Essays on Earnings Mobility Within and Across Generations Using Copula

Essays on Earnings Mobility Within and Across Generations Using Copula

Author: Tak Wai Chau

Publisher:

Published: 2010

Total Pages: 226

ISBN-13:

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"In Chapter 1, I study the effect of labor income mobility on lifetime inequality in the United States and Germany. I estimate models of labor income dynamics using PSID and GSOEP, and then simulate the lifetime income distribution. I use a flexible copula approach in which I extend the existing copula models to allow for a more general form of individual unobserved heterogeneity and to allow for a second order Markov transitory component. I find that these extensions improve the fit of the copula model and change the conclusions that can be drawn. My results from Chapter 1 show that, when using a flexible copula-form individual heterogeneity, the rise in mobility in the 90's in the United States can compensate for the increase in cross-sectional inequality, leading to a similar lifetime inequality across the 80's and 90's, which is not found in the more traditional specifications. On the other hand, Germany experienced a slight decrease in mobility over the same period, and thus an increase in both lifetime and cross-sectional inequality. My results also show that, despite a higher mobility, the lifetime income inequality in the United States is still much higher than that in Germany. In Chapter 2, I study the degree of intergenerational mobility in the United States and Germany. The traditional method of assessing intergenerational mobility--using the average income over a few years for each generation--is subject to two kinds of bias: attenuation bias due to measurement error and life cycle biases. In Chapter 2, I use a dynamic copula model of earnings, which explicitly takes into account the fact that the observed earnings are subject to transitory shocks that can be persistent. The model also allows for variations over the life cycle in various dimensions to deal with life cycle bias. Therefore, my model is able to adjust for the above two kinds of bias. Moreover, I adopt a copula approach so that it provides a more flexible model by allowing for asymmetry in the dynamics and intergenerational dependence. Using PSID data from the United States and GSOEP data from Germany, I find that the traditional method is substantially biased downward. The intergenerational elasticity is 0.52 in the United States and 0.39 for Germany, which are about 0.1 higher than the results obtained from more traditional method using the same sample data. I have also found substantial asymmetry in the earnings relations between generations. There is a substantially higher elasticity in lifetime earnings for sons with fathers at the top lifetime earnings quantiles than those with fathers at lower quantiles. The increase in inequality over time also increases the intergenerational elasiticity [i.e. elasticity] if the intergenerational earnings transmission is stable in terms of rank."--Leaves iv-vi.


Intergenerational Mobility in Earnings in Brazil Spanning Three Generations and Optimal Investment in Electricity Generation in Texas

Intergenerational Mobility in Earnings in Brazil Spanning Three Generations and Optimal Investment in Electricity Generation in Texas

Author: Cassia Helena Marchon

Publisher:

Published: 2008

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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This dissertation contains three essays. The first and second essays examine intergenerational mobility in earnings in Brazil using a data set spanning three generations. I use data from PNAD{a nationally representative household survey in Brazil. I build a three-generations data set consisting of 5,125 grandfather-father- son triplets by restricting the sample to households with adult sons. The first essay estimates some relationships between a child's earnings and family background implied by the Becker-Tomes model. I find that the estimates contradict some of its predictions, like the negative relationship between child's earnings and grandparent's earnings when controlling for parent's earnings. I propose a modified version of the Becker-Tomes model and find that the estimates are consistent with its predictions. I find that family background explains 34.9% of the variation in earnings among young males who live with their parents. If it were possible to eliminate the differences in investment in the children's human capital, the variation in earnings would fall by no more than 21.1%. Additionally, if there were no differences in endowments among children, the variation in earnings would fall by no less than 26%. The second essay examines the evolution of the intergenerational elasticity across generations and im- plications of marriage, education and fertility on mobility. I find that the estimate of the intergenerational elasticity in earnings is 0.847. The elasticity of earnings between son-in-law and father-in-law, 0.89, is approximately the same as the elasticity between son and father, 0.9. Additionally, controlling for fathers' percentile in the earnings distribution, each additional sibling decreases the sons' percentile by 1.77 percentiles. The third essay estimates an indicator of the optimal investment in electricity generation in Texas, and the associated efficiency gains. The essay presents a method to estimate the optimal investment in each technology available to generate electricity. The estimation considers the expected entry and exit of generation plants, future fuel prices, different demand elasticities and a potential carbon allowance mar- kets. Considering a carbon allowance price equal to two times the level in Europe, the optimal investment in electricity generation in Texas is zero.


Measurement of Poverty, Deprivation, and Social Exclusion

Measurement of Poverty, Deprivation, and Social Exclusion

Author: Thesia I. Garner

Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing

Published: 2015-09-16

Total Pages: 354

ISBN-13: 1785603868

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The papers in Measurement of Poverty, Deprivation, and Social Exclusion represent the most current research on poverty, deprivation, and income mobility. They illustrate the multidimensionality of poverty that is difficult to capture in any one measure. The volume presents state-of-the-art research that is relevant to poverty academics globally.


