Fiscal Sustainability in Heavily Indebted Countries Dependent on Nonrenewable Resources: The Case of Gabon

Fiscal Sustainability in Heavily Indebted Countries Dependent on Nonrenewable Resources: The Case of Gabon

Author: Joseph Ntamatungiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Published: 2004-02-01

Total Pages: 37

ISBN-13: 9781451844948

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This paper proposes a framework for assessing fiscal sustainability in heavily indebted countries dependent on exhaustible resources, with reference to Gabon. It finds that fiscal sustainability could be achieved by: (i) developing a fiscal rule for the non-oil primary fiscal balance compatible with an objective for reducing the debt-to-non-oil GDP ratio; (ii) introducing a constant oil-based income transfer per capita allowing intergenerational equity; and (iii) building up an oil savings fund. Long-term simulations show that Gabon's fiscal position is fragile and that a fiscal policy path consistent with the proposed framework could help achieve comfortable levels of net wealth.


Fiscal Sustainability in Heavily Indebted Countries Dependent on Nonrenewable Resources

Fiscal Sustainability in Heavily Indebted Countries Dependent on Nonrenewable Resources

Author: Joseph Ntamatungiro

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 38

ISBN-13:

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This paper proposes a framework for assessing fiscal sustainability in heavily indebted countries dependent on exhaustible resources, with reference to Gabon. It finds that fiscal sustainability could be achieved by: (i) developing a fiscal rule for the non-oil primary fiscal balance compatible with an objective for reducing the debt-to-non-oil GDP ratio; (ii) introducing a constant oil-based income transfer per capita allowing intergenerational equity; and (iii) building up an oil savings fund. Long-term simulations show that Gabon's fiscal position is fragile and that a fiscal policy path consistent with the proposed framework could help achieve comfortable levels of net wealth.


Author:

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published:

Total Pages: 71

ISBN-13:

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Regional Economic Outlook, Fall 2006, Sub-Saharan Africa, Supplement

Regional Economic Outlook, Fall 2006, Sub-Saharan Africa, Supplement

Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2006-05-03

Total Pages: 78

ISBN-13: 9781589065925

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Provides a broad synopsis of recent economic developments in the Middle East and Central Asia region, highlighting common trends and policies among countries in the region, and reviewing prospects and policies for the coming year. Includes a statistical appendix.


Regional Economic Outlook, April 2008, Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2008, Sub-Saharan Africa

Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2008-04-14

Total Pages: 145

ISBN-13: 1589067118

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The region's prospects continue to be promising, but global developments pose increased risks to the outlook. Growth in sub-Saharan Africa should again average about 61⁄2 percent in 2008 with oil exporters leading the way; meanwhile, growth in oil importers is expected to taper off, though only modestly. With food and energy prices still rising, inflation is projected to average about 81⁄2 percent this year for countries in the region, setting aside Zimbabwe. Risks in 2008 are tilted to the downside, but the region is better placed today to withstand a worsening of the global environment.


Stress Testing at the IMF

Stress Testing at the IMF

Author: Mr.Tobias Adrian

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2020-02-05

Total Pages: 73

ISBN-13: 1513520741

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This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.


Regional Economic Outlook, October 2007, Sub-Saharan African

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2007, Sub-Saharan African

Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2007-10-15

Total Pages: 84

ISBN-13: 1589066707

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The region's prospects look strong. Growth in sub-Saharan Africa should reach 6 percent in 2007 and 63⁄4 percent in 2008. The economic expansion is strongest in oil exporters but cuts across all country groups. This would extend a period of very good performance. In recent years, sub-Saharan Africa has been experiencing its strongest growth and lowest inflation in over 30 years.