On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills
Author: Roy Henriksson
Publisher:
Published: 2023-07-18
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9781021216878
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Author: Roy Henriksson
Publisher:
Published: 2023-07-18
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9781021216878
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Robert C Merton
Publisher: Legare Street Press
Published: 2022-10-27
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9781016230889
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the "public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Author: Valeriy Zakamulin
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2017-11-17
Total Pages: 300
ISBN-13: 331960970X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book provides a comprehensive guide to market timing using moving averages. Part I explores the foundations of market timing rules, presenting a methodology for examining how the value of a trading indicator is computed. Using this methodology the author then applies the computation of trading indicators to a variety of market timing rules to analyse the commonalities and differences between the rules. Part II goes on to present a comprehensive analysis of the empirical performance of trading rules based on moving averages.
Author: P. Glabadanidis
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2015-07-15
Total Pages: 285
ISBN-13: 1137359838
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThere is a prevailing view among researchers and practitioners that abnormal risk-adjusted returns are an anomaly of financial market inefficiency. This outlook is misleading, since such returns only shed light on the imperfect models commonly used to measure and benchmark investment performance. In particular, using static asset pricing models to judge the performance of a dynamic investment strategy leads to flawed inferences when predicting market indicators. Market Timing and Moving Averages investigates the performance of moving average price indicators as a tactical asset allocation strategy. Glabadanidis provides a rationale for analyzing and testing the market timing and predictive power of any indicator based on past average prices and trading volume. He argues that certain trading strategies are best implemented as a dynamic asset allocation without selling short, in turn achieving the effect of an imperfect at-the-money protective put option. This work contains an empirical analysis of the performance of various versions of trading strategies based on simple moving averages.
Author: Ben Carlson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 2015-06-22
Total Pages: 231
ISBN-13: 1119024927
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA simple guide to a smarter strategy for the individual investor A Wealth of Common Sense sheds a refreshing light on investing, and shows you how a simplicity-based framework can lead to better investment decisions. The financial market is a complex system, but that doesn't mean it requires a complex strategy; in fact, this false premise is the driving force behind many investors' market "mistakes." Information is important, but understanding and perspective are the keys to better decision-making. This book describes the proper way to view the markets and your portfolio, and show you the simple strategies that make investing more profitable, less confusing, and less time-consuming. Without the burden of short-term performance benchmarks, individual investors have the advantage of focusing on the long view, and the freedom to construct the kind of portfolio that will serve their investment goals best. This book proves how complex strategies essentially waste these advantages, and provides an alternative game plan for those ready to simplify. Complexity is often used as a mechanism for talking investors into unnecessary purchases, when all most need is a deeper understanding of conventional options. This book explains which issues you actually should pay attention to, and which ones are simply used for an illusion of intelligence and control. Keep up with—or beat—professional money managers Exploit stock market volatility to your utmost advantage Learn where advisors and consultants fit into smart strategy Build a portfolio that makes sense for your particular situation You don't have to outsmart the market if you can simply outperform it. Cut through the confusion and noise and focus on what actually matters. A Wealth of Common Sense clears the air, and gives you the insight you need to become a smarter, more successful investor.
Author: Jon Gregory Taylor
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 1997-11-25
Total Pages: 234
ISBN-13: 9780471188797
DOWNLOAD EBOOKEin übersichtlicher Leitfaden für eine nützliche Technik! Der Autor, Experte der Zeitplanung im Investmentgeschäft, erklärt dem Finanz- und Investmentprofi in diesem Buch, wie er seinen Ertrag in verschiedenen Stadien des Geschäftszyklus abschätzen kann. Dabei wird auf alle Facetten des Investments wie Aktien-, Wertpapier- und Fondsgeschäft eingegangen. (11/97)
Author: Gerald Appel
Publisher: FT Press
Published: 2008-12-11
Total Pages: 213
ISBN-13: 0137154526
DOWNLOAD EBOOK“In this compelling book, Gerald Appel distills a lifetime of learning about what works on Wall Street into key principles of investment success. Whether you are new to the world of finance or you’re a veteran portfolio manager, you will gain from Gerald’s innovative research and his discerning insights into price behavior.” Nelson Freeburg, Editor and Publisher, Formula Research “This new book by Gerald Appel follows the rich legacy he has established over the years; it is a treasure chest of valuable advice which bestows on the reader the benefit of his decades of investment experience. It receives my highest recommendation.” Edward D. Dobson, President, Traders Press You can clearly outperform the stock market indexes and a “buy and hold” approach to investing. Leading investment expert Gerald Appel shows you how. Appel introduces The Weekly Stock Market Power Gauge that employs three specific market timing indicators that have had excellent performance histories going back as far as 1970. These timing indicators enable you to gauge the market strength and can be maintained by almost any investor in only a few minutes per week. Using Appel’s techniques, you’ll learn how to forecast the likely direction of the market, and its relative strength compared with fixed income and other investments. The book provides exact buy-sell indicators, with specific signal generators and track records for readers to follow. In addition, Appel’s techniques help you identify the specific mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and market sectors that are likely to be most profitable. Simply put, Appel shows you what information you need to forecast the direction of stock prices with high probabilities of success, where to readily locate that information, how to interpret that information, and when to enter and when to exit the stock market. Gauge the market’s true inner pulse... ...and identify major market shifts in time to leverage them Optimize your portfolio’s blend of risk and reward Use proven timing models to systematically reduce risk and maximize profit opportunities Master powerful momentum investing techniques Win by going with the flow, not against it Select the right equities, ETFs, and mutual funds Objectively choose the best investments in any market environment
Author: Aswath Damodaran
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 2012-06-22
Total Pages: 615
ISBN-13: 1118235614
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe guide for investors who want a better understanding of investment strategies that have stood the test of time This thoroughly revised and updated edition of Investment Philosophies covers different investment philosophies and reveal the beliefs that underlie each one, the evidence on whether the strategies that arise from the philosophy actually produce results, and what an investor needs to bring to the table to make the philosophy work. The book covers a wealth of strategies including indexing, passive and activist value investing, growth investing, chart/technical analysis, market timing, arbitrage, and many more investment philosophies. Presents the tools needed to understand portfolio management and the variety of strategies available to achieve investment success Explores the process of creating and managing a portfolio Shows readers how to profit like successful value growth index investors Aswath Damodaran is a well-known academic and practitioner in finance who is an expert on different approaches to valuation and investment This vital resource examines various investing philosophies and provides you with helpful online resources and tools to fully investigate each investment philosophy and assess whether it is a philosophy that is appropriate for you.