Unlocking the American Dream

Unlocking the American Dream

Author: David Patrick Cooper

Publisher:

Published: 2011

Total Pages: 48

ISBN-13: 9781124597713

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The United States has long been thought of as the "land of opportunity," where economic success is within reach for anyone who is willing to work hard. Recent research, however, into the transmission of economic status across generations has challenged this perception, showing that a substantial portion of any individual's long-run earnings can be explained by the relative socio-economic status of their parents. This paper explores this relationship in greater depth, looking specifically at some of the contributing factors to economic mobility and whether the relative importance of these factors differs at different levels of income. I use forty years of data from the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics (PSID) to measure the persistence of economic status across generations and the role that education, race, religious preference, and parent's labor force participation play in affecting economic mobility. In addition to measuring economic mobility at the mean, this paper also uses quantile regression to see how the intergenerational correlation of income and its causes vary across the income distribution. Consistent with previous research, I find that the intergenerational earnings correlation is strongest at the bottom of the son's earnings distribution, and gets weaker at higher levels of earnings. In contrast to previous research, however, I find that the effect of education in improving children's long-run earning may have become larger for the wealthy than for the poor or middle class. I also identify significant effects for race and religion in the transmission of economic status, and a possible negative relationship between fathers' extended hours at work and their sons' eventual long-run earnings.


Three Essays in Economic Mobility and Inequality

Three Essays in Economic Mobility and Inequality

Author: Seunghee Lee (Economist)

Publisher:

Published: 2022

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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As the interest in Economics on inequality has exploded, intergenerational mobility is one of the fundamental areas concerning inequality since it is related to many normative questions such as equal opportunity and fairness. Despite its importance, research on measuring intergenerational mobility has received relatively little attention. The dominant approach is still the scalar-based regression approach, which employs a regression of some statistics of offspring on some statistics of parents. In connection with this issue, this dissertation introduces a novel measure for intergenerational mobility based on modern economic theory and empirically analyzes intergenerational mobility in the U.S. and Korea.The first chapter analyzes the empirical aspect of the relationship between parental income trajectory and a child's success in the U.S. using a novel approach, functional approach.In particular, we find that parental income when their children are in their late teens is more correlated with children's income in their early 30s. In addition, children whose parental income tends to increase in their late teens are more likely to have a higher economic position than their parents. This implies that upward income mobility is positively associated with the steadily increasing economic status of the family over the first 20 years of children's life. Investigated further are the effects on explaining a child's success of the role of other trajectories, such as the family structure of unemployment and job type of household head, and the impact of parental education level. We also investigate the association between parental income profile and their children's college attendance and derive a similar finding that late teens are crucial periods when parents' income has a more significant impact on children's educational success.While the first chapter addresses issues in intergenerational mobility in the U.S., the second chapter focuses on intergenerational mobility in Korea. In the second chapter, using a similar approach to Chapter 1, we analyze the intergenerational mobility in all three dimensions - income, education, and occupation. In addition, reflecting Korea's unique historical and social characteristics, we study the association between investment in private tutoring and a child's economic and educational success. Our findings highlight the importance of parental intervention in teens on a child's educational success. The pattern of parental income profile of the upward mobility group shows a stronger upward trend than that of the downward mobility group, similar to what we observe in the U.S. data in Chapter 1. In Korea, both upward and downward mobility groups show steadily increasing parental income trajectories, reflecting the rapid economic growth Korea has experienced over the last six decades. This interesting and unique finding of mobility patterns in Korea reveals various social and economic structural changes Korea has gone through.The third chapter studies the various methodological issues. In this chapter, we consider how our functional estimate can be varied by the fluctuation of measurement error in parental income. Using Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, we decompose parental income into permanent and transitory components and consider the transitory component as a measurement error. We also compare our estimation method with the methods based on the fixed basis approach. Using too many bases in this approach yields nonsensical estimates, while the estimates using too few bases strongly depend on the shape of the basis. We also find that the fixed basis approach is not robust to measurement error. A possible endogeneity issue is also studied in this chapter. Parental income can affect their children's success through two channels, transmission of human capital and providing financial resources. To focus on the effect of financial resources, we measure intergenerational income mobility using instrumental variables to control the effect of human capital.


Opportunity and Inequality Across Generations

Opportunity and Inequality Across Generations

Author: Winfried Koeniger

Publisher:

Published: 2022

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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We analyze how intergenerational mobility and inequality would change relative to the status quo if dynasties had access to optimal insurance against low ability of future generations. Based on a dynamic, dynastic Mirrleesian model, we find that insurance against intergenerational ability risk increases in the social optimum relative to the status quo. This implies less intergenerational mobility in terms of welfare but no quantitatively significant change in earnings mobility. Earnings mobility is thus similar across economies with different incentives and welfare, illustrating that changes in earnings mobility cannot be interpreted readily in welfare terms without further analysis.


