FIRST-STRIKE STABILITY AND STRATEGIC DEFENCES: PT. 2 OF A METHODOLOGY FOR EVALUATING STRATEGIC FORCES.
Author: Rand Corporation
Publisher:
Published:
Total Pages: 50
ISBN-13:
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Author: Rand Corporation
Publisher:
Published:
Total Pages: 50
ISBN-13:
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Publisher:
Published: 1990
Total Pages: 69
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKFirst-strike stability between two adversaries is robust when both leaders perceive no great difference between the expected 'cost' to each side of striking first and the expected 'cost' of incurring a first strike if one withholds his attack. Conclusions include: (1) First-strike stability is currently quite robust. (2) Deployment of strategic nationwide ballistic missile defenses by either superpower in competition with the other's strategic offenses generally erodes first-strike stability. (3) Neither country would be likely to continue to adhere to agreements that constrain and reduce offensive arms under the specter of intent by the other to deploy robust strategic defenses in contravention to the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty. (4) There may be a 'window' in which United States and Soviet strategic nationwide BMD could be robust in defending against 'limited' attacks (third-country ballistic missile attacks, unauthorized attacks, and accidental launches), yet not so robust that first-strike stability is seriously undermined. (5) The level of U.S. defenses attributed to the so-called 'Phase I' deployment seems to go beyond the upper bounds of this 'window' even with current offensive forces, and certainly with offensive forces constrained by START I. (6) Any attempt to transition to a situation in which each side's strategic defenses dominate the opponent's ballistic missiles must include a careful negotiation on the critical role of bomber forces in maintaining firs-strike stability.
Author: Glenn A. Kent
Publisher:
Published: 1990
Total Pages: 55
ISBN-13: 9780833011022
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA pressing issue facing the United States in the early 1990s centers on whether, and for what strategic purposes, the United States should deploy nationwide ballistic missile defenses (BMD). One argument is that such defenses could enhance stability. This report extends the methodology developed in R-3765 to assess the effect of BMD deployments on first-strike stability. The authors conclude that (1) first-strike stability is currently robust; (2) deployment of strategic nationwide BMD by either superpower in competition with the other's strategic offenses generally erodes first-strike stability; (3) there might be a level at which U.S. and Soviet BMD could effectively defend against third-country ballistic missile attacks, unauthorized attacks, and accidental launches, without being so robust that it would undermine first-strike stability; (4) the buildup of U.S. defenses during Phase I deployment seems to exceed this level; and (5) maintaining effective bomber forces on both sides would be critical to any attempt to move from offense dominance to defense dominance.
Author: Glenn A. Kent
Publisher:
Published: 1988
Total Pages: 70
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Elbridge A. Colby
Publisher: Army War College Press
Published: 2013
Total Pages: 452
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWhat is strategic stability and why is it important? This edited collection offers the most current authoritative survey of this topic, which is central to U.S. strategy in the field of nuclear weapons and great power relations. A variety of authors, leading experts in the field of strategic issues and regional studies, offer both theoretical and practical insights into the basic concepts associated with strategic stability, what implications these have for the United States as well as key regions such as the Middle East, and perspectives on strategic stability in Russia and China. Readers will develop a deeper and more developed understanding of this concent from this engaging and informative work.
Author: Elbridge A. Colby
Publisher: Lulu.com
Published:
Total Pages: 452
ISBN-13: 1304049523
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Publisher:
Published: 1991
Total Pages: 292
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Gregory D. Koblentz
Publisher: Council on Foreign Relations
Published: 2014-11-01
Total Pages: 68
ISBN-13: 0876096119
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe world has entered a second nuclear age shaped by rising nuclear states and military technologies. Gregory Koblentz argues that the United States should work with the other nuclear-armed states to manage threats to nuclear stability in the near term and establish processes for multilateral arms control efforts over the longer term.
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Operations. Legislation and National Security Subcommittee
Publisher:
Published: 1992
Total Pages: 488
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Glenn A. Kent
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 2008
Total Pages: 283
ISBN-13: 0833044524
DOWNLOAD EBOOK"Lieutenant General Glenn A. Kent was a uniquely acute analyst and developer of American defense policy in the second half of the twentieth century. His 33-year career in the Air Force was followed by more than 20 years as one of the leading analysts at RAND. This volume is not a memoir in the normal sense but rather a summary of the dozens of national security issues in which Glenn was personally engaged over the course of his career. These issues included creating the single integrated operational plan (SIOP), leading DoD's official assessment of strategic defenses in the 1960s, developing and analyzing strategic nuclear arms control agreements, helping to bring new weapon systems to life, and many others. Each vignette describes the analytical frameworks and, where appropriate, the mathematical formulas and charts that Glenn developed and applied to gain insights into the issue at hand. The author also relates his roles in much of the bureaucratic pulling and hauling that occurred as issues were addressed within the government." -- publisher's website.