Adaptive resolution imaging sonar (ARIS) was used for the first time in 2018 to estimate the abundance of late-run Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) at river mile (RM) 8 of the Kasilof River. The same methods were used to estimate late-run Chinook salmon abundance in 2019 and 2020. In 2019, the sonar was operated from 15 June through 31 August. In 2020, the sonar was operated from 15 June through 22 August. Net upstream passage of late-run Chinook salmon greater than or equal to 75 cm mid eye to tail fork length (METF) as measured by ARIS was estimated to be 4,507 (SE = 184) in 2019 and 3,388 (SE = 165) in 2020. The 2019 cumulative late-run Chinook salmon abundance estimate of fish greater than or equal to 75 cm METF was higher than the 2018 and 2020 estimates. Run timing in 2019 and 2020 was earlier than in 2018.
Although a sport fishery for late-run Kasilof River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) is prosecuted downstream of river kilometer (RKM) 13 and a commercial fishery occurs in nearby marine waters, the inriver abundance of late-run Kasilof River Chinook salmon has been unknown for most years. The goal of this study was to estimate the daily net upstream passage of salmon 75 cm or longer from mid eye to tail fork (METF) past RKM 13 of the Kasilof River from 15 June through 31 August 2018 using adaptive resolution imaging sonar (ARIS). Net upstream passage of Chinook salmon greater than or equal to 75 cm METF as measured by ARIS was estimated to be 3,458 (SE 166). Chinook salmon passage estimates were lower than those from a prior mark–recapture study, but run timing was similar.
The fields of fish population dynamics and stock assessment have seen major advances in the 1980s and 1990s, creating the need for a new synthesis. This text attempts that synthesis by presenting a contemporary approach for quantitative fisheries science that incorporates modern statistical and mathematical techniques. It emphasizes the link between biology and theory by explaining the assumptions inherent in the quantitative methods and models. The book covers key topics that are often overlooked in other texts, such as optimal harvesting, migratory stocks, and complex age and size-structured models. Quantitative Fish Dynamics is an ideal textbook for graduate and undergraduate courses in fish population dynamics and stock assessment. It is an indispensable reference work for fisheries scientists and others interested in conservation biology, fish and wildlife management, population ecology, and statistical applications.
Broadening its scope to nonstatisticians, Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition provides an accessible introduction to the foundations and applications of Bayesian analysis. Along with a complete reorganization of the material, this edition concentrates more on hierarchical Bayesian modeling as implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods and related data analytic techniques. New to the Third Edition New data examples, corresponding R and WinBUGS code, and homework problems Explicit descriptions and illustrations of hierarchical modeling—now commonplace in Bayesian data analysis A new chapter on Bayesian design that emphasizes Bayesian clinical trials A completely revised and expanded section on ranking and histogram estimation A new case study on infectious disease modeling and the 1918 flu epidemic A solutions manual for qualifying instructors that contains solutions, computer code, and associated output for every homework problem—available both electronically and in print Ideal for Anyone Performing Statistical Analyses Focusing on applications from biostatistics, epidemiology, and medicine, this text builds on the popularity of its predecessors by making it suitable for even more practitioners and students.
Although the significance of '9/11' is subject to debate, it is symbolic of a general sentiment of discontinuity whereby society is vulnerable to undefined and highly disruptive events. Recent catalysts of this sentiment are eye-catching developments such as the SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) and bird flu outbreaks, the Enron and Parmalat scandals, political assassinations in Sweden and the Netherlands, regime changes in Iraq and Afghanistan, and terrorist attacks in Bali, Istanbul, Madrid, and various parts of the Middle East. However, recent discontinuities should not be seen as evidence that discontinuities occur more frequently now than they did before. Looking back in history we see that disruptive processes are common. For example, 25 years ago few Europeans would have predicted the upcoming upheavals on their own continent: the collapse of communism, Berlin as the capital of a reunited Germany, the wars in the former Yugoslavia, the single European currency, and the near doubling of the number of European Union member states. Changes elsewhere have been no less discontinuous and unforeseen: the fall of the Asian tigers, the emergence of the Internet and mobile telecommunication, and the presidency of Nelson Mandela. Societal discontinuity is a relatively new area of concern in policy development. Since the 1970s the consideration of change and discontinuity has gained some ground over predictive forecasting, which tended to reason from continuous developments and linear processes. Rather than making forecasting the future, it has become popular to use scenarios as a manner to consider several possible futures. Scenarios are coherent descriptions of alternative hypothetical futures that reflect different perspectives on past, present, and future developments, which can serve as a basis for action. Scenario development aims to combine analytical knowledge with creative thinking in an effort to capture a wide range of possible future developments in a limited number of outlooks. Scenario development assumes that the future is uncertain and the directions in which current developments might range from the conventional to the revolutionary. In theory, scenario development is a way to consider future discontinuity. However, there are indications that the theoretical promise is not reflected in scenario practice. Research has shown that scenarios do not consider the idea of discontinuity as a matter of course. In our research, we found that a scenario study would benefit from efforts to create and foster a 'culture of curiosity' for exploring the future and the possible discontinuities rather than simply commissioning a scenario study to provide insights about the future. Only then can one read the writing on the wall of future developments.
