Predictive Modeling of Dynamic Processes provides an overview of hydrocode technology, applicable to a variety of industries and areas of engineering design. Covering automotive crash, blast impact, and hypervelocity impact phenomena, this volume offers readers an in-depth explanation of the fundamental code components. Chapters include informative introductions to each topic, and explain the specific requirements pertaining to each predictive hydrocode. Successfully blending crash simulation, hydrocode technology and impact engineering, this volume fills a gap in the current competing literature available.
This work provides an overview of hydrocode technology, applicable to a variety of industries and areas of engineering design. It successfully blends crash simulations with hydrocode technology, and offers an explanation of the fundamental code components.
Inspired by the leading authority in the field, the Centre for Process Systems Engineering at Imperial College London, this book includes theoretical developments, algorithms, methodologies and tools in process systems engineering and applications from the chemical, energy, molecular, biomedical and other areas. It spans a whole range of length scales seen in manufacturing industries, from molecular and nanoscale phenomena to enterprise-wide optimization and control. As such, this will appeal to a broad readership, since the topic applies not only to all technical processes but also due to the interdisciplinary expertise required to solve the challenge. The ultimate reference work for years to come.
Offering a different approach to other textbooks in the area, this book is a comprehensive introduction to the subject divided in three broad parts. The first part deals with building physical models, the second part with developing empirical models and the final part discusses developing process control solutions. Theory is discussed where needed to ensure students have a full understanding of key techniques that are used to solve a modeling problem. Hallmark Features: Includes worked out examples of processes where the theory learned early on in the text can be applied. Uses MATLAB simulation examples of all processes and modeling techniques- further information on MATLAB can be obtained from www.mathworks.com Includes supplementary website to include further references, worked examples and figures from the book This book is structured and aimed at upper level undergraduate students within chemical engineering and other engineering disciplines looking for a comprehensive introduction to the subject. It is also of use to practitioners of process control where the integrated approach of physical and empirical modeling is particularly valuable.
Personalized Predictive Modeling in Diabetes features state-of-the-art methodologies and algorithmic approaches which have been applied to predictive modeling of glucose concentration, ranging from simple autoregressive models of the CGM time series to multivariate nonlinear regression techniques of machine learning. Developments in the field have been analyzed with respect to: (i) feature set (univariate or multivariate), (ii) regression technique (linear or non-linear), (iii) learning mechanism (batch or sequential), (iv) development and testing procedure and (v) scaling properties. In addition, simulation models of meal-derived glucose absorption and insulin dynamics and kinetics are covered, as an integral part of glucose predictive models. This book will help engineers and clinicians to: select a regression technique which can capture both linear and non-linear dynamics in glucose metabolism in diabetes, and which exhibits good generalization performance under stationary and non-stationary conditions; ensure the scalability of the optimization algorithm (learning mechanism) with respect to the size of the dataset, provided that multiple days of patient monitoring are needed to obtain a reliable predictive model; select a features set which efficiently represents both spatial and temporal dependencies between the input variables and the glucose concentration; select simulation models of subcutaneous insulin absorption and meal absorption; identify an appropriate validation procedure, and identify realistic performance measures. Describes fundamentals of modeling techniques as applied to glucose control Covers model selection process and model validation Offers computer code on a companion website to show implementation of models and algorithms Features the latest developments in the field of diabetes predictive modeling
This thesis develops a systematic, data-based dynamic modeling framework for industrial processes in keeping with the slowness principle. Using said framework as a point of departure, it then proposes novel strategies for dealing with control monitoring and quality prediction problems in industrial production contexts. The thesis reveals the slowly varying nature of industrial production processes under feedback control, and integrates it with process data analytics to offer powerful prior knowledge that gives rise to statistical methods tailored to industrial data. It addresses several issues of immediate interest in industrial practice, including process monitoring, control performance assessment and diagnosis, monitoring system design, and product quality prediction. In particular, it proposes a holistic and pragmatic design framework for industrial monitoring systems, which delivers effective elimination of false alarms, as well as intelligent self-running by fully utilizing the information underlying the data. One of the strengths of this thesis is its integration of insights from statistics, machine learning, control theory and engineering to provide a new scheme for industrial process modeling in the era of big data.
