Quantitative Economic Policy

Quantitative Economic Policy

Author: Reinhard Neck

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2008-03-04

Total Pages: 386

ISBN-13: 3540746846

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Econometric techniques and models are still being extensively used in the business of forecasting and policy advice. This book presents recent advances in the theory and applications of quantitative economic policy, with particular emphasis on fiscal and monetary policies in a European and global context. The volume honors Andrew Hughes Hallett, a pioneer and major scientist in quantitative economic policy analysis, whose contributors are among his friends and former students.


The Theory of Economic Policy in a Strategic Context

The Theory of Economic Policy in a Strategic Context

Author: Nicola Acocella

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2012-11-01

Total Pages: 367

ISBN-13: 1139789651

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In developing a new and highly innovative theory of economic policy, this book deals with conflicts between strategic actions by public and private agents. It builds on the Lucas critique but also applies the tools introduced by Tinbergen and Theil to dynamic policy games, and from there derives a new theory of economic policy. Its main propositions describe such properties in the models currently used for policy-making as neutrality and equilibrium existence, uniqueness, and multiplicity. These properties are key to understanding the impact of concepts such as rational expectations, time inconsistency, communication and the use of policy announcements. As the numerous examples show, they are useful both for model building and for devising optimal institutions. The Theory of Economic Policy in a Strategic Context is an essential but accessible tool for economic researchers involved in policy questions.


Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty

Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty

Author: Sean Holly

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1989-07-20

Total Pages: 258

ISBN-13: 0521264448

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An examination of how the rational expectations revolution and game theory have enhanced the understanding of how an economy functions.


Economic Decision-Making in a Changing World

Economic Decision-Making in a Changing World

Author: G.A. Collenteur

Publisher: Springer

Published: 1993-06-18

Total Pages: 297

ISBN-13: 1349111449

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This volume contains 24 of the contributions made to the conference on "Economic Decision-making in a Changing World" held in 1988. Within the general framework of reference the editors focus on six major issues and feature articles on each as separate subject areas.


Analysing the Structure of Economic Models

Analysing the Structure of Economic Models

Author: J.P. Ancot

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 259

ISBN-13: 9400960980

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Understanding the structure of a large econometric model is rather like the art of winetasting or like the art of playing a musical instrument. The quality of a wine results from a complex combination of various elements such as its colour which should be clear and crystalline, its smell which can be decomposed into a general aroma and a variety of particular characteristics, more or less persistent depending on the type and the age of the wine, its taste, of course, which again is a complex system whose equilibrium and charm depend on the whole set of ingredients: alcohol, tannin, glycerine, sugar, acidity . . . Similarly, a clarinetist's musicianship depends on the quality of his instrument, on his embouchure, fingering, tonguing and articu lation techniques, on his sense for rhythm, phasing and tone colour. However, the enchantment produced by a Romanee-Conti or by a brilliant performance of Brahm's F minor sonata for clarinet and piano arises from a process which is at the same time time much simpler and much more complex than the straightforward juxtaposition of individual causal relations. In recent years econometricians and macro-economists have been challenged by the problem of keeping abreast with an ever increasing number of increasingly more complex large econometric models. The necessity of developing systematic analytical tools to study the often implicit and hidden structure of these models has become more evident.


Mathematical Economics of Multi-Level Optimisation

Mathematical Economics of Multi-Level Optimisation

Author: Sardar M.N. Islam

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 299

ISBN-13: 364249949X

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Since there exists a multi-level policy making system in the market economies, choices of decision makers at different levels should be considered explicitly in the formulation of sectoral plans and policies. To support the hypothesis, a theoretical energy planning approach is developed within the framework of the theory of economic policy planning, policy systems analysis and multi-level programming. The Parametric Programming Search Algorithm has been developed. On the basis of this theoretical model, an Australian Energy Policy System Optimisation Model (AEPSOM) has been developed and is used to formulate an Australian multi-level energy plan.


Developments of Control Theory for Economic Analysis

Developments of Control Theory for Economic Analysis

Author: Carlo Carraro

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 355

ISBN-13: 9400934955

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Giovanni Castellani Rector of the University of Venice This book contains the Proceedings of the Conference on "Economic Policy and Control Theory" which was held at the University of Venice (Italy) on 27 January-l February 1985. The goal of the Conference was to survey the main developments of control theory in economics, by emphasizing particularly new achievements in the analysis of dynamic economic models by con trol methods. The development of control theory is strictly related to the development of science and technology in the last forty years. Control theory was indeed applied mainly in engineering, and only in the sixties economists started using control methods for analys ing economic problems, even if some preliminary economic applica tions of calculus of variations, from which control theory was then developed, date back to the twenties. Applications of control theory in economics also had to solve new, complicated, problems, like those encountered in optimal growth models, or like the determination of the appropriate inter temporal social welfare function, of the policy horizon and the relative final state of the system, of the appropriate discount factor. Furthermore, the uncertainty characterizing economic models had to be taken into account, thus giving rise to the development of stochastic control theory in economics.


Economic Modelling in the OECD Countries

Economic Modelling in the OECD Countries

Author: Homa Motamen-Scobie

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 751

ISBN-13: 9400912137

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among the 159 member countries of the United Nations Organization which are treated as country units, while smaller countries are grouped together in regions. The number of equations used is approximately 13 700, while the number of software steps for computation is approximately 100000. Computation, including tabulation, can nevertheless be performed very rapidly, and only about 20 minutes is required to make forecasts from the present up to the year 2000. The FUGI model is at present being used by the Projections and Perspectives Studies Branch, Department of International Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations, for simulations of United Nations medium- and long-term international development strategies, while the Project LINK model is being used for short-term forecasts (Onishi, 1985). Stimulated by our latest joint research with the United Nations University on a 'global early warning system for displaced persions', we have felt the need for our FUGI model to go beyond its present capacities centred on an 'economic' model (in the rather traditional, restricted sense of the term) and to develop into a model that can in the future analyse 'global problematiques' or 'global complexes of symptoms' and complicated questions including various types of environmental problems and the sorts of displaced persons issues to which we are now directing our attention. We are thus expanding the scope of our fifth-generation FUGI model, presently under development, to deal with such issues.