I have physical scars from past surgeries, however, I have emotional scars as well. They were buried deep inside (hidden). It wasn't until my mother died was I able to "catch my breath" and to make sense of or process the emotional pain I had endured due to her prescription drug addiction, resulting in my own addictions.
Der etwas andere Leitfaden zum Thema Szenarios und organisatorisches Lernen. "The Sixth Sense" behandelt ausführlich die Veränderungen in den Unternehmenssystemen, den Strukturen und den Menschen. Szenarios werden hier explizit mit Strategie und Handeln verbunden. Innovativer Ansatz: Szenarios werden als Methode des organisatorischen Lernens behandelt. Hier lernen Manager, wie sie mit dem zunehmenden Wandel im Unternehmensumfeld zurechtkommen und wie sie mit Hilfe von Szenarios Denkfehler überwinden (durch Aufzeigen, dass die Zukunft keine Nachbildung der Vergangenheit ist). Praxisorientiert: Die Autoren zeigen anschaulich, wie man Szenariodenken in der Praxis anwendet. "The Sixth Sense" - der unverzichtbare Ratgeber für Manager und Consultants.
DEDICATED TO THE NEXT GENERATION OF WOMEN BOARD LEADERSIn 2018, California passed a senate bill (SB 826) to require publicly held companies headquartered in CA to have at least one woman on their board by 2020. In 2020, Nasdaq proposed a mandate that would require listed companies to have at least two diverse board members with one member who identifies as female. Initiatives like these are helping advance gender parity on boards in many regions, not just the U.S. In late 2020, women held 22.6% of the board seats on the Russell 3000 for the first time, a 6.5 point jump over the past 4 years.Zooming out to the global scale, the picture is similarly improving. In 2020, about 23% of board seats globally were held by women, compared to 20% in 2018. Yet...at the time of this writing, 10% of large global companies do not have a single woman on their board. And the percent of women who chair boards is dramatically smaller. Among the largest 500 public U.S. companies by revenue the share of women who chaired boards remained stagnant at 7.4%. Notably, of those women who chair boards, few of them use the term Chairwoman in their bios or LinkedIn profiles-opting for monikers Chairman, or Board Chair, or occasionally Chairperson. This book features the extraordinary voices and stories of women leaders from around the world who have trailblazed to the board room, as letters to the next generation of women in business and government. With the salutation "Dear Chairwoman," these letters are infused with the energy to inspire young women to both pursue board governance early, and to claim the 'Chairwoman' title in taking the senior-most seat in the Board Room.
As well as "plumbing the depth's of one's character", fishing for trout is all about doing it well, about learning to catch more fish, about understanding and respecting the species we so discreetly choose to pursue. In Pursuit of Trout is a collection of 23 outstanding chapters, carefully plucked from river and lake fishing articles published over the last 13 years in 71 issues of the award winning Fish and Game New Zealand magazine. It comes on the heels of the well-received book, Bird Hunting, released last March as the first in an ongoing series of Fish and Game New Zealand Collection publications. In Pursuit of Trout includes chapters about casting, nymphing, downstreaming, dry fly fishing, rivermouth fishing, stalking stillwaters, boat fishing, and even looks at the social behaviour of trout, as well as the facts and myths surrounding catch and release. If you wish to know how to attack "sexy" water, pocket water, pools, or just manage the correct drift, then this is a MUST read for you. The book boasts contributions from a veritable Who's Who of New Zealand freshwater fishing, not least Peter Church, Les Hill, Mark Sherburn, Tony Entwistle, Jack MacKenzie, Zane Mirfin, John Hayes, and David Moate. It also combines the talents of this country's finest flyfishing photographers. Edited by Fish and Game New Zealand editor Bob South, In Pursuit of Trout provides an incomparable range of how-to knowledge that will entertain, inform, and educate anglers of all ages and abilities.
