Predictability of Stock Market Prices
Author: Clive William John Granger
Publisher:
Published: 1970
Total Pages: 346
ISBN-13:
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Meaning Predictability in Word Formation
Author: Pavol Štekauer
Publisher: John Benjamins Publishing
Published: 2005-03-18
Total Pages: 313
ISBN-13: 9027294569
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book aims to contribute to a growing interest amongst psycholinguists and morphologists in the mechanisms of meaning predictability. It presents a brand-new model of the meaning-prediction of novel, context-free naming units, relating the wordformation and wordinterpretation processes. Unlike previous studies, mostly focussed on N+N compounds, the scope of this book is much wider. It not only covers all types of complex words, but also discusses a whole range of predictability-boosting and -reducing conditions. Two measures are introduced, the Predictability Rate and the Objectified Predictability Rate, in order to compare the strength of predictable readings both within a word and relative to the most predictable readings of other coinages. Four extensive experiments indicate inter alia the equal predicting capacity of native and non-native speakers, the close interconnection between linguistic and extra-linguistic factors, the important role of prototypical semes, and the usual dominance of a single central reading.
Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability
Author: Daniel S. Vacanti
Publisher:
Published: 2015-03-04
Total Pages: 314
ISBN-13: 9780986436338
DOWNLOAD EBOOK"When will it be done?" That is probably the first question your customers ask you once you start working on something for them. Think about how many times you have been asked that question. How many times have you ever actually been right? We can debate all we want whether this is a fair question to ask given the tremendous amount of uncertainty in knowledge work, but the truth of the matter is that our customers are going to inquire about completion time whether we like it or not. Which means we need to come up with an accurate way to answer them. The problem is that the forecasting tools that we currently utilize have made us ill-equipped to provide accurate answers to reasonable customer questions. Until now. Topics Include Why managing for flow is the best strategy for predictability-including an introduction to Little's Law and its implications for flow. A definition of the basic metrics of flow and how to properly visualize those metrics in analytics like Cumulative Flow Diagrams and Scatterplots. Why your process policies are the potentially the biggest reason that you are unpredictable.
Generating Predictability
Author: Christoph Engel
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2005-11-17
Total Pages: 348
ISBN-13: 9781139448307
DOWNLOAD EBOOKHuman behaviour is infinitely complex, the result of thousands of interactions between predispositions, external factors and physical and cognitive processes. It is also highly unpredictable, which makes meaningful social engagement difficult without the aid of some external framework such as that offered by an institution. Both formal and informal institutions can provide the element of predictability necessary for successful, complex interactions, a factor which is often overlooked by institutional analysts and designers. Drawing on a wide range of disciplines including psychology, economics, and sociological and political studies, this book develops a coherent and accessible theory for explaining the unpredictability of individual behaviour. The author then highlights the danger of institutional reforms undermining the very capacity to generate predictability which is so central to their success. This book will appeal to academics, researchers and professionals in many fields including management studies, behavioural economics and the new, interdisciplinary field of institutional design.
Do Lunch Or be Lunch
Author: Howard H. Stevenson
Publisher: H B S Press
Published: 1998
Total Pages: 294
ISBN-13: 9780875847979
DOWNLOAD EBOOKExplains how to refine predictive skills, make decisions, measure risk, understand conflict, and improve human interactions
Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability
Author: Eugenia Kalnay
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2003
Total Pages: 368
ISBN-13: 9780521796293
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book, first published in 2002, is a graduate-level text on numerical weather prediction, including atmospheric modeling, data assimilation and predictability.
Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Published: 2010-10-08
Total Pages: 192
ISBN-13: 030915183X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKMore accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.
Predictability of Weather and Climate
Author: Tim Palmer
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2014-07-10
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9781107414853
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.
Predictably Irrational
Author: Dan Ariely
Publisher: Harper Collins
Published: 2008-02
Total Pages: 310
ISBN-13: 006135323X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKIntelligent, lively, humorous, and thoroughly engaging, "The Predictably Irrational" explains why people often make bad decisions and what can be done about it.
Soft Real-Time Systems: Predictability vs. Efficiency
Author: Giorgio C Buttazzo
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2006-07-02
Total Pages: 281
ISBN-13: 0387281479
DOWNLOAD EBOOKHard real-time systems are very predictable, but not sufficiently flexible to adapt to dynamic situations. They are built under pessimistic assumptions to cope with worst-case scenarios, so they often waste resources. Soft real-time systems are built to reduce resource consumption, tolerate overloads and adapt to system changes. They are also more suited to novel applications of real-time technology, such as multimedia systems, monitoring apparatuses, telecommunication networks, mobile robotics, virtual reality, and interactive computer games. This unique monograph provides concrete methods for building flexible, predictable soft real-time systems, in order to optimize resources and reduce costs. It is an invaluable reference for developers, as well as researchers and students in Computer Science.
