International Tax Spillovers and Tangible Investment, with Implications for the Global Minimum Tax
International Tax Spillovers and Tangible Investment, with Implications for the Global Minimum Tax

Author: Mr. Michael Keen

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2023-08-04

Total Pages: 80

ISBN-13:

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This paper articulates and, using newly-assembled data, explores how international taxation affects aggregate tangible cross-border investment. Spillovers from statutory tax rates abroad seem: As sizable as effects from the host’s rate; larger than previous consensus values (attributed to a systematic bias from FDI data); and consistent with ‘implicit’ profit shifting through real investment (rather than ‘paper’ profit shifting). Contrary to much policy discussion, the results also imply that: Host countries’ marginal effective tax rates have at best a weak effect on real investment; those elsewhere have none; and, applied to the prospective global minimum tax, inward tangible investment in most sample countries will increase.

Where Does Multinational Investment Go with Territorial Taxation? Evidence from the UK
Where Does Multinational Investment Go with Territorial Taxation? Evidence from the UK

Author: Ms.Li Liu

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-01-13

Total Pages: 49

ISBN-13: 1484337700

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In 2009, the United Kingdom changed from a worldwide to a territorial tax system, abolishing dividend taxes on foreign repatriation from many low-tax countries. This paper assesses the causal effect of territorial taxation on real investments, using a unique dataset for multinational affiliates in 27 European countries and employing the difference-in-difference approach. It finds that the territorial reform has increased the investment rate of UK multinationals by 15.7 percentage points in low-tax countries. In the absence of any significant investment reduction elsewhere, the findings represent a likely increase in total outbound investment by UK multinationals.

International Corporate Tax Avoidance: A Review of the Channels, Magnitudes, and Blind Spots
International Corporate Tax Avoidance: A Review of the Channels, Magnitudes, and Blind Spots

Author: Sebastian Beer

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-07-23

Total Pages: 45

ISBN-13: 148436399X

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This paper reviews the rapidly growing empirical literature on international tax avoidance by multinational corporations. It surveys evidence on main channels of corporate tax avoidance including transfer mispricing, international debt shifting, treaty shopping, tax deferral and corporate inversions. Moreover, it performs a meta analysis of the extensive literature that estimates the overall size of profit shifting. We find that the literature suggests that, on average, a 1 percentage-point lower corporate tax rate will expand before-tax income by 1 percent—an effect that is larger than reported as the consensus estimate in previous surveys and tends to be increasing over time. The literature on tax avoidance still has several unresolved puzzles and blind spots that require further research.

What Is Real and What Is Not in the Global FDI Network?
What Is Real and What Is Not in the Global FDI Network?

Author: Jannick Damgaard

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-12-11

Total Pages: 54

ISBN-13: 1513521527

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Macro statistics on foreign direct investment (FDI) are blurred by offshore centers with enormous inward and outward investment positions. This paper uses several new data sources, both macro and micro, to estimate the global FDI network while disentangling real investment and phantom investment and allocating real investment to ultimate investor economies. We find that phantom investment into corporate shells with no substance and no real links to the local economy may account for almost 40 percent of global FDI. Ignoring phantom investment and allocating real investment to ultimate investors increases the explanatory power of standard gravity variables by around 25 percent.

A Firm Lower Bound: Characteristics and Impact of Corporate Minimum Taxation
A Firm Lower Bound: Characteristics and Impact of Corporate Minimum Taxation

Author: Aqib Aslam

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2021-06-08

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13: 1513561073

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This paper examines the role of minimum taxes and attempts to quantify their impact on economic activity. Minimum taxes can be effective at shoring up the corporate tax base and enhancing the perceived equity of the tax system, potentially motivating broader taxpayer compliance. Where political and administrative constraints prevent reforms to the standard corporate income tax, a minimum tax can help mitigate base erosion from excessive tax incentives and avoidance. Using a new panel dataset that catalogues changes in minimum tax regimes over time around the world, firm-level analysis suggests that the introduction or reform of a minimum tax is associated with an increase in the average effective tax rate of just over 1.5 percentage points with respect to turnover and of around 10 percent with respect to operating income. Minimum taxes based on modified corporate income lead to the largest increases in effective tax rates, followed by those based on assets and turnover.

Tax Policy, Leverage and Macroeconomic Stability
Tax Policy, Leverage and Macroeconomic Stability

Author: International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-12-10

Total Pages: 78

ISBN-13: 1498345204

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Risks to macroeconomic stability posed by excessive private leverage are significantly amplified by tax distortions. ‘Debt bias’ (tax provisions favoring finance by debt rather than equity) has increased leverage in both the household and corporate sectors, and is now widely recognized as a significant macroeconomic concern. This paper presents new evidence of the extent of debt bias, including estimates for banks and non-bank financial institutions both before and after the global financial crisis. It presents policy options to alleviate debt bias, and assesses their effectiveness. The paper finds that thin capitalization rules restricting interest deductibility have only partially been able to address debt bias, but that an allowance for corporate equity has generally proved effective. The paper concludes that debt bias should feature prominently in countries’ tax reform plans in the coming years.

World Investment Report 2019
World Investment Report 2019

Author: United Nations Publications

Publisher:

Published: 2019-08-16

Total Pages: 236

ISBN-13: 9789211129496

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This report focuses on special economic zones (SEZs) which are widely used across most developing and many developed economies. It explores the place of SEZs in today's global investment landscape and provides guidance for policymakers on how to make SEZs work for sustainable development. It presents international investment trends and prospects at global, regional and national levels, as well as the evolution of international production and global value chains. It analyses the latest developments in new policy measures for investment promotion, facilitation and regulation around the world.

Tax Spillovers from US Corporate Income Tax Reform
Tax Spillovers from US Corporate Income Tax Reform

Author: Sebastian Beer

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-07-18

Total Pages: 36

ISBN-13: 1484369084

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This paper describes, and where possible tentatively quantifies, likely tax spillovers from the U.S. corporate income tax reform that was part of the broader 2017 tax reform. It calculates effective tax rates under various assumptions, showing among other findings, how the interest limitation and the Foreign Derived Intangible Income provision can raise or reduce rates. It tentatively estimates that under constant policies elsewhere, the rate cut will reduce tax revenue from multinationals in other countries by on average 1.6 to 5.2 percent. If other countries react in line with historical reaction functions, the revenue loss from multinationals rises to an average of 4.5 to 13.5 percent. The paper also discusses profit-shifting, real location, and policy reactions from the more complex features of the reform.

International Corporate Tax Reform
International Corporate Tax Reform

Author: International Monetary

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2023-02-06

Total Pages: 59

ISBN-13:

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To relieve the pressure on the outdated international corporate tax system, an ambitious reform was agreed at the Inclusive Framework (IF) on Base Erosion and Profit Shifting in 2021, with now 138 jurisdictions joining. It complements previous efforts to mitigate profit shifting by addressing the challenges of the digitalization of the economy through a new allocation of taxing rights to market economies (Pillar 1) and tax competition through a global minimum corporate tax (Pillar 2). This paper concludes that the agreement makes the international tax system more robust to tax spillovers, better equipped to address digitalization, and modestly raises global tax revenues.