Improved Forecast Accuracy in Airline Revenue Management by Unconstraining Demand Estimates from Censored Data

Improved Forecast Accuracy in Airline Revenue Management by Unconstraining Demand Estimates from Censored Data

Author: Richard H. Zeni

Publisher: Universal-Publishers

Published: 2001

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 1581121415

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Accurate forecasts are crucial to a revenue management system. Poor estimates of demand lead to inadequate inventory controls and sub-optimal revenue performance. Forecasting for airline revenue management systems is inherently difficult. Competitive actions, seasonal factors, the economic environment, and constant fare changes are a few of the hurdles that must be overcome. In addition, the fact that most of the historical demand data is censored further complicates the problem. This dissertation examines the challenge of forecasting for an airline revenue management system in the presence of censored demand data. This dissertation analyzed the improvement in forecast accuracy that results from estimating demand by unconstraining the censored data. Little research has been done on unconstraining censored data for revenue management systems. Airlines tend to either ignore the problem or use very simple ad hoc methods to deal with it. A literature review explores the current methods for unconstraining censored data. Also, practices borrowed from areas outside of revenue management are adapted to this application. For example, the Expectation-Maximization (EM) and other imputation methods were investigated. These methods are evaluated and tested using simulation and actual airline data. An extension to the EM algorithm that results in a 41% improvement in forecast accuracy is presented.


The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management

The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management

Author: Kalyan T. Talluri

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2006-02-21

Total Pages: 731

ISBN-13: 0387273913

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Revenue management (RM) has emerged as one of the most important new business practices in recent times. This book is the first comprehensive reference book to be published in the field of RM. It unifies the field, drawing from industry sources as well as relevant research from disparate disciplines, as well as documenting industry practices and implementation details. Successful hardcover version published in April 2004.


The Global Airline Industry

The Global Airline Industry

Author: Peter Belobaba

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2015-07-06

Total Pages: 536

ISBN-13: 1118881141

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Extensively revised and updated edition of the bestselling textbook, provides an overview of recent global airline industry evolution and future challenges Examines the perspectives of the many stakeholders in the global airline industry, including airlines, airports, air traffic services, governments, labor unions, in addition to passengers Describes how these different players have contributed to the evolution of competition in the global airline industry, and the implications for its future evolution Includes many facets of the airline industry not covered elsewhere in any single book, for example, safety and security, labor relations and environmental impacts of aviation Highlights recent developments such as changing airline business models, growth of emerging airlines, plans for modernizing air traffic management, and opportunities offered by new information technologies for ticket distribution Provides detailed data on airline performance and economics updated through 2013


The Oxford Handbook of Pricing Management

The Oxford Handbook of Pricing Management

Author: Özalp Özer

Publisher: Oxford University Press (UK)

Published: 2012-06-07

Total Pages: 977

ISBN-13: 0199543178

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A definitive reference to the theory and practice of pricing across industries, environments, and methodologies. It covers all major areas of pricing including, pricing fundamentals, pricing tactics, and pricing management.


Pricing and Revenue Optimization

Pricing and Revenue Optimization

Author: Robert Phillips

Publisher: Stanford University Press

Published: 2005-08-05

Total Pages: 470

ISBN-13: 0804781648

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This is the first comprehensive introduction to the concepts, theories, and applications of pricing and revenue optimization. From the initial success of "yield management" in the commercial airline industry down to more recent successes of markdown management and dynamic pricing, the application of mathematical analysis to optimize pricing has become increasingly important across many different industries. But, since pricing and revenue optimization has involved the use of sophisticated mathematical techniques, the topic has remained largely inaccessible to students and the typical manager. With methods proven in the MBA courses taught by the author at Columbia and Stanford Business Schools, this book presents the basic concepts of pricing and revenue optimization in a form accessible to MBA students, MS students, and advanced undergraduates. In addition, managers will find the practical approach to the issue of pricing and revenue optimization invaluable. Solutions to the end-of-chapter exercises are available to instructors who are using this book in their courses. For access to the solutions manual, please contact [email protected].


