Storm-surge Forecasting

Storm-surge Forecasting

Author: J. W. Nickerson

Publisher:

Published: 1971

Total Pages: 114

ISBN-13:

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The report contains an adaptation of a unique storm-surge forecasting technique developed by Dr. C.P. Jelesnianski. This technique results in a computed storm surge profile at the inner boundary of an artificial standard basin seaward of the coast. The profile is derived from nomograms based upon a standard storm passing over a standard basin. Thumb rules and guidelines are presented in the publication for subjectively modifying the computer storm surge height as it moves shoreward of the artificial basin boundary, to fit the natural conditions of a particular coastline. Major advantages of this system are its applicability to almost any locale, its adaptability to data normally available to the field forecaster and the speed with which the forecast may be modified to remain current with natural fluctuations of the storm.


Advanced Numerical Modeling and Data Assimilation Techniques for Tropical Cyclone Predictions

Advanced Numerical Modeling and Data Assimilation Techniques for Tropical Cyclone Predictions

Author: U.C. Mohanty

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-11-21

Total Pages: 762

ISBN-13: 9402408967

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This book deals primarily with monitoring, prediction and understanding of Tropical Cyclones (TCs). It was envisioned to serve as a teaching and reference resource at universities and academic institutions for researchers and post-graduate students. It has been designed to provide a broad outlook on recent advances in observations, assimilation and modeling of TCs with detailed and advanced information on genesis, intensification, movement and storm surge prediction. Specifically, it focuses on (i) state-of-the-art observations for advancing TC research, (ii) advances in numerical weather prediction for TCs, (iii) advanced assimilation and vortex initialization techniques, (iv) ocean coupling, (v) current capabilities to predict TCs, and (vi) advanced research in physical and dynamical processes in TCs. The chapters in the book are authored by leading international experts from academic, research and operational environments. The book is also expected to stimulate critical thinking for cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, and graduate and post-graduate students to carry out future research in the field of TCs.


Techniques for Disaster Risk Management and Mitigation

Techniques for Disaster Risk Management and Mitigation

Author: Prashant K. Srivastava

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2020-04-27

Total Pages: 352

ISBN-13: 1119359171

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A comprehensive guide to managing and mitigating natural disasters Recent years have seen a surge in the number, frequency, and severity of natural disasters, with further increases expected as the climate continues to change. However, advanced computational and geospatial technologies have enabled the development of sophisticated early warning systems and techniques to predict, manage, and mitigate disasters.Techniques for Disaster Risk Management and Mitigation explores different approaches to forecasting disasters and provides guidance on mitigation and adaptation strategies. Volume highlights include: Review of current and emerging technologies for disaster prediction Different approaches to risk management and mitigation Strategies for implementing disaster plans and infrastructure improvements Guidance on integrating artificial intelligence with GIS and earth observation data Examination of the regional and global impacts of disasters under climate variability


Storm Surge Forecasting and Future Projection in Practice

Storm Surge Forecasting and Future Projection in Practice

Author: Masaya Toyoda

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2024-10-08

Total Pages: 105

ISBN-13: 1040148042

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This accessible shortform book describes storm surge forecasting to enable port managers and practitioners to forecast these and mitigate their effects. This is particularly useful as global warming increases the severity of typhoons, particularly windstorms and storm surge disasters, globally. The authors first summarize the current status of typhoons and storm surges in practice. They also present a combination of the latest findings at the research level and at the practical level. Throughout the book, the authors carefully explain the use and limitations of empirical typhoon models that practitioners should learn from, including statistical, numerical, probabilistic, data-driven and coastal vulnerability models. They also explore artificial neural networks and convolutional neural networks and their use in such models. Finally, the book describes the potential for further development of empirical typhoon models (such as future climate experiments). This book is a vital resource that enables port managers to make effective and informed decisions when conducting storm surge forecasting in practice. It also contains useful insights for civil engineering students, especially those studying coastal engineering.