Model-based planning for post-conflict reconstruction: The case of Yemen
Model-based planning for post-conflict reconstruction: The case of Yemen

Author: Breisinger, Clemens

Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst

Published: 2020-05-20

Total Pages: 28

ISBN-13:

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Evidence-based planning for post-conflict reconstruction is often constrained by missing data and the shortcomings of conventional analytical methods. To overcome these constraints, we use economy-wide modeling methods to model the impact of war and reconstruction possibilities for the economy of Yemen. We first calibrate the model to pre-conflict data (2014) and validate it by replicating the most recent available dynamic needs assessments for Yemen that were elaborated by the World Bank. We then report model scenario results for unobserved development indicators, such as estimates for sector-level growth, employment, and poverty. For the post-conflict period, we use the assumptions of a recent dynamic needs assessment and assume gradual reconstruction of the war-induced damages by the target year 2024. Then we focus on uncertain institutional factors and investigate their importance for the country’s socio-economic development. Finally, we assess the potential structural characteristics of Yemen’s economy in the year 2024 and analyze potential risks and trade-offs associated with government’s institutional performance and the implications these have for the pace of post-conflict reconstruction.

The World Bank's Experience with Post-conflict Reconstruction
The World Bank's Experience with Post-conflict Reconstruction

Author:

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 1998-01-01

Total Pages: 124

ISBN-13: 9780821342909

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Clearing landmines, rehabilitating and integrating of excombatants, rebuilding the infrastructure, coordinating aid sources—these are just some of the issues confronting the Bank in post-conflict reconstruction. The explosion of civil conflicts in the post-Cold War world has tested the World Bank's ability to address unprecedented devastation of human and social capital.This study covers post-conflict reconstruction in nine countries, assessing relevant, recent Bank experience. It also presents case-studies for ongoing and future operations, which analyze: 1. the Bank's main strengths or comparative advantages; 2. its partnership with other donors, international organizations, and NGOs; 3. its role in reconstruction strategy and damage and needs assessment; 4. its role in rebuilding the economy and institutions of governance; 5. its management of resources and processes; 6. implications for monitoring and evaluation.

Post-Conflict Reconstruction
Post-Conflict Reconstruction

Author: Neil Ferguson

Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing

Published: 2010-10-12

Total Pages: 200

ISBN-13: 1443826022

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Violence and conflict are two of the greatest challenges the world will face in this millennium. Indeed, since the turn of the century, it is estimated that approximately four million people have died as a result of armed conflict. Ending these seemingly intractable conflicts is a priority for global stability. However, the signing of the peace accord or the ending of formal hostilities does not automatically bring a return to normality in these fractured societies. In practice, it is more likely that these fractured societies will face a period in the twilight between war and peace, a time when the world turns its attention to new problems and seemingly more pressing matters, leaving the country to struggle towards peace and a new social order. The book’s contributors deal with the challenges faced in creating the foundations for the development of a positive peace from a variety of multi-disciplinary perspectives, such as development studies, politics, psychoanalysis, psychology, sports studies and neuroscience. This breadth of perspectives offers innovative insights into the grey space between war and peace, which is home to millions of people across the globe and explores interventions which aim to create the conditions for positive post-conflict reconstruction.

World Development Report 2011
World Development Report 2011

Author: World Bank

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2011-05-01

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 0821384406

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The 2011 WDR on Conflict, Security and Development underlines the devastating impact of persistent conflict on a country or region's development prospects - noting that the 1.5 billion people living in conflict-affected areas are twice as likely to be in poverty. Its goal is to contribute concrete, practical suggestions on conflict and fragility.

After the Conflict
After the Conflict

Author: Sultan Barakat

Publisher: I.B. Tauris

Published: 2010-10-15

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781848854178

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Images of warn-torn societies, and of the disruption and devastation that inevitably result, are a regular feature of today's media. How can such societies, devastated by war, be successfully rehabilitated? What are the challenges of reconstruction and development? "After the Conflict" brings together a team of leading researchers and professionals with wide involvement in post-conflict scenarios - including Afghanistan, Rwanda, Kosovo, Somalia and Indonesia - to address these issues. Drawing upon their extensive experience, they set out the requirements they have found to be necessary to successful long-term reconstruction. This unique work draws together for the first time in a single volume the wide range of specialist knowledge necessary to this major international concern and presents vital new insights essential to successful long-term reconstruction and development of countries in the aftermath of war.

