Do Hong Kong SAR and China Constitute An Optimal Currency Area? An Empirical Test of the Generalized Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis
Do Hong Kong SAR and China Constitute An Optimal Currency Area? An Empirical Test of the Generalized Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis

Author: Ms.Hong Liang

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1999-06-01

Total Pages: 18

ISBN-13: 1451850182

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The paper explores the behavior of the long-run real exchange rate (RER) of Hong Kong SAR and China by testing the generalized-purchasing power parity hypothesis (G-PPP). The hypothesis argues that if the fundamental variables determining RERs are sufficiently integrated, as in a currency area, the RERs should share common trends. The findings of this study suggest (1) at present, Hong Kong SAR and China do not satisfy the conditions necessary for forming an optimal currency area by themselves; (2) when Japan and the United States are added to the group, common trends can be found; and (3) the long-run elasticity between the RERs of Hong Kong SAR and China is negative.

Optimum Currency Area for Mainland China and Hong Kong? Empirical Tests
Optimum Currency Area for Mainland China and Hong Kong? Empirical Tests

Author: Shu-ki Tsang

Publisher:

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 27

ISBN-13:

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After the political unification of Hong Kong with China, Hong Kong is supposed to function as a separate economic entity under the framework of one country, two systems. However, the increasingly close ties between the two economies, particularly in recent years, have raised the possibility of full economic integration despite political constraints, and even of monetary union as the Chinese currency progresses towards full convertibility. This paper employs the theory of optimum currency area (OCA) and adopts two techniques over a range of economic variables to test whether Mainland China and Hong Kong constitute an OCA. The historical results presented in this paper are very sceptical of a positive answer. Empirical findings based on disaggregated data show some signs of nominal and real convergence only between Hong Kong and parts of Eastern China, driven by trade. This seems to be consistent with the actual trajectory of economic integration. However, all other results, even those based on higher frequency price data, point to a lack of evidence that Hong Kong and Mainland China as a whole as yet constitute an OCA.

Economic Convergence in Greater China
Economic Convergence in Greater China

Author: Chun Kwok Lei

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2008-12-08

Total Pages: 263

ISBN-13: 1134077181

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Although China's economy has grown rapidly in recent decades, there are still very large differences between the economies of mainland China and those of Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan. This book considers how far economic convergence between these four territories has occurred, and the prospects for increased convergence in the future.

Transition
Transition

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 280

ISBN-13:

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Covers the key policy issues and policy processes in the transition countries of Europe and Central Asia (and emerging market economies, such as China and India, somewhat, as well), offers analyses and lessons across countries, and presents interdisciplinary work in fields such as economics, law, and politics.

Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances
Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances

Author: Connel Fullenkamp

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2008-03-11

Total Pages: 94

ISBN-13: 1451925255

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Given the large size of aggregate remittance flows (billions of dollars annually), they should be expected to have significant macroeconomic effects on the economies that receive them. This paper directly addresses the two main issues of interest to policymakers with regard to remittances--how to manage their macroeconomic effects, and how to harness their development potential--by reporting the results of the first global study of the comprehensive macroeconomic effects of remittances on recipient economies. In broad terms, the findings of this paper tend to confirm the main benefit cited in the microeconomic literature: remittances improve households' welfare by lifting families out of poverty and insuring them against income shocks. The findings also yield a number of important caveats and policy considerations, however, that have largely been overlooked. The main challenge for policymakers in countries that receive significant flows of remittances is to design policies that promote remittances and increase their benefits while mitigating adverse side effects. Getting these policy prescriptions correct early on is imperative. Globalization and the aging of developed economy populations will ensure that demand for migrant workers remains robust for years to come. Hence, the volume of remittances likely will continue to grow, and with it, the challenge of unlocking the maximum societal benefit from these transfers.