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Author: F. Desmond McCarthy
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Published: 1994
Total Pages: 53
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKHow can the governments in Eastern Europe and developing countries reduce their vulnerability to such shocks? What are the appropriate policy responses? Here is a method for measuring the effect of external shocks on the current account, applied to the Philippines.
Author: World Bank
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Published: 1984
Total Pages: 302
ISBN-13: 0195204603
DOWNLOAD EBOOKLong-term needs and sustained effort are underlying themes in this year's report. As with most of its predecessors, it is divided into two parts. The first looks at economic performance, past and prospective. The second part is this year devoted to population - the causes and consequences of rapid population growth, its link to development, why it has slowed down in some developing countries. The two parts mirror each other: economic policy and performance in the next decade will matter for population growth in the developing countries for several decades beyond. Population policy and change in the rest of this century will set the terms for the whole of development strategy in the next. In both cases, policy changes will not yield immediate benefits, but delay will reduce the room for maneuver that policy makers will have in years to come.
Author: Mr.Abdul Abiad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2015-05-04
Total Pages: 26
ISBN-13: 1484361555
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output, both in the short term and in the long term, crowds in private investment, and reduces unemployment. Several factors shape the macroeconomic effects of public investment. When there is economic slack and monetary accommodation, demand effects are stronger, and the public-debt-to-GDP ratio may actually decline. Public investment is also more effective in boosting output in countries with higher public investment efficiency and when it is financed by issuing debt.
Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2020-05-29
Total Pages: 50
ISBN-13: 1513536990
DOWNLOAD EBOOKTraditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Author: Mr.Olivier Coibion
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2012-08-01
Total Pages: 57
ISBN-13: 1475505493
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWe study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequality in labor earnings, total income, consumption and total expenditures. Furthermore, monetary shocks can account for a significant component of the historical cyclical variation in income and consumption inequality. Using detailed micro-level data on income and consumption, we document the different channels via which monetary policy shocks affect inequality, as well as how these channels depend on the nature of the change in monetary policy.
Author: Mr.Pau Rabanal
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2004-12-01
Total Pages: 68
ISBN-13: 1451875657
DOWNLOAD EBOOKOur answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.
Author: John B. Taylor
Publisher: North Holland
Published: 1999-12-13
Total Pages: 596
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis text aims to provide a survey of the state of knowledge in the broad area that includes the theories and facts of economic growth and economic fluctuations, as well as the consequences of monetary and fiscal policies for general economic conditions.
Author: F. Desmond McCarthy
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Published: 1994
Total Pages: 42
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Claudio E. Raddatz
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Published: 2005
Total Pages: 53
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKExternal shocks, such as commodity price fluctuations, natural disasters, and the role of the international economy, are often blamed for the poor economic performance of low-income countries. The author quantifies the impact of these different external shocks using a panel vector autoregression (VAR) approach and compares their relative contributions to output volatility in low-income countries vis-à-vis internal factors. He finds that external shocks can only explain a small fraction of the output variance of a typical low-income country. Internal factors are the main source of fluctuations. From a quantitative perspective, the output effect of external shocks is typically small in absolute terms, but significant relative to the historic performance of these countries.
Author: Samuel P. Huntington
Publisher: New Haven : Yale University Press
Published: 1968
Total Pages: 514
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis now-classic examination of the development of viable political institutions in emerging nations is a major and enduring contribution to modern political analysis. In a new Foreword, Francis Fukuyama assesses Huntington's achievement, examining the context of the book's original publication as well as its lasting importance."This pioneering volume, examining as it does the relation between development and stability, is an interesting and exciting addition to the literature."-American Political Science Review"'Must' reading for all those interested in comparative politics or in the study of development."-Dankwart A. Rustow, Journal of International Affairs
