The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-01-24

Total Pages: 79

ISBN-13: 1484338502

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This IMF Staff Report for 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that Ethiopia has recorded annual average GDP growth of about ten percent in the last decade, driven by public investments in agriculture and infrastructure. The poverty rate has fallen from 44 percent in 2000 to 23.5 percent in 2015/16. In 2016/17 GDP growth is estimated at 9 percent, as agriculture rebounded from severe drought conditions in 2015/16. Industrial activity expanded, with continued investments in infrastructure and manufacturing. The current account deficit declined in 2016/17 to 8.2 percent of GDP. Over the medium term, growth is expected to remain about 8 percent, supported by sustained expansion in exports and investment.


The effect of exchange rates on economic growth in Ethiopia

The effect of exchange rates on economic growth in Ethiopia

Author: Muluken Nigussie Tessema

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2020-04-08

Total Pages: 81

ISBN-13: 334614514X

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Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Business economics - General, grade: 3.68, Saint Mary's University, language: English, abstract: This study attempts to investigate the effect of exchange rates on economic growth in Ethiopia using annual time series data spanning from 1985/86 to 2014/15. The explanatory variables in this study were real effective exchange rate, government final consumption expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, broad money supply and trade openness. The multilateral real exchange rates is used to measure real exchange rates. Results from Vector Error Correction Model revealed that real effective exchange rates, broad money supply and trade openness have a positive long run effect on economic growth, while government final consumption have a negative long run effect on the economic growth of Ethiopia. From the regression results, it was noted that undervaluation of the currency is contractionary in the long run and neutral in the short- run. As such, the effect of exchange rates on economic growth works through the supply channel. It is the reflection of various economic and policy shocks, mainly a strategy shifts, of the government. Based on the findings of this study, the researcher recommended that since the Ethiopian output is dominated by primary agricultural products and it is insensitive for the change in exchange rate. Government intervention is needed to balance the adverse effect of exchange rate movements until the economy well transformed from agricultural lead economy to industrial lead economy and becomes less dependent on imported raw materials.


Taxation, Responsiveness and Accountability in Sub-Saharan Africa

Taxation, Responsiveness and Accountability in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author: Wilson Prichard

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2015-09-11

Total Pages: 309

ISBN-13: 1316453731

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It is increasingly argued that bargaining between citizens and governments over tax collection can provide a foundation for the development of responsive and accountable governance in developing countries. However, while intuitively attractive, surprisingly little research has captured the reality and complexity of this relationship in practice. This book provides the most complete treatment of the connections between taxation and accountability in developing countries, providing both new evidence and an invaluable starting point for future research. Drawing on cross-country econometric evidence and detailed case studies from Ghana, Kenya and Ethiopia, Wilson Prichard shows that reliance on taxation has, in fact, increased responsiveness and accountability by expanding the political power wielded by taxpayers. Critically, however, processes of tax bargaining have been highly varied, frequently long term and contextually contingent. Capturing this diversity provides novel insight into politics in developing countries and how tax reform can be designed to encourage broader governance gains.


IMF Staff papers

IMF Staff papers

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1951-01-01

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13: 145197146X

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This paper explains contribution of the September 1949 devaluations to the solution of Europe’s dollar problem. After the devaluations, the dollar value of exports to the United States from the devaluing countries in Europe recovered from the low levels of the second and third quarters of 1949, but this recovery, which restored exports in the first half of 1950 approximately to the 1948 level should be attributed in large part to the recovery in the US economy rather than to the devaluations. Between the first half of 1949 and the first half of 1950, Europe's dollar imports declined by one-third. Most of this decline occurred, however, between the second and third quarter of 1949, that is, before the devaluations. With imports generally controlled, the effect of the devaluations appeared much more in the reduction of pressure on the control authorities, the substitution of the price mechanism for at least part of the controls as barriers to imports, and the consequent more rational allocation of the relatively scarce dollars among different uses and different users.


Exchange Rates and Trade

Exchange Rates and Trade

Author: Mr.Daniel Leigh

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2017-03-15

Total Pages: 52

ISBN-13: 147558749X

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We examine the stability and strength of the relationship between exchange rates and trade over time using three alternative approaches, mitigating the endogeneity of the relation. We find that both exchange rate pass-through and the price elasticity of trade volumes are largely stable over time. Economic slack and financial conditions affect the relationship, but there is limited evidence that participation in global value chains has significantly changed the exchange rate–trade relationship over time.


Our Continent, Our Future

Our Continent, Our Future

Author: P. Thandika Mkandawire

Publisher: IDRC

Published: 2014-05-14

Total Pages: 192

ISBN-13: 155250204X

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Our Continent, Our Future presents the emerging African perspective on this complex issue. The authors use as background their own extensive experience and a collection of 30 individual studies, 25 of which were from African economists, to summarize this African perspective and articulate a path for the future. They underscore the need to be sensitive to each country's unique history and current condition. They argue for a broader policy agenda and for a much more active role for the state within what is largely a market economy. Finally, they stress that Africa must, and can, compete in an increasingly globalized world and, perhaps most importantly, that Africans must assume the leading role in defining the continent's development agenda.


The Oxford Handbook of the Ethiopian Economy

The Oxford Handbook of the Ethiopian Economy

Author: Fantu Cheru

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2019-01-10

Total Pages: 1017

ISBN-13: 0192546457

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From a war-torn and famine-plagued country at the beginning of the 1990s, Ethiopia is today emerging as one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa. Growth in Ethiopia has surpassed that of every other sub-Saharan country over the past decade and is forecast by the International Monetary Fund to exceed 8 percent over the next two years. The government has set its eyes on transforming the country into a middle-income country by 2025, and into a leading manufacturing hub in Africa. The Oxford Handbook of the Ethiopian Economy studies this country's unique model of development, where the state plays a central role, and where a successful industrialization drive has challenged the long-held erroneous assumption that industrial policy will never work in poor African countries. While much of the volume is focused on post-1991 economic development policy and strategy, the analysis is set against the background of the long history of Ethiopia, and more specifically on the Imperial period that ended in 1974, the socialist development experiment of the Derg regime between 1974 and 1991, and the policies and strategies of the current EPRDF government that assumed power in 1991. Including a range of contributions from both academic and professional standpoints, this volume is a key reference work on the economy of Ethiopia.


A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System

A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System

Author: Michael D. Bordo

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-12-01

Total Pages: 692

ISBN-13: 0226066908

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At the close of the Second World War, when industrialized nations faced serious trade and financial imbalances, delegates from forty-four countries met in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, in order to reconstruct the international monetary system. In this volume, three generations of scholars and policy makers, some of whom participated in the 1944 conference, consider how the Bretton Woods System contributed to unprecedented economic stability and rapid growth for 25 years and discuss the problems that plagued the system and led to its eventual collapse in 1971. The contributors explore adjustment, liquidity, and transmission under the System; the way it affected developing countries; and the role of the International Monetary Fund in maintaining a stable rate. The authors examine the reasons for the System's success and eventual collapse, compare it to subsequent monetary regimes, such as the European Monetary System, and address the possibility of a new fixed exchange rate for today's world.