Futures Market - Determinants of Indian Futures Market
Futures Market - Determinants of Indian Futures Market

Author: Babu Jose

Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing

Published: 2013

Total Pages: 132

ISBN-13: 9783659326042

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Futures Market movement always depends on the fluctuation of the spot market. Elements of the futures market such as Open Interest, Trade volume, Volatility of futures return and Turn over are having direct link with futures return. Underlying Market return is the major influencing factor of the futures market, but the uncertain events of the futures market can be explained by observing the different relation ships of variables in the futures market.Market Depth, Market Volatility and market Trends are having causal relationship with futures return. Market responses and reflections are explained by the study with the help of econometric models like VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogeniety test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition.Indian stock and derivative markets are so speculative and volatile, the prediction of the movement is very difficult. Daily return series of S&P CNX Nifty and its underlying index from 2000 to 2010 are taken for the analysis. The whole study period is divided in to five stages as per the market movement and structural break of the data series. The empirical results of the study reveals the determinants of the futures market in India.

Determinants of Futures Market in India
Determinants of Futures Market in India

Author: Babu Jose

Publisher:

Published: 2013

Total Pages: 11

ISBN-13:

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In India, spot market return, number of contract, turnover and volatility of the futures market are having short run relationship with futures market return. On the basis of the empirical analysis it is clearly found that spot market is the key factor which predicts the movement of futures market and the trader can depend upon volatility and trading volume to take any decision on futures market trading. In precise, spot market return, volatility of the futures market, turnover and number of contract are the determinants of futures market in India. Spot market return is the major determinants of futures market, indeed variables from futures market itself like open interest and turnover of futures market can be taken in to consideration for determining the futures market return. The empirical study is made with spot return, futures return, volatility of futures return, number of contract, trading volume and open interest of S&P CNX Nifty and its underlying index Nifty-50 for the period 12th June 2000- 30th June 2011 by applying the VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogenity Test.

Determinants of a Successful Commodity Contract - Evidence from Indian Agriculture Futures Market
Determinants of a Successful Commodity Contract - Evidence from Indian Agriculture Futures Market

Author: Neharika Sobti

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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Every year exchanges introduce new futures contracts in the hope to see those garnering volumes but majority of these contracts have never attracted volumes and died their own death. The history of contract innovation is replete with failures. The aim of this study is an attempt to revisit and decipher the determinants of a successful futures contract with the focus on agriculture commodity futures contracts traded in India. This study also raises concern and doubts the utility of SEBI's long list of criteria for eligibility of a commodity contract and its likely success as circulated in the year 2017. The critical issue is does an exhaustive checklist of criterion as proposed by SEBI guarantees success or the modus operandi should be to explore and understand which is that inherent need that a successful contract satisfies which unsuccessful doesn't. .This issue also has a direct bearing on the viability of having futures and option contract for varying commodities and assets. Is success of a commodity more of a magic than a science is the main debate which has been discussed. Using panel random effects model on 30 agriculture future contracts traded on NCDEX in India from 2003-2016, the study found that volatility in the spot prices of the underlying commodity is the most important determinant followed by hedging effectiveness of contract and presence of hedgers. Contrary to the previous studies, size of the underlying commodity, activeness of spot market, homogeneity did not prove to be significant which highlights an important aspect for policy makers and academicians.

What Drives the Off-Shore Futures Market? Evidence from India and China
What Drives the Off-Shore Futures Market? Evidence from India and China

Author: S. S. S. Kumar

Publisher:

Published: 2018

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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In this paper, we chiefly address the determinants of off-shore listed prices of Indian and Chinese derivatives, especially when the underlying spot markets are closed for trading. Using microstructure data, we split a trading day of the underlying into three segments - pre-market hours, market hours, post-market hours and analyze what factors move the prices. When the underlying is open, we find contemporaneous and bi-directional causal relationship between the spot index and the corresponding SGX futures. When the underlying is closed for trading, we find strong statistical evidence to suggest that the US market is imperative in explaining the price movements of both SGX Nifty futures (SIN) and SGX FTSE China A50 index futures (SFC). We also find that USD/INR exchange rate movements determine the SIN movements when both the underlying and the US market are closed for trading. When we examine the volatility spillovers using BEKK GARCH model, we find only significant short-term shock spillovers. Particularly, we observe unidirectional short-term spillover from SIN to USD/INR exchange rate and a spillover from SFC to the US market.