The Economic Impact of Conflicts and the Refugee Crisis in the Middle East and North Africa
The Economic Impact of Conflicts and the Refugee Crisis in the Middle East and North Africa

Author: Mr.Bjoern Rother

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-09-16

Total Pages: 43

ISBN-13: 1475535783

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In recent decades, the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA) has experienced more frequent and severe conflicts than in any other region of the world, exacting a devastating human toll. The region now faces unprecedented challenges, including the emergence of violent non-state actors, significant destruction, and a refugee crisis bigger than any since World War II. This paper raises awareness of the economic costs of conflicts on the countries directly involved and on their neighbors. It argues that appropriate macroeconomic policies can help mitigate the impact of conflicts in the short term, and that fostering higher and more inclusive growth can help address some of the root causes of conflicts over the long term. The paper also highlights the crucial role of external partners, including the IMF, in helping MENA countries tackle these challenges.

Rebuilding Yemen
Rebuilding Yemen

Author: Noel Brehony

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9783940924681

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As Yemenis start planning the reconstruction and rebuilding of their country after recent turmoil they face huge challenges in every major sphere. This book discusses the political and economic background and analyses the most important issues: the option of improved governance through a federal government addressing the powerful and patronage networks of the previous regime investing in Yemen's human and natural resources to compensate for falling revenues from oil and gas maintaining rural life through reduced dependence on irrigated agriculture and investing in enhancing rain fed agriculture addressing the issue of urban water shortage through desalination involving women in enhancing security

Democratic Transitions in the Arab World
Democratic Transitions in the Arab World

Author: Ibrahim Elbadawi

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2017-01-05

Total Pages: 357

ISBN-13: 1107164206

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A cross-country examination of authoritarianism and democracy in North Africa and the Middle East.

Stability Economics - the Economic Foundations of Security in Post-Conflict Environments
Stability Economics - the Economic Foundations of Security in Post-Conflict Environments

Author: Nathan Toronto

Publisher:

Published: 2019-05-14

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 9781098716325

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In the years after invading Iraq and Afghanistan, the US military realized that it had a problem: How does a military force set the economic conditions for security success? This problem was certainly not novel--the military had confronted it before in such diverse locations as Grenada, Haiti, Bosnia, and Kosovo. The scale and complexity of the problem, however, were unlike anything military planners had confronted beforehand. This was especially the case in Iraq, where some commentators expected oil production to drive reconstruction.

Why Yemen Matters
Why Yemen Matters

Author: Helen Lackner

Publisher: Saqi

Published: 2014-02-10

Total Pages: 210

ISBN-13: 0863567827

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In November 2011, an agreement brokered by the GCC brought an end to Yemen's tumultuous uprising. The National Dialogue Conference has opened a window of opportunity for change, bringing Yemen's main political forces together with groups that were politically marginalized. Yet, the risk of collapse is serious, and if Yemen is to remain a viable state, it must address numerous political, social and economic challenges. In this invaluable volume, experts with extensive Yemen experience provide innovative analysis of the country's major crises: centralized governance, the role of the military, ethnic conflict, separatism, Islamism, foreign intervention, water scarcity and economic development. This is essential reading for academi, journalists, development workers, diplomats, politicians and students alike. 'Essential reading ... The authors shed light on the context of the Yemeni uprising in a way that not only helps us understand the current transitional period but also the outlines of Yemen's future.' -- Charles Schmitz, President of the American Institute of Yemeni Studies 'An up to date and wide-ranging guide to what is arguably the Arab world's least known and most misunderstood state. Edited by one of Britain's foremost authorities on Yemen ... brings together an impressive range of experts on the country to examine the contemporary reality of Yemen.' -- Michael Willis, Director of the Middle East Centre, St Antony's College, Oxford University 'Thoughtful and well-researched, Why Yemen Matters unearths a wealth of information about contemporary Yemeni society.' -- Baghat Korany, Professor of International Relations, American University in Cairo