Private Investment & Macroeconomic Stability in Ethiopia

Private Investment & Macroeconomic Stability in Ethiopia

Author: Fitsum Daniel

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2018-11-22

Total Pages: 14

ISBN-13: 3668841160

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Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: B, , course: Macroeconomic Policy, language: English, abstract: The irreversible nature of long-term private investment expenditures has been emphasized in recent literatures on investment behavior. The irreversible nature of investment suggests that installed capital can seldom be put to productive use in a different sector or economic activities, at least not without incurring a substantial cost. In this context, private investors, foreign and local, will be reluctant to commit large expenditures on fixed investments when they are uncertain about the future political, social, and economic environment. Changes in uncertainty are usually associated with unpredictability. Thus, macroeconomic instability - a phenomenon making the domestic macroeconomic environment less predictable - is expected to hamper resource allocation including capital. As it is well known, investment especially for developing countries like Ethiopia is a motor for growth. Especially private investment (both domestic as well as foreign) should hold the lion share of the total investment of such countries as the capacity of governments in these countries to undertake investment in areas other than infrastructure is very limited. Of the number of determinants of private investment in developing countries, macroeconomic and political stability is believed to be the major one as such countries rate worse in this regard unlike developed countries. In this regard, a sort of preliminary assessment of the rough relationship between private investment and some key macroeconomic and political stability variables which are relevant in the context of Ethiopia, of course taking into account availability of secondary data, is sought in this term paper work. The hypothesis formulated to be tasted is that high macroeconomic and political instability has significant negative effect on private investment in Ethiopia. As data in regard with private investment is expected to be very limited (i.e., not more than 17 years data), descriptive analysis (with the help of graphs) is going to be used to reach to some conclusions from the available data.


Impact Foreign Direct Investment on Domestic Private Investment in Ethiopia

Impact Foreign Direct Investment on Domestic Private Investment in Ethiopia

Author: Tibebu Aragie

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2015-01-19

Total Pages: 38

ISBN-13: 3656879184

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Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: very good, , course: Msc in Economic Policy Analysis, language: English, abstract: The study was conducted to know the interrelationship between foreign direct investment and domestic private investment. The researcher employs a vector auto-regressive model with appropriate investigation of impulse response and variance decomposition. In addition, the researcher computes descriptive analysis. The study used time series data ranging from, 1970-2012 for econometric analysis and 1992-2012 for descriptive analysis. The result shows that foreign direct investment crowds-out domestic private investment. In addition, foreign direct investment does not have significant effect on economic growth. Secondly, Domestic private investment complements growth trajectory. However, expansion of domestic private investment does not welcome foreign direct investment.


Assessement of the effect of government expenditure on privat investment in Ethiopia

Assessement of the effect of government expenditure on privat investment in Ethiopia

Author: Frew Hailu

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2014-10-13

Total Pages: 112

ISBN-13: 3656766711

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Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1 (A), Wollega University (wollega University), course: Development Economics, language: English, abstract: This study attempts to investigate the effect of government expenditure on private investment in Ethiopia over the period 1980-2012. The central question of this study is weather government expenditure has a positive or crowding in effect (complementary hypothesis) or a negative or crowding out effect (the substitutability hypothesis )on private investment in Ethiopia. To achieve its objective it adopted a modified flexible accelerator model to enlighten on the economic relationship between private investment and the other variables and used the modern technique of vector auto regressive model (VAR) and vector error correction model(VECM)as its methodology. The study also used the Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration analysis of a multivariate system of equation to estimate the long run relationship between government expenditure and private investment to determine the order of integration of the variable and Granger-Causality test was undertaken to determine causal relationship between the variables. In addition to this the study employs the Augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) unit root test and phillip perron test. The statistical tests reveal that all-time series data are non-stationary in their level and they become stationary after diffrencing.i.e.they are integrated of order one I(1).The johansen-juselius cointegration test shows that the series are cointegrated and then employs the vector error correction model moreover the study applies the impulse response function (IRF)and forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) to investigate the effect of government investment shocks on private investment. And the empirical findings support the complementary hypothesis between government capital expenditure and private investment and that tends to crowd-in private investment in Ethiopia. And the empirical finding of recurrent part of government expenditure shows a mixed effect of complementary hypothesis and substitutability hypothesis which tends to crowd-in and crowd out effect .Thus government expenditure have a positive as well as negative effect on private investment and finally the study is used CHOW test in order to know whether structural break has an effect on private investment or not and the result depict that there is a structural break that have a positive effect on private investment of Ethiopia. Keyword: Government expenditure, private investment, VAR, crowding-In, crowding out, Ethiopia


Private Investment and Economic Growth

Private Investment and Economic Growth

Author: Abdulkader Hussen Mussa

Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing

Published: 2010-11

Total Pages: 72

ISBN-13: 9783843372886

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The Share of Private investment in Gross Domestic Product of a country shows its role in the economy by creating employment opportunity, higher income and increased foreign currency earnings.This paper has used the neoclassical growth framework to see relationship among various economic growth factors in Ethiopian context employing co-integrated vector autoregressive model .Results suggest that both private and public investment contributed positively to economic growth for the period under study.Moreover, the impact of private investment for real growth has been greater than that of the public sector investment.Public sector investment also has complementarity with the private capital formation, implying that crowding in impact of public investment on the private investment.


The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2005-01-28

Total Pages: 35

ISBN-13: 1451879814

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This paper presents an Ex Post Assessment of Long-Term IMF Engagement in Ethiopia. IMF involvement since 1992 helped underpin the authorities’ gradualist policies. Initially, IMF-supported programs aimed at stabilizing the economy and breaking with the legacy of central planning. Later programs emphasized structural reform to support sustainable high growth and poverty reduction. Although macroeconomic stability has been largely achieved, structural reform was gradual and piecemeal, especially under the Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility. Many of the most immediate and distortionary policies of the centrally planned past have also been overhauled.


Foreign Direct Investment Vs Domestic Private Investment in Ethiopia

Foreign Direct Investment Vs Domestic Private Investment in Ethiopia

Author: Tibebu Aragie Molla

Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing

Published: 2014-10-21

Total Pages: 140

ISBN-13: 9783659624070

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...Realizing the inadequacy of the domestic capital to finance investment needs, Ethiopia has opened several economic sectors to foreign investors especially after 1992 to have sustainable economic growth (EIA, 2012). However "The impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth of host country, determined further by whether it crowd-in or crowd-out domestic investments" (Agosin, R and mayor, 2000). The book emphasizes on the interrelationship between foreign direct investment and domestic private investment. The author employs vector auto regressive model to know the relationship between foreign direct investment and domestic private investment. The study shows that foreign direct investment crowds-out domestic private investment. In addition, foreign direct investment does have not significant effect on economic growth of Ethiopia; But Domestic private investment complements growth trajectory...


Privatization and Capital Accumulation

Privatization and Capital Accumulation

Author: Jesiah Selvam

Publisher:

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 26

ISBN-13:

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This paper examines the connectivity between privatization and private capital accumulation. Many previous studies have proved that privatization has had a direct and positive effect on capital accumulation through attracting private investment. Ethiopia, which is one of the least developed countries (LDCs), and having spent a two decades of communism, has implemented privatization programme as a means of attracting a sizable investment including the foreign direct investment (FDI). We used data over ten years, 1994/95-2003/04, and applied correlation and regression analyses to find out the effect of the Ethiopian privatization programme on capital accumulation. The empirical results show that privatization was insignificant to capital accumulation. We suggest that the country needs to improve economic and political stability and openness coupled with re-vitalizing the privatization programme to prevent the Ethiopian economy from the further capital sabotage.