Four EU Scenarios for Governance in a Post Covid-19 World
Four EU Scenarios for Governance in a Post Covid-19 World

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 2020

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9789284672790

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Scarcity of medical equipment during the COVID-19 crisis, and the ensuing discussion on 'reshoring' certain industries back to Europe, have brought back an old dilemma. Namely, countries wish to be strategically independent while depending on products and resources from other countries to fulfil their economic needs. This reflects the debate about whether markets or governments are better at delivering solutions. We can also define this debate as a choice between 'competitive capitalism' and 'strategic autonomy'. Calls for strategic autonomy have increased since the COVID-19 crisis, at national and EU level.

Global Trends 2040
Global Trends 2040

Author: National Intelligence Council

Publisher: Cosimo Reports

Published: 2021-03

Total Pages: 158

ISBN-13: 9781646794973

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

After the New Normal
After the New Normal

Author: Kerstin Cuhls

Publisher:

Published: 2022

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9789276489399

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The purpose of the study 'After the new normal : scenarios for Europe in the post Covid-19' world was to chart the scope of change that the Covid-19 pandemic may bring to the context of the EU itself and EU R&I policy. Five scenarios were designed in a process including the Horizon Europe Network - with horizon scanning, online workshops and scenario writing. The five context scenarios are: The long recession, Back to 'normal'? Big Tech shapes Europe, The Circular Economy and Green Utopia - new hope. They include the numerous disruptions to our daily lives from the Covid-19 lock-downs to 2040 and describe the extent, to which the pandemic might raise new requirements for the EU's future policy frameworks, initiatives and programmes, for example in terms of impact, time horizon of projects or investments.

Alternative Futures of EU Integration After the Covid-19 Pandemic
Alternative Futures of EU Integration After the Covid-19 Pandemic

Author: Andrea Renda

Publisher:

Published: 2023

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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The Covid-19 pandemic is having a profound impact on EU integration, and on the role of the EU in the global governance context. In this report, we present four possible scenarios that may materialize in the coming years, and up to 2040, by using an ‘alternative futures’ approach. This is an exploratory method deployed to develop a better understanding of what may yet happen, as opposed to postulating what is most likely to happen. The project included two digital workshops with the goal to develop a set of scenarios examining the impact of Covid-19 on the potential futures for EU integration. The scenarios, set in the year 2040, aim to communicate a series of alternative worlds that might emerge from developments of internal and external factors. We describe an ‘Optimistic New Deal’ scenario, which portrays a strong EU backed by Member States and leading the world towards tackling global challenges; a ‘Wretched fortress’ scenario, in which the EU faces severe difficulties due to rising Euroscepticism and a significant slowdown in the process of integration; a ‘United Force’ scenario, with the EU focusing on a limited number of global challenges and Member States relying on inter-governmental agreements for a wide array of policy domains; and a ‘Chinese province’ scenario, in which the EU splits, and the Member States that remain merge with a Eurasian bloc under the leadership of an increasingly eco-authoritarian China. The report then explores the consequences of these scenarios for the domains of development and health policy.

No One's World
No One's World

Author: Charles Kupchan

Publisher: OUP USA

Published: 2012-03

Total Pages: 273

ISBN-13: 0199739390

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The rise of emerging powers is eclipsing not just the preeminence of the West, but also its ideological dominance. The twenty-first century will not belong to America, China, Asia, or anyone else. It will be no one's world. Charles Kupchan spells out how to capitalize on the coming diversity to fashion a consensus between the West and the rising rest.

Cities and Communities Beyond COVID-19
Cities and Communities Beyond COVID-19

Author: Hambleton, Robin

Publisher: Bristol University Press

Published: 2020-10-16

Total Pages: 188

ISBN-13: 1529215854

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The COVID-19 virus outbreak has rocked the world and it is widely accepted that there can be no return to the pre-pandemic society of 2019. However, many suggestions for the future of society and the planet are aimed at national governments, international bodies and society in general. Drawing on a decade of research by an internationally renowned expert, this book focuses on how cities and communities can lead the way in developing recovery strategies that promote social, economic and environmental justice. It offers new thinking tools for civic leaders and activists as well as practical suggestions on how we can co-create a more inclusive post COVID-19 future for us all.

Corporate Liquidity and Solvency in Europe during COVID-19: The Role of Policies
Corporate Liquidity and Solvency in Europe during COVID-19: The Role of Policies

Author: Mr.Christian H Ebeke

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2021-03-02

Total Pages: 48

ISBN-13: 1513570919

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The spread of COVID-19, containment measures, and general uncertainty led to a sharp reduction in activity in the first half of 2020. Europe was hit particularly hard—the economic contraction in 2020 is estimated to have been among the largest in the world—with potentially severe repercussions on its nonfinancial corporations. A wave of corporate bankruptcies would generate mass unemployment, and a loss of productive capacity and firm-specific human capital. With many SMEs in Europe relying primarily on the banking sector for external finance, stress in the corporate sector could easily translate into pressures in the banking system (Aiyar et al., forthcoming).

OECD Tourism Trends and Policies 2020
OECD Tourism Trends and Policies 2020

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2020-03-04

Total Pages: 387

ISBN-13: 9264626883

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The 2020 edition analyses tourism performance and policy trends across 51 OECD countries and partner economies. It highlights the need for coherent and comprehensive approaches to tourism policy making, and the significance of the tourism economy, with data covering domestic, inbound and outbound tourism, enterprises and employment, and internal tourism consumption.