Land-use/land-cover and Water Quality in the Cape Fear River Basin, North Carolina

Land-use/land-cover and Water Quality in the Cape Fear River Basin, North Carolina

Author: Jennifer Braswell Alford

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 195

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

"As North Carolina experiences population growth and related development, it will become increasingly important to understand how different land-use/land-cover (LULC) types shape the geography of water quality. This dissertation explores the relationships that exists between water quality and land types across the Cape Fear River Basin, North Carolina. Key water quality parameters including fecal coliform, dissolved oxygen (DO), ammonium nitrogen (NH3-N), phosphorus (P), and nitrate-nitrite nitrogen (NO2-NO3), and LULC types were quantified and spatially illustrated to understand how relationships varied across the river basin from 2001 to 2006. Regression models were developed to statistically link water quality parameters with LULC types across the river basin and within each of the physiographic regions. Results indicate that this diverse landscape contributes varying amounts of pollution to surface waters within the basin. Specific findings include that although there was little change in land types during the study period, there were statistically significant relationships between land types and surface water quality. Although regression models illustrate that each of the dependent variables contributed some level of pollution to surface water systems in the basin, fecal coliform, and DO concentrations, in particular, were impacted by key land types including wetlands, mixed forest, and exurban development. In addition, there were regional differences among the three physiographic regions and water quality parameters. The primary findings suggest that transitional land-uses (i.e. mixed forest and exurban development) that surround urban cores can play a key role in shaping the geography of water quality across the river basin. As a result, resource agencies and decision makers alike should consider how land-use policies and activities related to transitional landscapes may adversely impact surface water quality across river basins."--Abstract from author supplied metadata.


Impact of Land-use Land-cover Change on Stream Water Quality in the Reedy Fork- Buffalo Creek Watershed, North Carolina

Impact of Land-use Land-cover Change on Stream Water Quality in the Reedy Fork- Buffalo Creek Watershed, North Carolina

Author: Frederick Ayivi

Publisher:

Published: 2017

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

"The quality of rivers and streams are affected by the land-use-land-cover (LULC) compositions that are present within their watersheds and riparian buffers. Hence, understanding how these LULC compositions, present within watersheds, influences water quality of these water bodies is very important for river management and restoration. This dissertation research was undertaken with the goal of examining the effects changing LULC on stream system. The research was conducted in the Reedy Fork Buffalo Creek watershed in Guilford County, North Carolina to provide a study area of streams within a nested watershed assemblage with a variety of sub-watersheds and varying LULC proportions for comparison. Toward this end, LULC spatial fragmentation of the Reedy Fork Buffalo Creek watershed was quantified for the 2002 through 2013 study period based on remote sensing data. This watershed is located at the headwaters of the Cape Fear River basin, the largest river basin in North Carolina. Analysis of how river flow and several water quality variables were related to landscape attributes at three scales: 100 m, 150 m, and watershed was then performed. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to examine the contribution of LULC to water yield and nitrate loadings in the year 2030 relative to future LULC change scenarios. Results show that the water quality of the Reedy Fork Buffalo Creek changed significantly during the recent decades. These changes in space and time indicate a trend of accelerating deterioration in water quality. Also, LULC pattern had major impacts on the flow and water quality of the Reedy Fork Creek at multiple spatial scales. In particular, impervious LULC, although small in percent cover, exerted a disproportionately large influence both locally and over distance. Results also show that most water quality variables (Conductivity, hardness, nitrate, TKN, and Turbidity) were correlated with landscape pattern on all three spatial scales although the correlation was stronger at the watershed scale than at the buffer scales. Additionally, results from the scenario analysis shows that, compared to the current situation (2010), a 13.5% increase in surface runoff, 9.26% increase in water yield, and 31.85% in increase in nitrate yield was recorded for 2030. These increases were due to the conversion of forest and grass into impervious surfaces. The research highlighted the probable role of the interactions between LULC spatial distribution and water quality. This scale multiplicity suggests that, while water-monitoring and river restoration need to adopt a multi-scale perspective, particular attention should be paid to the watershed scale. In the context of population growth and increasing urban development continuing into the 21st century, preservation and restoration of vegetative LULC and the elimination of impervious surfaces within the watershed should be a primary concern for the general public, the scientific community, and public policy decision makers."--Abstract from author supplied metadata.


Assessing Future Water Resources

Assessing Future Water Resources

Author: Michael T. Griffin

Publisher:

Published: 2011

Total Pages: 104

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

With the possibility of future fresh water shortages increasing, a methodology for predicting future water availability conditions is needed. This research outlines a methodology to estimate these conditions based on the influence of climate change, land use change, and population growth. The method is based on the USGS Thornthwaite monthly water balance model and can incorporate estimates of climate change and land use change parameters to assess future water resources based on predicted monthly fluxes of the water balance. The methodology is demonstrated by analyzing watersheds in the lower Cape Fear River basin located in southeast North Carolina. The southern United States is a rapidly growing region. Trends present in the population data are used to produce future estimates of population for the basin. Precipitation and temperature estimates based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predictions and current climatology are inputs to the model. Projected increases in impervious surface cover due to population growth and urbanization are incorporated through the model runoff factor. Water stress indicators are used to categorize the region as water rich, water stressed, or water scarce. Scenarios incorporating regional predictions of climate change indicate a decrease in summer soil moisture minima and increases in summer water deficits. The impact of impervious surface cover enhances these deficits. Ensemble runs indicate a shift toward water stress in the lower Cape Fear River basin in the future, due to a warming climate as well as increased demand. While climate change has a significant impact on water resources in the region, population growth has the most substantial impact as it not only impacts demand, but climate and land use as well.