Essays on Intergenerational Mobiblity and Equality of Opportunity

Essays on Intergenerational Mobiblity and Equality of Opportunity

Author: Juan César Palomino Quintana

Publisher:

Published: 2017

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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This doctoral dissertation is divided in three chapters. While all of them deal with the measurement and determinants of economic mobility and (in)equality of opportunity, each has a distinct topic and focuses on a special facet of the opportunity and mobility puzzle. One size doesn't t all: A quantile analysis of intergenerational income mobility in the U.S. (1980-2010) Conventional wisdom and previous literature suggest that economic mobility is lower at the tails of the income distribution; however, the few studies that have estimated intergenerational income elasticity (IGE) at di erent points of the distribution in the U.S. were limited by small samples, arrived at disparate results, and had not estimated the trend of elasticity over time. In the rst chapter of this dissertation a large sample of income observations in the 1980-2010 period for the U.S. is built using the PSID database, which allows us to obtain robust quantile estimates of the IGE both for the pooled sample and for each wave. For the pooled sample, the IGE shows a U-shaped relation with the income distribution, with higher values at the tails (0.64 at the tenth percentile and 0.48 at the ninety- fth percentile) and a minimum value {highest mobility- of 0.38 at the seventieth percentile. The trend evolution of the IGE also varies across the income distribution: at the lower and mid quantiles, income mobility increased during the 80s and 90s but declined in the 00s, while for the higher quantiles it remained relatively stable along the whole period. Finally, the impact of education and race on mobility is evaluated. Both factors are found to be important and related to the position at the income distribution...


Social Mobility in Developing Countries

Social Mobility in Developing Countries

Author: Vegard Iversen

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2021-12-17

Total Pages: 506

ISBN-13: 0192650734

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Social mobility is the hope of economic development and the mantra of a good society. There are disagreements about what constitutes social mobility, but there is broad agreement that people should have roughly equal chances of success regardless of their economic status at birth. Concerns about rising inequality have engendered a renewed interest in social mobility—especially in the developing world. However, efforts to construct the databases and meet the standards required for conventional analyses of social mobility are at a preliminary stage and need to be complemented by innovative, conceptual, and methodological advances. If forms of mobility have slowed in the West, then we might be entering an age of rigid stratification with defined boundaries between the always-haves and the never-haves-which does not augur well for social stability. Social mobility research is ongoing, with substantive findings in different disciplines—typically with researchers in isolation from each other. A key contribution of this book is the pulling together of the emerging streams of knowledge. Generating policy-relevant knowledge is a principal concern. Three basic questions frame the study of diverse aspects of social mobility in the book. How to assess the extent of social mobility in a given development context when the datasets by conventional measurement techniques are unavailable? How to identify drivers and inhibitors of social mobility in particular developing country contexts? How to acquire the knowledge required to design interventions to raise social mobility, either by increasing upward mobility or by lowering downward mobility?


How I Became a Quant

How I Became a Quant

Author: Richard R. Lindsey

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2011-01-11

Total Pages: 406

ISBN-13: 1118044754

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Praise for How I Became a Quant "Led by two top-notch quants, Richard R. Lindsey and Barry Schachter, How I Became a Quant details the quirky world of quantitative analysis through stories told by some of today's most successful quants. For anyone who might have thought otherwise, there are engaging personalities behind all that number crunching!" --Ira Kawaller, Kawaller & Co. and the Kawaller Fund "A fun and fascinating read. This book tells the story of how academics, physicists, mathematicians, and other scientists became professional investors managing billions." --David A. Krell, President and CEO, International Securities Exchange "How I Became a Quant should be must reading for all students with a quantitative aptitude. It provides fascinating examples of the dynamic career opportunities potentially open to anyone with the skills and passion for quantitative analysis." --Roy D. Henriksson, Chief Investment Officer, Advanced Portfolio Management "Quants"--those who design and implement mathematical models for the pricing of derivatives, assessment of risk, or prediction of market movements--are the backbone of today's investment industry. As the greater volatility of current financial markets has driven investors to seek shelter from increasing uncertainty, the quant revolution has given people the opportunity to avoid unwanted financial risk by literally trading it away, or more specifically, paying someone else to take on the unwanted risk. How I Became a Quant reveals the faces behind the quant revolution, offering you?the?chance to learn firsthand what it's like to be a?quant today. In this fascinating collection of Wall Street war stories, more than two dozen quants detail their roots, roles, and contributions, explaining what they do and how they do it, as well as outlining the sometimes unexpected paths they have followed from the halls of academia to the front lines of an investment revolution.