Author: Gerald Appel
Publisher: FT Press
Published: 2008-01-17
Total Pages: 241
ISBN-13: 0132703297
DOWNLOAD EBOOK“The authors have created a simple, systematic plan that gives investors a long-term edge with minimal effort and reduced risk. They’ve done all the work for you, and it’s rewarding and easy to follow.” –Bob Kargenian, President, TABR Capital Management “There are diamonds in them thar hills’ — but to find investment grade diamonds it pays to have experienced guides. Gerald and Marvin Appel provide a simple but powerful plan for the often complex world of investment opportunities.” –Dr. Alexander Elder, Author of Come Into My Trading Room and Trading for a Living A Complete Roadmap for Investing Like a Pro That Requires Only 1 Hour Every 3 Months The easy way to build a winning portfolio–and keep winning Reduce risk, increase growth, and protect wealth even in tough, volatile markets Absolutely NO background in math or finance necessary! You can do better! You don’t have to settle for “generic” investment performance, and you needn’t delegate your decision-making to expensive investment managers. This book shows how you can quickly and easily build your optimal global portfolio–and then keep it optimized, in just one hour every three months. Top investment managers Gerald and Marvin Appel provide specific recommendations and simple selection techniques that any investor can use–even novices. The Appels’ approach is remarkably simple and requires only one hour of your time every 3 months, but don’t let that fool you: it draws on state-of-the-art strategies currently being used that really work. www.systemsandforecasts.com www.appelasset.com www.signalert.com If you know what to do, active investing can yield far better returns than “buy-and-hold” investing. But conventional approaches to active investing can be highly complex and time-consuming. Finally, there’s a proven, easy-to-use approach: one that’s simple enough for novices, quick enough for anyone, requires no background in math–and works! Gerald and Marvin Appel show you how to identify, and give you specific recommendations for, the best mutual funds, ETFs, bond funds, and international funds. They do not stop there. They demonstrate how you can quickly and easily evaluate each investment’s performance every 3 months, and how to make adjustments to continually optimize the performance of your portfolio. Using their easy to implement strategies, you can achieve better capital growth while reducing risk; profit from new opportunities at home and abroad; make the most of innovative investment vehicles; and protect your assets even in the toughest markets. Improving rates of return while you also reduce risk Setting intelligent investment targets and implementing strategies to meet them Identifying today’s most profitable market sectors... ...and those that will continue to lead Short-term vs. long-term bonds, mature vs. emerging markets What to choose now, and when to switch
Author: Jon Lukomnik
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2021-04-29
Total Pages: 175
ISBN-13: 100037615X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKMoving Beyond Modern Portfolio Theory: Investing That Matters tells the story of how Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) revolutionized the investing world and the real economy, but is now showing its age. MPT has no mechanism to understand its impacts on the environmental, social and financial systems, nor any tools for investors to mitigate the havoc that systemic risks can wreck on their portfolios. It’s time for MPT to evolve. The authors propose a new imperative to improve finance’s ability to fulfil its twin main purposes: providing adequate returns to individuals and directing capital to where it is needed in the economy. They show how some of the largest investors in the world focus not on picking stocks, but on mitigating systemic risks, such as climate change and a lack of gender diversity, so as to improve the risk/return of the market as a whole, despite current theory saying that should be impossible. "Moving beyond MPT" recognizes the complex relations between investing and the systems on which capital markets rely, "Investing that matters" embraces MPT’s focus on diversification and risk adjusted return, but understands them in the context of the real economy and the total return needs of investors. Whether an investor, an MBA student, a Finance Professor or a sustainability professional, Moving Beyond Modern Portfolio Theory: Investing That Matters is thought-provoking and relevant. Its bold critique shows how the real world already is moving beyond investing orthodoxy.