This book provides a complete picture of several decision support tools for predictive maintenance. These include embedding early anomaly/fault detection, diagnosis and reasoning, remaining useful life prediction (fault prognostics), quality prediction and self-reaction, as well as optimization, control and self-healing techniques. It shows recent applications of these techniques within various types of industrial (production/utilities/equipment/plants/smart devices, etc.) systems addressing several challenges in Industry 4.0 and different tasks dealing with Big Data Streams, Internet of Things, specific infrastructures and tools, high system dynamics and non-stationary environments . Applications discussed include production and manufacturing systems, renewable energy production and management, maritime systems, power plants and turbines, conditioning systems, compressor valves, induction motors, flight simulators, railway infrastructures, mobile robots, cyber security and Internet of Things. The contributors go beyond state of the art by placing a specific focus on dynamic systems, where it is of utmost importance to update system and maintenance models on the fly to maintain their predictive power.
Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.
Big data is a cornerstone component of the fourth industrial revolution, which calls onengineers and researchers to fully utilize data in order to make smart decisions and enhance the efficiency of industrial processes as well as control systems. In practice, industrial process control systems typically rely on a data-driven model (often linear) with parameters that are determined by industrial/simulation data. However, in some scenarios, such as in profit-critical or quality-critical control loops, first-principles concepts that are based on the underlying physico-chemical phenomena may also need to be employed in the modeling phase to improve data-based process models. Hence, process systems engineers still face significant challenges when it comes to modeling large-scale, complicated nonlinear processes. Modeling will continue to be crucial since process models are essential components of cutting-edge model-based control systems, such as model predictive control (MPC). Machine learning models have a lot of potential based on their success in numerousapplications. Specifically, recurrent neural network (RNN) models, designed to account for every input-output interconnection, have gained popularity in providing approximation of various highly nonlinear chemical processes to a desired accuracy. Although the training error of neural networks that are dense and fully-connected may often be made sufficiently small, their accuracy can be further improved by incorporating prior knowledge in the structure development of such machine learning models. Physics-based recurrent neural networks modeling has yielded more reliable machine learning models than traditional, fully black-box, machine learning modeling methods. Furthermore, the development of systematic and rigorous approaches to integrate such machine learning techniques into nonlinear model-based process control systems is only getting started. In particular, physics-based machine learning modeling techniques can be employed to derive more accurate and well-conditioned dynamic process models to be utilized in advanced control systems such as model predictive control. Along with Lyapunov-based stability constraints, this scheme has the potential to significantly improve process operational performance and dynamics. Hence, investigating the effectiveness of this control scheme under the various long-standing challenges in the field of process systems engineering such as incomplete state measurements, and noise and uncertainty is essential. Also, a theoretical framework for constructing and assessing the generalizability of this type of machine learning models to be utilized in model predictive control systems is lacking. In light of the aforementioned considerations, this dissertation addresses the incorporation ofprior process knowledge into machine learning models for model predictive control of nonlinear chemical processes. The motivation, background and outline of this dissertation are first presented. Then, the use of machine learning modeling techniques to construct two different data-driven state observers to compensate for incomplete process measurements is presented. The closed-loop stability under Lyapunov-based model predictive controllers is then addressed. Next, the development of process-structure-based machine learning models to approximate large, nonlinear chemical processes is presented, with the improvements yielded by this approach demonstrated via open-loop and closed-loop simulations. Subsequently, the reliability of process-structure-based machine learning models is investigated in the presence of different types of industrial noise. Two novel approaches are proposed to enhance the accuracy of machine learning models in the presence of noise. Lastly, a theoretical framework that connects the accuracy of an RNN model to its structure is presented, where an upper bound on a physics-based RNN model's generalization error is established. Nonlinear chemical process examples are numerically simulated or modeled in Aspen Plus Dynamics to illustrate the effectiveness and performance of the proposed control methods throughout the dissertation.
In longitudinal studies it is often of interest to investigate how a marker that is repeatedly measured in time is associated with a time to an event of interest, e.g., prostate cancer studies where longitudinal PSA level measurements are collected in conjunction with the time-to-recurrence. Joint Models for Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data: With Applications in R provides a full treatment of random effects joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes that can be utilized to analyze such data. The content is primarily explanatory, focusing on applications of joint modeling, but sufficient mathematical details are provided to facilitate understanding of the key features of these models. All illustrations put forward can be implemented in the R programming language via the freely available package JM written by the author. All the R code used in the book is available at: http://jmr.r-forge.r-project.org/