The Evolution of Yield Management in the Airline Industry

The Evolution of Yield Management in the Airline Industry

Author: Ben Vinod

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2021-05-28

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 3030704246

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This book chronicles airline revenue management from its early origins to the last frontier. Since its inception revenue management has now become an integral part of the airline business process for competitive advantage. The field has progressed from inventory control of the base fare, to managing bundles of base fare and air ancillaries, to the precise inventory control at the individual seat level. The author provides an end-to-end view of pricing and revenue management in the airline industry covering airline pricing, advances in revenue management, availability, and air shopping, offer management and product distribution, agency revenue management, impact of revenue management across airline planning and operations, and emerging technologies is travel. The target audience of this book is practitioners who want to understand the basics and have an end-to-end view of revenue management.


Revenue Management in Manufacturing

Revenue Management in Manufacturing

Author: Danilo Zatta

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-07-08

Total Pages: 143

ISBN-13: 331930240X

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This book focuses on the application of revenue management in the manufacturing industry. Though previous books have extensively studied the application of revenue management in the service industry, little attention has been paid to its application in manufacturing, despite the fact that applying it in this context can be highly profitable and instrumental to corporate success. With this work, the author demonstrates that the manufacturing industry also fulfills the prerequisites for the application of revenue management. The book includes a summary of empirical studies that effectively illustrate how revenue management is currently being applied across Europe and North America, and what the profit potential is.


New Trends in Civil Aviation

New Trends in Civil Aviation

Author: Vladimir Socha

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2018-06-27

Total Pages: 420

ISBN-13: 1351238639

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The NTCA conference series is dedicated to publishing peer-reviewed proceedings of the conference. The goal is to disseminate state-of the- art scientific results available in the domain of civil aviation. These proceedings contain a collection of scientific contributions to the NTCA 2017 conference, which took place in Prague from 7-8 December 2017 and was hosted by the Department of Air Transport, Czech Technical University in Prague with the cooperation of the Faculty of Aeronautics, Technical University of Košice; Institute of Aerospace Engineering, Brno University of Technology; Air Transport Department, University of Žilina, and the Czech Aerospace Society. The NTCA conference aims to build and extend a platform for interaction between communities interested in aviation problems and applications. NTCA 2017 followed this established practice and provided room for discussing and sharing views on the current issues in the field of aviation. As a result, these proceedings include contributions on air transport operations, air traffic management and economic aspects, aviation safety and security, aircraft technologies, unmanned aerial systems, human factors and ergonomics in aviation.


The Evolution of the US Airline Industry

The Evolution of the US Airline Industry

Author: Eldad Ben-Yosef

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2005-10-24

Total Pages: 295

ISBN-13: 0387242422

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For over three decades the airline industry has continued to maintain a high profile in the public mind and in public policy interest. This high profile is probably not surprising. There does seem to be something inherently newsworthy about airplanes and the people and companies that fly them. The industry was one of the first major industries in the United States to undergo deregulation, in 1978. It thereby transitioned from a closely regulated sector (the former Civil Aeronautics Board tightly controlled everyt thing from prices to routes to entry) to one that is largely market oriented. The incumbent carriers transformed themselves from the point-to-point operators that the CAB had required to the hub-and-spokes structures that took better advantage of their network characteristics. Further, they transformed their pricing from the quite simple structures that the CAB had required to the highly differentiated/segmented pricing structures (“yield management”) that reached an apogee in the late 1990s. Some ca arriers, like American, Delta, and United, were better at this transition; others, like Pan American, TWA, and Eastern, were not. What the incumbent carriers did not do, however, was deal with their costly wage and work rules structures, which were an enduring legacy of their regulatory period. This legacy, when combined with the high-fare end of the yield-management pricing structure, has made them vulnerable to entry by new carriers with lower cost structures.