Public Debt Management and Bailouts
Public Debt Management and Bailouts

Author: Mr.Torbjorn I. Becker

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1999-07-01

Total Pages: 24

ISBN-13: 1451852673

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This paper addresses how public debt should be managed to reduce the cost of private sector bailouts. It uses a tax smoothing model to show that bailouts affect the timing of government deficits and surpluses as well as the composition of public debt. In general, public debt managers will have to monitor the private sector’s leverage and portfolio composition in order to design the tax smoothing policy. This contrasts with Ricardian models where households monitor the government’s debt. The moral hazard aspect of defaults is also shown to be important in determining an optimal government debt strategy.

Public Debt Management and Bailouts
Public Debt Management and Bailouts

Author: Torbjorn Becker

Publisher:

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 23

ISBN-13:

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This paper addresses how public debt should be managed to reduce the cost of private sector bailouts. It uses a tax smoothing model to show that bailouts affect the timing of government deficits and surpluses as well as the composition of public debt. In general, public debt managers will have to monitor the private sector`s leverage and portfolio composition in order to design the tax smoothing policy. This contrasts with Ricardian models where households monitor the government`s debt. The moral hazard aspect of defaults is also shown to be important in determining an optimal government debt strategy.

Public Debt in Developing Countries
Public Debt in Developing Countries

Author: Indermit Singh Gill

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 43

ISBN-13:

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"Over the past 25 years, significant levels of public debt and external finance are more likely to have enhanced macroeconomic vulnerability than economic growth in developing countries. This applies not just to countries with a history of high inflation and past default, but also to those in East Asia, with a long tradition of prudent macroeconomic policies and rapid growth. The authors examine why with the help of a conceptual framework drawn from the growth, capital flows, and crisis literature for developing countries with access to the international capital markets (market access countries or MACs). They find that, while the chances of another generalized debt crisis have receded since the turbulence of the late 1990s, sovereign debt is indeed constraining growth in MACs, especially those with debt sustainability problems ... " -- Cover verso.

Public Debt Management
Public Debt Management

Author: Rudiger Dornbusch

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1990-11-30

Total Pages: 384

ISBN-13: 1139935860

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As Europe proceeds towards economic and monetary union, fiscal convergence and the prospect of a common money are at the centre of discussion. This volume from the Centre for Economic Policy Research brings together theoretical, applied and historical research on the management of public debt and its implications for financial stability. Gale fills a gap in the literature, using a consistent framework to investigate the welfare economics of public debt, while Calvo and Guidotti analyse the trade-off between indexation and maturity when it comes to minimizing debt service. Confidence crises have become relevant again in view of the high debt ratios in countries such as Belgium, Italy and Ireland. Alesina, Prati and Tabellini develop a formal model of the propagation of a debt run and use it to interpret Italian debt panics. Giavazzi and Pagano concentrate on how inappropriate debt management can precipitate a run on the currency while Makinen and Woodward review a broad sweep of historical experience.

Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public
Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public

Author: Samba Mbaye

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-06-13

Total Pages: 45

ISBN-13: 1484361652

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This paper documents a form of private sector bailout that is much more common (and yet unnoticed) than the typical bank bailout. Building on the newly-created Global Debt Database, we show that excess private debt systematically turns into higher public debt, regardless of whether the credit boom resulted in a crisis or a more orderly deleveraging process. This debt migration operates mainly through growth rather than explicit bailouts: private deleveraging weighs on activity, prompting a countercyclical government response to support economic activity. Ultimately, whether this debt substitution results in a net increase or a net decline of overall indebtedness in the economy depends on the extent of the growth slowdown during the deleveraging spell. These findings suggest that markets and policymakers should move away from looking at private and sovereign debt in silos and pay closer attention to the total stock of debt in the economy, as the line between the two tends to become blurry.

Managing Public Debt and Its Financial Stability Implications
Managing Public Debt and Its Financial Stability Implications

Author: Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-12-01

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1455210870

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This paper explores the relationship between the level and management of public debt and financial stability, and explains the channels through which the two are interlinked. It suggests that the broader implications of a debt management strategy and its implementation should be carefully analyzed by debt managers and policy makers in terms of their impact on the government's balance sheet, macroeconomic developments, and the financial system.

The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts
The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts

Author: Mr.Francisco Roch

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-09-06

Total Pages: 46

ISBN-13: 1475533241

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Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.

Sound Practice in Government Debt Management
Sound Practice in Government Debt Management

Author: Graeme Wheeler

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 228

ISBN-13: 0821350730

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Since the late 1980's, many OECD governments have invested heavily in improving the quality of their debt management practices. In recent years, the topic has received additional attention for its potential role in reducing the vulnerability of emerging economies to financial and economic shocks. A government asset and liability management framework can offer valuable conceptual insights for managing the risks associated with government debt portfolios and their interface with a wide range of public policy issues. Prudent risk management requires clear objectives or debt managers, sound institutional and legal framework, appropriate quality assurance procedures and checks and balances, and efficient management information systems. This report draws from the experiences of leading countries in this field.

Sub-National Credit Risk and Sovereign Bailouts
Sub-National Credit Risk and Sovereign Bailouts

Author: Ms.Eva Jenkner

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-01-30

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1484398874

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Studies have shown that markets may underprice sub-national governments’ risk on the implicit assumption that these entities would be bailed out by their central government in case of financial difficulties. However, the question of whether sovereigns pay a premium on their own borrowing as a result of (implicitly or explicitly) guaranteeing sub-entities’ debt has been explored only little. We use an event study approach with separate equations for two levels of government to test for a simultaneous increase in sovereign risk premia and decrease in sub-national risk premia—or a de facto transfer of risk from the latter to the former—on the day a sovereign bailout is announced. Using daily financial market data for Spain and its autonomous regions from January 2010 to June 2013, we find support for our risk transfer hypothesis. We estimate that the Spanish sovereign’s spread may have increased by around 70 basis points as a result of the central government’s support for fiscally distressed comunidades autónomas.