Decision Theory as Philosophy
Author: Mark Kaplan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 1996
Total Pages: 250
ISBN-13: 9780521624961
DOWNLOAD EBOOKKaplan presents an accessible new variant on Bayesian decision theory.
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Author: Mark Kaplan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 1996
Total Pages: 250
ISBN-13: 9780521624961
DOWNLOAD EBOOKKaplan presents an accessible new variant on Bayesian decision theory.
Author: Martin Peterson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2017-03-30
Total Pages: 351
ISBN-13: 1107151597
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Author: Arif Ahmed
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2021-10-21
Total Pages: 112
ISBN-13: 1108607861
DOWNLOAD EBOOKEvidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Author: Richard Bradley
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2017-10-26
Total Pages: 351
ISBN-13: 1107003210
DOWNLOAD EBOOKExplores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.
Author: Katie Steele
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2021-09-09
Total Pages: 120
ISBN-13: 1108608043
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe main aim of this Element is to introduce the topic of limited awareness, and changes in awareness, to those interested in the philosophy of decision-making and uncertain reasoning. While it has long been of interest to economists and computer scientists, this topic has only recently been subject to philosophical investigation. Indeed, at first sight limited awareness seems to evade any systematic treatment: it is beyond the uncertainty that can be managed. On the one hand, an agent has no control over what contingencies she is and is not aware of at a given time, and any awareness growth takes her by surprise. On the other hand, agents apparently learn to identify the situations in which they are more and less likely to experience limited awareness and subsequent awareness growth. How can these two sides be reconciled? That is the puzzle we confront in this Element.
Author: James M. Joyce
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 1999-04-13
Total Pages: 300
ISBN-13: 9780521641647
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.
Author: José Luis Bermúdez
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Published: 2009-02-19
Total Pages: 208
ISBN-13: 0191609455
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe concept of rationality is a common thread through the human and social sciences — from political science to philosophy, from economics to sociology, and from management science to decision analysis. But what counts as rational action and rational behavior? José Luis Bermúdez explores decision theory as a theory of rationality. Decision theory is the mathematical theory of choice and for many social scientists it makes the concept of rationality mathematically tractable and scientifically legitimate. Yet rationality is a concept with several dimensions and the theory of rationality has different roles to play. It plays an action-guiding role (prescribing what counts as a rational solution of a given decision problem). It plays a normative role (giving us the tools to pass judgment not just on how a decision problem was solved, but also on how it was set up in the first place). And it plays a predictive/explanatory role (telling us how rational agents will behave, or why they did what they did). This controversial but accessible book shows that decision theory cannot play all of these roles simultaneously. And yet, it argues, no theory of rationality can play one role without playing the other two. The conclusion is that there is no hope of taking decision theory as a theory of rationality.
Author: José Luis Bermúdez
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2018-12-06
Total Pages: 281
ISBN-13: 1108420095
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA distinguished group of philosophers, decision theorists, and psychologists offer new interdisciplinary perspectives on the rationality of self-control.
Author: Alan Hájek
Publisher: Oxford Handbooks
Published: 2016
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9780199607617
DOWNLOAD EBOOKProbability theory is a key tool of the physical, mathematical, and social sciences. It has also been playing an increasingly significant role in philosophy: in epistemology, philosophy of science, ethics, social philosophy, philosophy of religion, and elsewhere. A case can be made thatprobability is as vital a part of the philosopher's toolkit as logic. Moreover, there is a fruitful two-way street between probability theory and philosophy: the theory informs much of the work of philosophers, and philosophical inquiry, in turn, has shed considerable light on the theory. ThisHandbook encapsulates and furthers the influence of philosophy on probability, and of probability on philosophy. Nearly forty articles summarise the state of play and present new insights in various areas of research at the intersection of these two fields. The articles will be of special interestto practitioners of probability who seek a greater understanding of its mathematical and conceptual foundations, and to philosophers who want to get up to speed on the cutting edge of research in this area. There is plenty here to entice philosophical readers who don't work especially on probabilitybut who want to learn more about it and its applications. Indeed, this volume should appeal to the intellectually curious generally; after all, there is much here to be curious about. We do not expect all of this volume's audience to have a thorough training in probability theory. And whileprobability is relevant to the work of many philosophers, they often do not have much of a background in its formalism. With this in mind, we begin with 'Probability for Everyone--Even Philosophers', a primer on those parts of probability theory that we believe are most important for philosophers toknow. The rest of the volume is divided into seven main sections: History; Formalism; Alternatives to Standard Probability Theory; Interpretations and Interpretive Issues; Probabilistic Judgment and Its Applications; Applications of Probability: Science; and Applications of Probability:Philosophy.
Author: Daniel Ellsberg
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2015-07-03
Total Pages: 336
ISBN-13: 1136711988
DOWNLOAD EBOOKEllsberg elaborates on "Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms" and mounts a powerful challenge to the dominant theory of rational decision in this book.