Mechanical Analysis of China's Macro Economic Structure
Mechanical Analysis of China's Macro Economic Structure

Author: Xiaojiang Zhang

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-03-07

Total Pages: 239

ISBN-13: 9811538409

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This volume is a major breakthrough in helping decipher and piece together the major interactive and flow investment dynamics within the complex Chinese economic structure, in an effort to guide global investors to formulate their own macro assessment and investment strategy in or related to China. Different from US that had a relatively short and ascending economic past, China endured a much longer history with quite a few volatile economic cycles. With that lesson of history in the background as the country’s guiding management principle, China’s economic policy and management superstructure, combined with regional government, business, consumer and investment community, form together a huge and complex operating environment of investment flow dynamics within which macro investment opportunities can be identified and strategies can be formulated by interested global and domestic investors..

Analysis of Chinese Macroeconomy
Analysis of Chinese Macroeconomy

Author: Fengbo Zhang

Publisher: Xlibris Corporation

Published: 2008-07-03

Total Pages: 304

ISBN-13: 146281770X

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

For a developing country like China, there is a need for economic studies that will aid in its economic development and progress. In relation to this, author Dr. Fengbo Zhang presents a comprehensive study on the Analysis of Chinese Macroeconomy. In Analysis of Chinese Macroeconomy, the author uses the econometrics method, which so far has not been attempted by anyone, to depict definitively the development process and the existing state of the Chinese economy. Highly recommended for Chinese research scholars, businessmen and readers interested in China, this book provides the suitable materials for understanding modern China and the future of economic reform. Recently, Western economics is being introduced positively in Chinese economic policymaking decisions. This is the first genuine book, which quantitatively analyzes Chinese economy by an energetic and innovative Chinese scholar. The achievements of the time-series analysis and existing State analysis in this book are bound to give us the valuable guideline to predict the future of Chinese economy. The Pinnacle of Chinese Economic analysis, the First Genuine Research Book An energetic and innovative Chinese scholar uses the econometrics method, so far not attempted by anyone, to depict definitively the development process and the existing state of the Chinese economy and to provide the suitable materials for understanding modern China and the future of economic reform. This book is required reading for Chinese research scholars, business men and readers interested in china. Recently Western economics is being introduced positively in the Chinese economic policy decision. This book is the first genuine book which quantitatively analyzes Chinese economy by an energetic and innovative Chinese scholar. I firmly believe that the achievements of the time-series analysis and existing state analysis in this

China's Macroeconomic Outlook
China's Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xia

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2014-04-01

Total Pages: 65

ISBN-13: 3642542212

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

As the sluggish external market demand and excess domestic investment in past years have caused excess production capacity, resulting in both industrial growth rate and GDP growth rate falling to lowest point for the last three years in China. Where would China’s economy go? China’s Macroeconomic Outlook, September 2013 provides some insights into the details of the economic development in China, and also includes series of simulations of the impact of decreasing government revenue on the economic performance. The research suggests that China should cut its government revenue share in GDP to promote its structural adjustment.

China's Macroeconomic Outlook
China's Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xia

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2019-08-08

Total Pages: 74

ISBN-13: 9811393575

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This report is a partial result of the China’s Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR, one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, has been focusing on China’s economic forecast and macroeconomic policy analysis, and it started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005. Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for China’s major macroeconomic variables. Since July, 2006, twenty-six quarterly reports on China’s macroeconomic outlook have been presented and thirteen annual reports have been published. This report, the twenty-sixth quarterly report, has been presented at the Forum on China’s Macroeconomic Outlook and Press Conference of CQMM on February 26, 2019. This conference was jointly held at Beijing by the CMR and the Economic Information Daily at Xinhua News Agency

China’s Macroeconomic Outlook
China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: Xiamen University

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-10-30

Total Pages: 87

ISBN-13: 9811592799

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This report is a partial result of the China’s Quarterly Macroeconometric Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR is one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, focusing on Chinese economic growth and macroeconomic policies. The CMR started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecast, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005.Based on the CQMM, the CMR with its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for China’ major macroeconomic variables. Since July 2006, twenty-seven quarterly reports titled Chinese Macroeconomic Outlook have been presented and thirteen annual reports have been published.

China’s Macroeconomic Outlook
China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: Wenpu Li

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2015-11-30

Total Pages: 76

ISBN-13: 9811002274

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM model, the research team forecast major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including the rate of GDP growth, the CPI, fixed-asset investment, resident consumption and foreign trade. At the same time it focuses on simulation of current macroeconomic policies in China. In addition to helping readers understand China’s economic trend and policy guide, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China’s economic performance; to forecast the main macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies.

China’s Macroeconomic Outlook
China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: CMR of Xiamen University

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2017-01-04

Total Pages: 74

ISBN-13: 9811032807

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM model, the research team forecast major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including the rate of GDP growth, the CPI, fixed-asset investment, resident consumption and foreign trade. At the same time it focuses on simulation of current macroeconomic policies in China. In addition to helping readers understand China’s economic trend and policy guide, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China’s economic performance; to forecast the main macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies. /div

China’s Macroeconomic Outlook
China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-09-14

Total Pages: 109

ISBN-13: 981102068X

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM model, the research team forecast major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including the rate of GDP growth, the CPI, fixed-asset investment, resident consumption and foreign trade. At the same time it focuses on simulation of current macroeconomic policies in China. In addition to helping readers understand China’s economic trend and policy guide, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China’s economic performance; to forecast the main macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies. /div

China's Macroeconomic Outlook
China's Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: CMR of Xiamen University

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2014-07-08

Total Pages: 63

ISBN-13: 3642369235

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Owing to the decline in domestic investment and trade with the rest of the world, China’s real GDP in the first half of 2012 was lower than expected. Based on forecasts from China’s Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), the slowdown of the growth rate in 2013 will be moderate as a result of modestly proactive macro control policy. GDP would grow at 8.01 percent in 2012, and then rebound to 8.29 in 2013; CPI would fall to a 2.9 percent in 2012, and then would pick up to 3.27 percent in 2013. In the scenario in which the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area worsened in the second half of 2012, real GDP is forecast at 7.71 percent for 2012 and 7.5 percent for 2013. Even if the external economic environment becomes worse, China’s growth is expected to stay at above 7.5 percent, which might be a steady growth rate for the near future. If China plans to achieve a higher growth rate by launching the “2 trillion massive investment package”, the growth rate of GDP could be increased to 8.25 and 8.86 percent in 2012 and 2013 with a risk of inflation and worsening economic structure. The policy implication from CQMM: on one hand the Chinese government should be able to maintain the growth rate of around 8 percent by means of timely fine-tuning of monetary policies; on the other hand, the emphasis of the micro control should be placed on structural adjustments through fiscal policies. In the long run, deepening economic, social and institutional reform will be crucial to remove the significant structural imbalance and institutional barriers to market competition, to accelerate the transformation of economic development patterns, and finally to maintain a sustainable growth rate.

China’s Macroeconomic Outlook
China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Author: Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2017-10-12

Total Pages: 80

ISBN-13: 9811061238

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM, the research team forecasts China’s major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including GDP growth rate, CPI, PPI, investment in fixed assets, household consumption, imports, exports, and foreign reserves. Moreover, it simulates different scenarios to study the effects of macroeconomic policy on the Chinese economy. In addition to helping readers to understand China’s economic trends and policies, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China’s economic performance; to forecast the major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy.