Model Selection and Multimodel Inference
Model Selection and Multimodel Inference

Author: Kenneth P. Burnham

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2007-05-28

Total Pages: 512

ISBN-13: 0387224564

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

A unique and comprehensive text on the philosophy of model-based data analysis and strategy for the analysis of empirical data. The book introduces information theoretic approaches and focuses critical attention on a priori modeling and the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data. It contains several new approaches to estimating model selection uncertainty and incorporating selection uncertainty into estimates of precision. An array of examples is given to illustrate various technical issues. The text has been written for biologists and statisticians using models for making inferences from empirical data.

Regression and Time Series Model Selection
Regression and Time Series Model Selection

Author: Allan D. R. McQuarrie

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 1998

Total Pages: 479

ISBN-13: 9812385452

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This important book describes procedures for selecting a model from a large set of competing statistical models. It includes model selection techniques for univariate and multivariate regression models, univariate and multivariate autoregressive models, nonparametric (including wavelets) and semiparametric regression models, and quasi-likelihood and robust regression models. Information-based model selection criteria are discussed, and small sample and asymptotic properties are presented. The book also provides examples and large scale simulation studies comparing the performances of information-based model selection criteria, bootstrapping, and cross-validation selection methods over a wide range of models.

Hypothesis Testing and Model Selection in the Social Sciences
Hypothesis Testing and Model Selection in the Social Sciences

Author: David L. Weakliem

Publisher: Guilford Publications

Published: 2016-04-25

Total Pages: 217

ISBN-13: 1462525652

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Examining the major approaches to hypothesis testing and model selection, this book blends statistical theory with recommendations for practice, illustrated with real-world social science examples. It systematically compares classical (frequentist) and Bayesian approaches, showing how they are applied, exploring ways to reconcile the differences between them, and evaluating key controversies and criticisms. The book also addresses the role of hypothesis testing in the evaluation of theories, the relationship between hypothesis tests and confidence intervals, and the role of prior knowledge in Bayesian estimation and Bayesian hypothesis testing. Two easily calculated alternatives to standard hypothesis tests are discussed in depth: the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC). The companion website ([ital]www.guilford.com/weakliem-materials[/ital]) supplies data and syntax files for the book's examples.

Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling
Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling

Author: Tomohiro Ando

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2010-05-27

Total Pages: 300

ISBN-13: 9781439836156

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Along with many practical applications, Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling presents an array of Bayesian inference and model selection procedures. It thoroughly explains the concepts, illustrates the derivations of various Bayesian model selection criteria through examples, and provides R code for implementation. The author shows how to implement a variety of Bayesian inference using R and sampling methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo. He covers the different types of simulation-based Bayesian model selection criteria, including the numerical calculation of Bayes factors, the Bayesian predictive information criterion, and the deviance information criterion. He also provides a theoretical basis for the analysis of these criteria. In addition, the author discusses how Bayesian model averaging can simultaneously treat both model and parameter uncertainties. Selecting and constructing the appropriate statistical model significantly affect the quality of results in decision making, forecasting, stochastic structure explorations, and other problems. Helping you choose the right Bayesian model, this book focuses on the framework for Bayesian model selection and includes practical examples of model selection criteria.

Model Selection and Error Estimation in a Nutshell
Model Selection and Error Estimation in a Nutshell

Author: Luca Oneto

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2019-07-17

Total Pages: 132

ISBN-13: 3030243591

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

How can we select the best performing data-driven model? How can we rigorously estimate its generalization error? Statistical learning theory answers these questions by deriving non-asymptotic bounds on the generalization error of a model or, in other words, by upper bounding the true error of the learned model based just on quantities computed on the available data. However, for a long time, Statistical learning theory has been considered only an abstract theoretical framework, useful for inspiring new learning approaches, but with limited applicability to practical problems. The purpose of this book is to give an intelligible overview of the problems of model selection and error estimation, by focusing on the ideas behind the different statistical learning theory approaches and simplifying most of the technical aspects with the purpose of making them more accessible and usable in practice. The book starts by presenting the seminal works of the 80’s and includes the most recent results. It discusses open problems and outlines future directions for research.

Concentration Inequalities and Model Selection
Concentration Inequalities and Model Selection

Author: Pascal Massart

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2007-04-26

Total Pages: 346

ISBN-13: 3540485031

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Concentration inequalities have been recognized as fundamental tools in several domains such as geometry of Banach spaces or random combinatorics. They also turn to be essential tools to develop a non asymptotic theory in statistics. This volume provides an overview of a non asymptotic theory for model selection. It also discusses some selected applications to variable selection, change points detection and statistical learning.

Model Selection and Inference
Model Selection and Inference

Author: Kenneth P. Burnham

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-11-11

Total Pages: 373

ISBN-13: 1475729170

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Statisticians and applied scientists must often select a model to fit empirical data. This book discusses the philosophy and strategy of selecting such a model using the information theory approach pioneered by Hirotugu Akaike. This approach focuses critical attention on a priori modeling and the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data. The book includes practical applications in biology and environmental science.

Econometric Model Selection
Econometric Model Selection

Author: Antonio Aznar Grasa

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-03-09

Total Pages: 265

ISBN-13: 9401713588

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book proposes a new methodology for the selection of one (model) from among a set of alternative econometric models. Let us recall that a model is an abstract representation of reality which brings out what is relevant to a particular economic issue. An econometric model is also an analytical characterization of the joint probability distribution of some random variables of interest, which yields some information on how the actual economy works. This information will be useful only if it is accurate and precise; that is, the information must be far from ambiguous and close to what we observe in the real world Thus, model selection should be performed on the basis of statistics which summarize the degree of accuracy and precision of each model. A model is accurate if it predicts right; it is precise if it produces tight confidence intervals. A first general approach to model selection includes those procedures based on both characteristics, precision and accuracy. A particularly interesting example of this approach is that of Hildebrand, Laing and Rosenthal (1980). See also Hendry and Richard (1982). A second general approach includes those procedures that use only one of the two dimensions to discriminate among models. In general, most of the tests we are going to examine correspond to this category.