Inefficient Markets

Inefficient Markets

Author: Andrei Shleifer

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2000-03-09

Total Pages: 308

ISBN-13: 0191606898

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The efficient markets hypothesis has been the central proposition in finance for nearly thirty years. It states that securities prices in financial markets must equal fundamental values, either because all investors are rational or because arbitrage eliminates pricing anomalies. This book describes an alternative approach to the study of financial markets: behavioral finance. This approach starts with an observation that the assumptions of investor rationality and perfect arbitrage are overwhelmingly contradicted by both psychological and institutional evidence. In actual financial markets, less than fully rational investors trade against arbitrageurs whose resources are limited by risk aversion, short horizons, and agency problems. The book presents and empirically evaluates models of such inefficient markets. Behavioral finance models both explain the available financial data better than does the efficient markets hypothesis and generate new empirical predictions. These models can account for such anomalies as the superior performance of value stocks, the closed end fund puzzle, the high returns on stocks included in market indices, the persistence of stock price bubbles, and even the collapse of several well-known hedge funds in 1998. By summarizing and expanding the research in behavioral finance, the book builds a new theoretical and empirical foundation for the economic analysis of real-world markets.


Retail Investor Sentiment and Behavior

Retail Investor Sentiment and Behavior

Author: Matthias Burghardt

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2011-03-16

Total Pages: 170

ISBN-13: 3834961701

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Using a unique data set consisting of more than 36.5 million submitted retail investor orders over the course of five years, Matthias Burghardt constructs an innovative retail investor sentiment index. He shows that retail investors’ trading decisions are correlated, that retail investors are contrarians, and that a profitable trading strategy can be based on these aggregated sentiment measures.


Stock Market Logic

Stock Market Logic

Author: N G Fosback

Publisher:

Published: 2005-03

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9788170944409

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Over 500,000 Copies Sold World-Wide Few financial endeavours have occupied the time of more men over more years with less success than attempting to 'beat the market'. So many have tried and failed that it has become popular to believe that no one can consistently outperform the averages. Fosback proclaims, 'Nothing could be further from the truth! Some investors, utilizing more sophisticated approaches than the public at large, can earn above-average returns, year in and year out.' This book will show you how. Written by one of America's most prominent investment advisers, Stock Market Logic contains hundreds of priceless investment techniques, indicators and ideas.


Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading

Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading

Author: H. Nejat Seyhun

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 2000-02-28

Total Pages: 452

ISBN-13: 9780262692342

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Learn how to profit from information about insider trading. The term insider trading refers to the stock transactions of the officers, directors, and large shareholders of a firm. Many investors believe that corporate insiders, informed about their firms' prospects, buy and sell their own firm's stock at favorable times, reaping significant profits. Given the extra costs and risks of an active trading strategy, the key question for stock market investors is whether the publicly available insider-trading information can help them to outperform a simple passive index fund. Basing his insights on an exhaustive data set that captures information on all reported insider trading in all publicly held firms over the past twenty-one years—over one million transactions!—H. Nejat Seyhun shows how investors can use insider information to their advantage. He documents the magnitude and duration of the stock price movements following insider trading, determinants of insiders' profits, and the risks associated with imitating insider trading. He looks at the likely performance of individual firms and of the overall stock market, and compares the value of what one can learn from insider trading with commonly used measures of value such as price-earnings ratio, book-to-market ratio, and dividend yield.


Bayesian Econometrics

Bayesian Econometrics

Author: Mauro Bernardi

Publisher: MDPI

Published: 2020-12-28

Total Pages: 146

ISBN-13: 3039437852

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Since the advent of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in the early 1990s, Bayesian methods have been proposed for a large and growing number of applications. One of the main advantages of Bayesian inference is the ability to deal with many different sources of uncertainty, including data, models, parameters and parameter restriction uncertainties, in a unified and coherent framework. This book contributes to this literature by collecting a set of carefully evaluated contributions that are grouped amongst two topics in financial economics. The first three papers refer to macro-finance issues for real economy, including the elasticity of factor substitution (ES) in the Cobb–Douglas production function, the effects of government public spending components, and quantitative easing, monetary policy and economics. The last three contributions focus on cryptocurrency and stock market predictability. All arguments are central ingredients in the current economic discussion and their importance has only been further emphasized by the COVID-19 crisis.


Asset Price Bubbles

Asset Price Bubbles

Author: William Curt Hunter

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 650

ISBN-13: 9780262582537

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

A study of asset price bubbles and the implications for preventing financial instability.


Contrarian Investment Strategies

Contrarian Investment Strategies

Author: David Dreman

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

Published: 2012-01-10

Total Pages: 498

ISBN-13: 0743297962

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Introduces important new findings in psychology to demonstrate why most investment strategies are flawed, outlining atypical strategies designed to prevent over- and under-valuations while crash-proofing a portfolio.


Handbook of Behavioral Finance

Handbook of Behavioral Finance

Author: Brian R. Bruce

Publisher:

Published: 2010

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780857930910

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The Handbook of Behavioral Finance is a comprehensive, topical and concise source of cutting-edge research on recent developments in behavioral finance. The Handbook is divided into three areas of interest. The first - Behavioral Biases - includes discussions on herding in the market, information processing and the disposition effect in investment decisions. In the second section - Behavior in the Investment Process - topics explored include the effects of higher transaction costs on traders' behavior, investor sentiment, overconfidence and active management, and behavior effects on forecasts. The final section - Global Behavior - looks at the effects of various aspects of behavioral finance in international markets including Malaysia, Finland, Australia and Brazil. Consolidating a colossal amount of research into one volume, this Handbook will stimulate new interdisciplinary research for academics, build a body of knowledge about psychological influences on market behavior for finance students, and give practitioners a better understanding of psychological influences on the markets in order to improve investment decision making.


Finance for Normal People

Finance for Normal People

Author: Meir Statman

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2017

Total Pages: 489

ISBN-13: 019062647X

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Finance for Normal People teaches behavioral finance to people like you and me - normal people, neither rational nor irrational. We are consumers, savers, investors, and managers - corporate managers, money managers, financial advisers, and all other financial professionals. The book guides us to know our wants-including hope for riches, protection from poverty, caring for family, sincere social responsibility and high social status. It teaches financial facts and human behavior, including making cognitive and emotional shortcuts and avoiding cognitive and emotional errors such as overconfidence, hindsight, exaggerated fear, and unrealistic hope. And it guides us to banish ignorance, gain knowledge, and increase the ratio of smart to foolish behavior on our way to what we want. These lessons of behavioral finance draw on what we know about us-normal people-including our wants, cognition, and emotions. And they draw on the roles of these factors in saving and spending, portfolio construction, returns we can expect from our investments, and whether we can hope to beat the market. Meir Statman, a founder of behavioral finance, draws on his extensive research and the research of many others to build a unified structure of behavioral finance. Its foundation blocks include normal behavior, behavioral portfolio theory, behavioral life-cycle theory, behavioral asset pricing theory, and behavioral market efficiency.


Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition

Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition

Author: Jeremy J. Siegel

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

Published: 2007-12-18

Total Pages: 407

ISBN-13: 0071643923

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Stocks for the Long Run set a precedent as the most complete and irrefutable case for stock market investment ever written. Now, this bible for long-term investing continues its tradition with a fourth edition featuring updated, revised, and new material that will keep you competitive in the global market and up-to-date on the latest index instruments. Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel provides a potent mix of new evidence, research, and analysis supporting his key strategies for amassing a solid portfolio with enhanced returns and reduced risk. In a seamless narrative that incorporates the historical record of the markets with the realities of today's investing environment, the fourth edition features: A new chapter on globalization that documents how the emerging world will soon overtake the developed world and how it impacts the global economy An extended chapter on indexing that includes fundamentally weighted indexes, which have historically offered better returns and lower volatility than their capitalization-weighted counterparts Insightful analysis on what moves the market and how little we know about the sources of big market changes A sobering look at behavioral finance and the psychological factors that can lead investors to make irrational investment decisions A major highlight of this new edition of Stocks for the Long Run is the chapter on global investing. With the U.S. stock market currently holding less than half of the world's equity capitalization, it's important for investors to diversify abroad. This updated edition shows you how to create an “efficient portfolio” that best balances asset allocation in domestic and foreign markets and provides thorough coverage on sector allocation across the globe. Stocks for the Long Run is essential reading for every investor and advisor who wants to fully understand the market-including its behavior, past trends, and future influences-in order to develop a prosperous long-term portfolio that is both safe and secure.