Forecasting from Multi-equation Econometric Micromodels
Forecasting from Multi-equation Econometric Micromodels

Author: Jerzy Witold Wiśniewski

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2023-05-11

Total Pages: 153

ISBN-13: 303127492X

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Forecasting from multi-equation models has very rarely been the focus in econometric literature. In response, this book presents a range of methodologies to approach this complex field and offers readers essential information on forecasting from multi-equation econometric micromodels. In the twentieth century, significant interest in econometric macromodels emerged. These multi-equation models are mostly systems of interdependent equations, most often used to describe the national economies of various countries. The book analyzes econometric forecasting procedures and illustrates them with empirical examples that are based on real economic (mostly business-derived) data. The procedure of forecast building from systems of interdependent equations is presented for two categories of econometric models: models with a feedback effect and models with closed-loop links between interdependent variables. The forecasts obtained via this technique are compared with the results derived from reduced-form equations of the respective econometric model. The author also generalizes the rules of the reduced-recursive (helical, iterative) procedure application, against the backdrop of the proposed method of forecast building from reduced-form equations of systems of interdependent equations. Given its scope, the book will appeal not only to PhD students and researchers, but also undergraduate students and academics in general.

Forecasting from Multi-equation Econometric Micromodels
Forecasting from Multi-equation Econometric Micromodels

Author: Jerzy Witold Wiśniewski

Publisher:

Published: 2023

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9783031274930

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Forecasting from multi-equation models has very rarely been the focus in econometric literature. In response, this book presents a range of methodologies to approach this complex field and offers readers essential information on forecasting from multi-equation econometric micromodels. In the twentieth century, significant interest in econometric macromodels emerged. These multi-equation models are mostly systems of interdependent equations, most often used to describe the national economies of various countries. The book analyzes econometric forecasting procedures and illustrates them with empirical examples that are based on real economic (mostly business-derived) data. The procedure of forecast building from systems of interdependent equations is presented for two categories of econometric models: models with a feedback effect and models with closed-loop links between interdependent variables. The forecasts obtained via this technique are compared with the results derived from reduced-form equations of the respective econometric model. The author also generalizes the rules of the reduced-recursive (helical, iterative) procedure application, against the backdrop of the proposed method of forecast building from reduced-form equations of systems of interdependent equations. Given its scope, the book will appeal not only to PhD students and researchers, but also undergraduate students and academics in general.

Microeconometrics in Business Management
Microeconometrics in Business Management

Author: Jerzy Witold Wisniewski

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2015-09-22

Total Pages: 216

ISBN-13: 1119096812

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This book introduces the application of microeconometric methods for modelling various aspects of economic activity for small to large size enterprises, using methods that are based on both time-series and cross-section approaches. The information obtained from using these estimated models can then be used to inform business decisions that improve the efficiency of operations and planning. Basic models used in the modelling of the business (single-equation and multiple-equation systems) are introduced whilst a wide range of economic activity including major aspects of financial management, demand for labour, administrative staff and labour productivity are also explored. Microeconometrics in Business Management: Introduces econometric methods which can be used in the modelling of economic activity and forecasting, to help improve the efficiency of business operations and planning. Describes econometric entities through multiple-equation and single-equation microeconometric models. Explores the process of building and adapting basic microeconometric tools. Presents numerous micromodels based on time-series data and statistical cross-sectional sequences, which can be used in any enterprise. Features numerous real –world applications along with examples drawn from the authors own experience. Is supported by a companion website featuring practice problems and statistical data to aid students to construct and estimate micro models. Features end of chapter exercises with examples present in free software GRETL. This book serves as a valuable resource for students, business management practitioners and researchers in econometric micro-model construction and various decision-making processes.

Summary
Summary

Author: United States. Maritime Administration. Division of Economic and Operational Analyses

Publisher:

Published: 1977

Total Pages: 314

ISBN-13:

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Microeconometrics
Microeconometrics

Author: A. Colin Cameron

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2005-05-09

Total Pages: 1058

ISBN-13: 1139444867

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This book provides the most comprehensive treatment to date of microeconometrics, the analysis of individual-level data on the economic behavior of individuals or firms using regression methods for cross section and panel data. The book is oriented to the practitioner. A basic understanding of the linear regression model with matrix algebra is assumed. The text can be used for a microeconometrics course, typically a second-year economics PhD course; for data-oriented applied microeconometrics field courses; and as a reference work for graduate students and applied researchers who wish to fill in gaps in their toolkit. Distinguishing features of the book include emphasis on nonlinear models and robust inference, simulation-based estimation, and problems of complex survey data. The book makes frequent use of numerical examples based on generated data to illustrate the key models and methods. More substantially, it systematically integrates into the text empirical illustrations based on seven large and exceptionally rich data sets.