Parameter Sensitivity in Non-linear Models
Author: Arvind Khilnani
Publisher:
Published: 1974
Total Pages: 56
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKRead and Download eBook Full
Author: Arvind Khilnani
Publisher:
Published: 1974
Total Pages: 56
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: S. Arnod
Publisher:
Published: 1995
Total Pages: 11
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: R. I. Cukier
Publisher:
Published: 1974
Total Pages: 118
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKLarge sets of coupled, nonlinear equations arise in a number of disciplines in connection with computer based models of physical, social and economic processes. Solutions for such large systems of equations must be effected by means of digital computers using appropriately designed codes. This paper addresses itself to the critically important problem of how sensitive the solutions are to variations of, or inherent uncertainties in, the parameters of the equation set. We review here, and also present further developments, of our statistical method of sensitivity analysis. The sensitivity analysis presented here is nonlinear and thus permits one to study the effects of large deviations from the nominal parameter values. In addition, since all parameters are varied simultaneously, one can explore regions of parameter space where several parameters deviate simultaneously from their nominal values. Developed her eis a theory of a method of sensitivity analysis, then detail the method of implementation and finally present several examples of its use to date.
Author: Hal Caswell
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2019-04-02
Total Pages: 308
ISBN-13: 3030105342
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis open access book shows how to use sensitivity analysis in demography. It presents new methods for individuals, cohorts, and populations, with applications to humans, other animals, and plants. The analyses are based on matrix formulations of age-classified, stage-classified, and multistate population models. Methods are presented for linear and nonlinear, deterministic and stochastic, and time-invariant and time-varying cases. Readers will discover results on the sensitivity of statistics of longevity, life disparity, occupancy times, the net reproductive rate, and statistics of Markov chain models in demography. They will also see applications of sensitivity analysis to population growth rates, stable population structures, reproductive value, equilibria under immigration and nonlinearity, and population cycles. Individual stochasticity is a theme throughout, with a focus that goes beyond expected values to include variances in demographic outcomes. The calculations are easily and accurately implemented in matrix-oriented programming languages such as Matlab or R. Sensitivity analysis will help readers create models to predict the effect of future changes, to evaluate policy effects, and to identify possible evolutionary responses to the environment. Complete with many examples of the application, the book will be of interest to researchers and graduate students in human demography and population biology. The material will also appeal to those in mathematical biology and applied mathematics.
Author: Malamas Caracotsios
Publisher:
Published: 1986
Total Pages: 424
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: J. Grasman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2012-12-06
Total Pages: 662
ISBN-13: 9401109621
DOWNLOAD EBOOKResearchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve the quality of forecasts of processes that are sensitive to environmental conditions. Nonlinearity of a system may significantly complicate the predictability of future states: a small variation of parameters can dramatically change the dynamics, while sensitive dependence of the initial state may severely limit the predictability horizon. Uncertainties also play a role. This volume addresses such problems by using tools from chaos theory and systems theory, adapted for the analysis of problems in the environmental sciences. Sensitive dependence on the initial state (chaos) and the parameters are analyzed using methods such as Lyapunov exponents and Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in the structure and the values of parameters of a model is studied in relation to processes that depend on the environmental conditions. These methods also apply to biology and economics. For research workers at universities and (semi)governmental institutes for the environment, agriculture, ecology, meteorology and water management, and theoretical economists.
Author: Harvey Motulsky
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Published: 2004-05-27
Total Pages: 352
ISBN-13: 9780198038344
DOWNLOAD EBOOKMost biologists use nonlinear regression more than any other statistical technique, but there are very few places to learn about curve-fitting. This book, by the author of the very successful Intuitive Biostatistics, addresses this relatively focused need of an extraordinarily broad range of scientists.
Author: Chuili Sun
Publisher:
Published: 2005
Total Pages:
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Tom Proulx
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2011-05-20
Total Pages: 186
ISBN-13: 1441997199
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis the second volume of five from the 28th IMAC on Structural Dynamics and Renewable Energy, 2010, bringing together 17 chapters on Applications of Non-Linear Dynamics. It presents early findings from experimental and computational investigations on Non-Linear Dynamics including studies on Dynamics of a System of Coupled Oscillators with Geometrically Nonlinear Damping, Assigning the Nonlinear Distortions of a Two-input Single-output System, A Multi-harmonic Approach to Updating Locally Nonlinear Structures, A Block Rocking on a Seesawing Foundation, and Enhanced Order Reduction of Forced Nonlinear Systems Using New Ritz Vectors.
Author: Andrea Saltelli
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 2008-02-28
Total Pages: 304
ISBN-13: 9780470725177
DOWNLOAD EBOOKComplex mathematical and computational models are used in all areas of society and technology and yet model based science is increasingly contested or refuted, especially when models are applied to controversial themes in domains such as health, the environment or the economy. More stringent standards of proofs are demanded from model-based numbers, especially when these numbers represent potential financial losses, threats to human health or the state of the environment. Quantitative sensitivity analysis is generally agreed to be one such standard. Mathematical models are good at mapping assumptions into inferences. A modeller makes assumptions about laws pertaining to the system, about its status and a plethora of other, often arcane, system variables and internal model settings. To what extent can we rely on the model-based inference when most of these assumptions are fraught with uncertainties? Global Sensitivity Analysis offers an accessible treatment of such problems via quantitative sensitivity analysis, beginning with the first principles and guiding the reader through the full range of recommended practices with a rich set of solved exercises. The text explains the motivation for sensitivity analysis, reviews the required statistical concepts, and provides a guide to potential applications. The book: Provides a self-contained treatment of the subject, allowing readers to learn and practice global sensitivity analysis without further materials. Presents ways to frame the analysis, interpret its results, and avoid potential pitfalls. Features numerous exercises and solved problems to help illustrate the applications. Is authored by leading sensitivity analysis practitioners, combining a range of disciplinary backgrounds. Postgraduate students and practitioners in a wide range of subjects, including statistics, mathematics, engineering, physics, chemistry, environmental sciences, biology, toxicology, actuarial sciences, and econometrics will find much of use here. This book will prove equally valuable to engineers working on risk analysis and to financial analysts concerned with pricing and hedging.