: 70

ISBN-13: 1464814139

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

After mediocre growth in 2018 of 0.7 percent. LAC is expected to perform only marginally better in 2019 (growth of 0.9 percent) followed by a much more solid growth of 2.1 percent in 2020. LAC will face both internal and external challenges during 2019. On the domestic front. the recession in Argentina; a slower than expected recovery in Brazil from the 2014-2015 recession, anemic growth in Mexico. and the continued deterioration of Venezuela. present the biggest challenges. On the external front. the sharp drop in net capital inflows to the region since early 2018 and the monetary policy normalization in the United States stand among the greatest perils. Furthermore, the recent increase in poverty in Brazil because of the recession points to the large effects that the business cycle may have on poverty. The core of this report argues that social indicators that are very sensitive to the business cycle may yield a highly misleading picture of permanent social gains in the region.

Business Cycle Synchronization and Regional Integration
Business Cycle Synchronization and Regional Integration

Author: Norbert Fiess

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 19

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Abstract: In early January 2003, the United States and Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua launched official negotiations for the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA), a treaty that would expand NAFTA-style trade barrier reductions to Central America. With deeper trade integration between Central America and the United States, it is expected that there will be closer links in business cycles between Central American countries and the United States. The paper finds a relatively low degree of business cycle synchronization within Central America as well as between Central America and the United States. The business cycle synchronization is expected to increase only modestly with further trade expansion, making the coordination of macroeconomic policies within CAFTA somewhat less of a priority.

Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles
Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles

Author: Luis Catão

Publisher:

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 64

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This paper constructs new business cycle indices for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico based on common dynamic factors extracted from a comprehensive set of sectoral output, external data, and fiscal and financial variables spanning over a century. The constructed indices are used to derive a business cycle chronology for these countries and characterize a set of new stylized facts. In particular, we show that all four countries have historically displayed a striking combination of high business cycle and persistence relative to benchmark countries, and that such volatility has been time-varying, with important differences across policy regimes. We also uncover a sizeable common factor across the four economies which has greatly limited scope for regional risk sharing.

Global Business Cycles
Global Business Cycles

Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2008-06-01

Total Pages: 51

ISBN-13: 1451870019

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in key macroeconomic aggregates-output, consumption, and investment-into different factors. These are: (i) a global factor, which picks up fluctuations that are common across all variables and countries; (ii) three group-specific factors, which capture fluctuations that are common to all variables and all countries within each group of countries; (iii) country factors, which are common across all aggregates in a given country; and (iv) idiosyncratic factors specific to each time series. Our main result is that, during the period of globalization (1985-2005), there has been some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among the group of industrial economies and among the group of emerging market economies. Surprisingly, there has been a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor. In other words, there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence (or decoupling) between them.

Time and Space
Time and Space

Author: Daniel A. Tirado-Fabregat

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-11-07

Total Pages: 424

ISBN-13: 3030475530

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This edited collection examines the evolution of regional inequality in Latin America in the long run. The authors support the hypothesis that the current regional disparities are principally the result of a long and complex process in which historical, geographical, economic, institutional, and political factors have all worked together. Lessons from the past can aid current debates on regional inequalities, territorial cohesion, and public policies in developing and also developed countries. In contrast with European countries, Latin American economies largely specialized in commodity exports, showed high levels of urbanization and high transports costs (both domestic and international). This new research provides a new perspective on the economic history of Latin American regions and offers new insights on how such forces interact in peripheral countries. In that sense, natural resources, differences in climatic conditions, industrial backwardness and low population density areas leads us to a new set of questions and tentative answers. This book brings together a group of leading American and European economic historians in order to build a new set of data on historical regional GDPs for nine Latin American countries: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay and Venezuela. This transnational perspective on Latin American economic development process is of interest to researchers, students and policy makers.

Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2017
Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2017

Author: United Nations Publications

Publisher:

Published: 2018-01-11

Total Pages: 216

ISBN-13: 9789211219609

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The 2017 edition of the Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean has three parts. Part I outlines the region's economic performance in 2016 and analyses trends in the early months of 2017, as well as the outlook for the rest of the year. It examines external and domestic factors that have influenced the region's economic performance and draws attention to macroeconomic policy challenges. Part II analyses the characteristics of the current economic cycle in the region (2009-2016) and contrasts it with the two preceding cycles (1990-2001 and 2002-2008). It also identifies and attempts to explain some of the determinants of the cycle and outlines possible strategies for regaining growth. Part III contains notes relating to the economic performance of countries of the region.

Business in Emerging Latin America
Business in Emerging Latin America

Author: Fernando Robles

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2014-07-25

Total Pages: 281

ISBN-13: 1135123578

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Driven by expanding domestic markets and exports of natural resource commodities, Latin America has recently come into focus as an economic force in the international arena. Business in Emerging Latin America provides students with a comprehensive overview of the business environment of this emerging, dynamic region. The book begins at the macro level, focusing on the region’s geo-political, technological, social, competitive, and economic environments. It then moves to the micro level, devling into the mosaic of countries with distinct cultures and political economies that comprise Latin America. Capturing the dynamism of this region, Business in Emerging Latin America: Provides a thorough and nuanced understanding of the business environment Identifies major drivers of emerging market expansion within the region Analyzes the strategies of companies both within and outside of the region The book includes examples and cases from across the region, as well as chapters on entrepreneurship, leadership, HRM, sustainability, income inequality, social responsibility and transparency. An ideal resource for anyone considering a business venture in the region, the book will especially appeal to students of international business who have a particular interest in Latin America. For additional instructor resources, visit www.latinamericabusinessknowledge.com