Decision Theory as Philosophy

Decision Theory as Philosophy

Author: Mark Kaplan

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 250

ISBN-13: 9780521624961

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Kaplan presents an accessible new variant on Bayesian decision theory.


An Introduction to Decision Theory

An Introduction to Decision Theory

Author: Martin Peterson

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2017-03-30

Total Pages: 351

ISBN-13: 1107151597

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.


Evidential Decision Theory

Evidential Decision Theory

Author: Arif Ahmed

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2021-10-21

Total Pages: 112

ISBN-13: 1108607861

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.


Decision Theory with a Human Face

Decision Theory with a Human Face

Author: Richard Bradley

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2017-10-26

Total Pages: 351

ISBN-13: 1107003210

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.


Beyond Uncertainty

Beyond Uncertainty

Author: Katie Steele

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2021-09-09

Total Pages: 120

ISBN-13: 1108608043

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The main aim of this Element is to introduce the topic of limited awareness, and changes in awareness, to those interested in the philosophy of decision-making and uncertain reasoning. While it has long been of interest to economists and computer scientists, this topic has only recently been subject to philosophical investigation. Indeed, at first sight limited awareness seems to evade any systematic treatment: it is beyond the uncertainty that can be managed. On the one hand, an agent has no control over what contingencies she is and is not aware of at a given time, and any awareness growth takes her by surprise. On the other hand, agents apparently learn to identify the situations in which they are more and less likely to experience limited awareness and subsequent awareness growth. How can these two sides be reconciled? That is the puzzle we confront in this Element.


The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory

The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory

Author: James M. Joyce

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1999-04-13

Total Pages: 300

ISBN-13: 9780521641647

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.


Decision Theory and Rationality

Decision Theory and Rationality

Author: José Luis Bermúdez

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2009-02-19

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13: 0191609455

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The concept of rationality is a common thread through the human and social sciences — from political science to philosophy, from economics to sociology, and from management science to decision analysis. But what counts as rational action and rational behavior? José Luis Bermúdez explores decision theory as a theory of rationality. Decision theory is the mathematical theory of choice and for many social scientists it makes the concept of rationality mathematically tractable and scientifically legitimate. Yet rationality is a concept with several dimensions and the theory of rationality has different roles to play. It plays an action-guiding role (prescribing what counts as a rational solution of a given decision problem). It plays a normative role (giving us the tools to pass judgment not just on how a decision problem was solved, but also on how it was set up in the first place). And it plays a predictive/explanatory role (telling us how rational agents will behave, or why they did what they did). This controversial but accessible book shows that decision theory cannot play all of these roles simultaneously. And yet, it argues, no theory of rationality can play one role without playing the other two. The conclusion is that there is no hope of taking decision theory as a theory of rationality.


Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality

Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality

Author: José Luis Bermúdez

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2018-12-06

Total Pages: 281

ISBN-13: 1108420095

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

A distinguished group of philosophers, decision theorists, and psychologists offer new interdisciplinary perspectives on the rationality of self-control.


The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy

The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy

Author: Alan Hájek

Publisher: Oxford Handbooks

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780199607617

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Probability theory is a key tool of the physical, mathematical, and social sciences. It has also been playing an increasingly significant role in philosophy: in epistemology, philosophy of science, ethics, social philosophy, philosophy of religion, and elsewhere. A case can be made thatprobability is as vital a part of the philosopher's toolkit as logic. Moreover, there is a fruitful two-way street between probability theory and philosophy: the theory informs much of the work of philosophers, and philosophical inquiry, in turn, has shed considerable light on the theory. ThisHandbook encapsulates and furthers the influence of philosophy on probability, and of probability on philosophy. Nearly forty articles summarise the state of play and present new insights in various areas of research at the intersection of these two fields. The articles will be of special interestto practitioners of probability who seek a greater understanding of its mathematical and conceptual foundations, and to philosophers who want to get up to speed on the cutting edge of research in this area. There is plenty here to entice philosophical readers who don't work especially on probabilitybut who want to learn more about it and its applications. Indeed, this volume should appeal to the intellectually curious generally; after all, there is much here to be curious about. We do not expect all of this volume's audience to have a thorough training in probability theory. And whileprobability is relevant to the work of many philosophers, they often do not have much of a background in its formalism. With this in mind, we begin with 'Probability for Everyone--Even Philosophers', a primer on those parts of probability theory that we believe are most important for philosophers toknow. The rest of the volume is divided into seven main sections: History; Formalism; Alternatives to Standard Probability Theory; Interpretations and Interpretive Issues; Probabilistic Judgment and Its Applications; Applications of Probability: Science; and Applications of Probability:Philosophy.


Risk, Ambiguity and Decision

Risk, Ambiguity and Decision

Author: Daniel Ellsberg

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2015-07-03

Total Pages: 336

ISBN-13: 1136711988

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Ellsberg elaborates on "Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms" and mounts a powerful challenge to the dominant theory of rational decision in this book.