Inflation Measure, Taylor Rules, and the Greenspan-Bernanke Years

Inflation Measure, Taylor Rules, and the Greenspan-Bernanke Years

Author: Yash P. Mehra

Publisher: DIANE Publishing

Published: 2011

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1437941265

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This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication. The Federal Reserve under Chairman Alan Greenspan was forward looking, smoothed interest rates, and focused on core inflation. The semi-annual monetary policy reports indicate that the measure of inflation used in monetary policy deliberations has also been refined over time: for most of the Greenspan period before 2000, inflation forecasts used the consumer price index, but in the early 2000s, inflation forecasts switched to using the core personal consumption expenditures deflator. This article estimates two forward-looking Taylor rules that differ only with respect to the measure of inflation used over 1987:1-1006:4. The results highlight the importance of using real-time information in evaluating historical monetary policy actions. Charts and tables.


Monetary Policy Rules

Monetary Policy Rules

Author: John B. Taylor

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-12-01

Total Pages: 460

ISBN-13: 0226791262

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This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.


The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy

The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy

Author: Robert Leeson

Publisher: Hoover Press

Published: 2013-09-01

Total Pages: 368

ISBN-13: 0817914064

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A contributors' "who's who" from the academic and policy communities explain and provide perspectives on John Taylor's revolutionary thinking about monetary policy. They explore some of the literature that Taylor inspired and help us understand how the new ways of thinking that he pioneered have influenced actual policy here and abroad.


The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis

The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis

Author: Ben Bernanke

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2013-02-24

Total Pages: 144

ISBN-13: 0691158738

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Collects the transcripts of a series of lectures given by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke about the 2008 financial crisis as part of a course at George Washington University on the role of the Federal Reserve in the economy.


The Inflation-Targeting Debate

The Inflation-Targeting Debate

Author: Ben S. Bernanke

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-11-01

Total Pages: 469

ISBN-13: 0226044734

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Over the past fifteen years, a significant number of industrialized and middle-income countries have adopted inflation targeting as a framework for monetary policymaking. As the name suggests, in such inflation-targeting regimes, the central bank is responsible for achieving a publicly announced target for the inflation rate. While the objective of controlling inflation enjoys wide support among both academic experts and policymakers, and while the countries that have followed this model have generally experienced good macroeconomic outcomes, many important questions about inflation targeting remain. In Inflation Targeting, a distinguished group of contributors explores the many underexamined dimensions of inflation targeting—its potential, its successes, and its limitations—from both a theoretical and an empirical standpoint, and for both developed and emerging economies. The volume opens with a discussion of the optimal formulation of inflation-targeting policy and continues with a debate about the desirability of such a model for the United States. The concluding chapters discuss the special problems of inflation targeting in emerging markets, including the Czech Republic, Poland, and Hungary.


DSGE Models in Macroeconomics

DSGE Models in Macroeconomics

Author: Nathan Balke

Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing

Published: 2012-11-29

Total Pages: 480

ISBN-13: 1781903050

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This volume of Advances in Econometrics contains articles that examine key topics in the modeling and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Because DSGE models combine micro- and macroeconomic theory with formal econometric modeling and inference, over the past decade they have become an established framework for analy


Money and the Rule of Law

Money and the Rule of Law

Author: Peter J. Boettke

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2021-06-03

Total Pages: 213

ISBN-13: 110884619X

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Contemporary monetary institutions are flawed at a foundational level. The reigning paradigm in monetary policy holds up constrained discretion as the preferred operating framework for central banks. But no matter how smart or well-intentioned are central bankers, discretionary policy contains information and incentive problems that make macroeconomic stability systematically unlikely. Furthermore, central bank discretion implicitly violates the basic jurisprudential norms of liberal democracy. Drawing on a wide body of scholarship, this volume presents a novel argument in favor of embedding monetary institutions into a rule of law framework. The authors argue for general, predictable rules to provide a sturdier foundation for economic growth and prosperity. A rule of law approach to monetary policy would remedy the flaws that resulted in misguided monetary responses to the 2007-8 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding the case for true monetary rules is the first step toward creating more stable monetary institutions.


Japanese Monetary Policy

Japanese Monetary Policy

Author: Kenneth J. Singleton

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-12-01

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13: 0226760685

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How has the Bank of Japan (BOJ) helped shape Japan's economic growth during the past two decades? This book comprehensively explores the relations between financial market liberalization and BOJ policies and examines the ways in which these policies promoted economic growth in the 1980s. The authors argue that the structure of Japan's financial markets, particularly restrictions on money-market transactions and the key role of commercial banks in financing corporate investments, allowed the BOJ to influence Japan's economic success. The first two chapters provide the most in-depth English-language discussion of the BOJ's operating procedures and policymaker's views about how BOJ actions affect the Japanese business cycle. Chapter three explores the impact of the BOJ's distinctive window guidance policy on corporate investment, while chapter four looks at how monetary policy affects the term structure of interest rates in Japan. The final two chapters examine the overall effect of monetary policy on real aggregate economic activity. This volume will prove invaluable not only to economists interested in the technical operating procedures of the BOJ, but also to those interested in the Japanese economy and in the operation and outcome of monetary reform in general.


The Great Recession

The Great Recession

Author: Robert L. Hetzel

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2012-04-16

Total Pages: 401

ISBN-13: 1107011884

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Argues that the 2008-9 recession needs to be understood as deriving from mistakes of central banks and regulators, not financial markets.


Does Inflation Targeting Matter?

Does Inflation Targeting Matter?

Author: Laurence M. Ball

Publisher:

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 40

ISBN-13:

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This paper asks whether inflation targeting improves economic performance, as measured by the behavior of inflation, output, and interest rates. We compare seven OECD countries that adopted inflation targeting in the early 1990s to thirteen that did not. After the early 90s, performance improved along many dimensions for both the targeting countries and the non-targeters. In some cases the targeters improved by more; for example, average inflation fell by a larger amount. However, these differences are explained by the facts that targeters performed worse than non-targeters before the early 90s, and there is regression to the mean. Once one controls for regression to the mean, there is no evidence that inflation targeting improves performance.