Farmers’ Participation in India’s Futures Markets
Farmers’ Participation in India’s Futures Markets

Author: Kushankur Dey

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2021-08-23

Total Pages: 145

ISBN-13: 9811634327

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Futures markets offer numerous advantages in the marketing of agricultural commodities, and in this context, the book examines the major factors and issues that determine the participation of India’s farmers in the futures markets. These include the efficiency of the futures markets in price discovery, the convergence of spot and futures prices, the dissemination of spot price information, and the socio-economic and exchange-related issues affecting farmer participation. It also examines the factors affecting the demand and supply of participation, and the access to futures trading services. The purpose is to identify different factors that can enhance or constrain farmer participation in the futures markets, which may include market characteristics, institutional features, socio-economic issues, and behavioural aspects of farmer participation. A number of organizations related to rural development, as well as farmer producer companies have sought to facilitate farmer participation in the forward/futures market through offering aggregation and other trading services, and the book also examines these efforts towards the exchange-traded derivative markets and the direct and indirect benefits that accrue. The book also studies the efficiency of futures markets in price discovery and price dissemination applying co-integration tests, and error correction and volatility models, using available data of wheat, rapeseed-mustard, cotton, guar seed, castor, cumin and coriander futures contracts traded in the largest agricultural commodity exchanges in India. Besides, case studies are used to examine and understand the institutional roles of aggregators in aggregation efforts towards the forward/futures market. This book covers several states and locations in India to enhance the representation and validity of the findings. It also examines representative farmer organizations which have obtained institutional membership in the forward or futures markets, and identifies areas of further research. In the current scenario, the book would be of immense importance and relevance to governments, commodity exchanges/markets, aggregators, many private and development organizations, as well as interested researchers and students.

Economics of Futures Trading: For Commercial and Personal Profit
Economics of Futures Trading: For Commercial and Personal Profit

Author: Thomas A. Hieronymus

Publisher: Ceres Books LLC

Published: 2023-08-07

Total Pages: 543

ISBN-13: 0578357976

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Winner of the Award for Publication of Enduring Quality from the American Agricultural Economics Association The classic and must-have book on the commodity futures market For decades, Economics of Futures Trading has been known as “the bible” of the commodity futures market. This updated edition provides the foundation for everything you need to know in commodity basics and the economics of futures trading. In this comprehensive and essential guide, Professor Hieronymus reveals secrets and wisdom attained from decades of hands-on experience and research in the field. His timeless insight provides the fundamentals necessary for trading in pursuit of profits–whether you are new to the world of commodity trading or experienced. Dr. Hieronymus’ witty and engaging writing ushers you into the world of trading so you can attain success in these ever-growing markets. The underlying principles presented in this classic remain unchanged, and your understanding of all the complex concepts in futures trading will be enhanced, such as: Operation and performance of the commodity market. Hedging and speculation. Historical developments. And much more. This remains the ultimate guide and go-to resource for anyone interested in the operation of commodity markets. Set yourself up for success as you navigate the complexity of the market by first gleaning from a gold mine of insight offered in this easy-to-digest classic.

Indian Economic Superpower
Indian Economic Superpower

Author: Jayashankar M. Swaminathan

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2009

Total Pages: 283

ISBN-13: 9812814655

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India is an emerging economy that intersects the supply chain of many companies and industries. This is the first book that allows you to learn about the state of the art of supply chain practices, innovative approaches, and the future outlook for India and its neighbors. The content is exceedingly rich and interesting, and will be highly valuable to academics and practitioners.

India's Economic Future
India's Economic Future

Author: Manmohan Agarwal

Publisher: Berghahn Books

Published: 2009

Total Pages: 298

ISBN-13: 9788187358176

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The Indian economy continues to grow rapidly, taking in its stride poor harvests and rising oil prices. Industrial output has increased to double-digit levels, accompanied by rising levels of savings and investment. an important factor in this process has been India's relative political stability. What are the constraints to maintaining a high rate of growth over the next decade or two? These questions acquire special significance as we try to understand long-term growth in the current context of global economic slowdown. The papers in this volume seek to answer these questions.