The Euro Area Business Cycle
Author: Lucrezia Reichlin
Publisher: Centre for Economic Policy Research
Published: 2004
Total Pages: 103
ISBN-13: 1898128839
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Author: Lucrezia Reichlin
Publisher: Centre for Economic Policy Research
Published: 2004
Total Pages: 103
ISBN-13: 1898128839
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Marcus Scheiblecker
Publisher: Peter Lang
Published: 2008
Total Pages: 236
ISBN-13: 9783631576076
DOWNLOAD EBOOKDating business cycle turning points is still an important task for economic policy decisions. This study does this for the Austrian economy for the period between 1976 and 2005, using only quarterly national accounts data of Austria, Germany and the euro area. Three different filtering methods are applied: first-order differences, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, and the Baxter-King filter. To all of them, two different methods of determining the business cycle are applied: the ad-hoc determination of the business cycle and a dynamic factor model, taking into account the common variations of Austria, the euro area and the German business cycle movements. The results of both methods are dated by the Bry-Boschan algorithm in order to locate peaks and troughs of the cycle. The results are interpreted and compared to already exiting studies on the euro area and the Austrian business cycle.
Author: Mr.Jeffrey R. Franks
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2018-01-23
Total Pages: 47
ISBN-13: 1484338499
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWe examine economic convergence among euro area countries on multiple dimensions. While there was nominal convergence of inflation and interest rates, real convergence of per capita income levels has not occurred among the original euro area members since the advent of the common currency. Income convergence stagnated in the early years of the common currency and has reversed in the wake of the global economic crisis. New euro area members, in contrast, have seen real income convergence. Business cycles became more synchronized, but the amplitude of those cycles diverged. Financial cycles showed a similar pattern: sychronizing more over time, but with divergent amplitudes. Income convergence requires reforms boosting productivity growth in lagging countries, while cyclical and financial convergence can be enhanced by measures to improve national and euro area fiscal policies, together with steps to deepen the single market.
Author: Michael J. Artis
Publisher:
Published: 2003
Total Pages: 68
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
Publisher:
Published: 2014
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKIn this paper we compare alternative approaches for dating the Euro area business cycle and analyzing its characteristics. First, we extend a commonly used dating procedure to allow for length, size and amplitude restrictions, and to compute the probability of a phase change. Second, we apply the modified algorithm for dating both the classical Euro area cycle and the deviation cycle, where the latter is obtained by a variety of methods, including a modified HP filter that reproduces the features of the BK filter but avoids end-point problems, and a production function based approach. Third, we repeat the dating exercise for the main Euro area countries, evaluate the degree of syncronization, and compare the results with the UK and the US. Fourth, we construct indices of business cycle diffusion, and assess how spread are cyclical movements throughout the economy. Finally, we repeat the dating exercise using monthly industrial production data, to evaluate whether the higher sampling frequency can compensate the higher variability of the series and produce a more accurate dating.
Author: Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Published: 1995-02-26
Total Pages: 452
ISBN-13: 9780691043234
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t
Author: Jordi Galí
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Published: 2015-06-09
Total Pages: 295
ISBN-13: 1400866278
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe classic introduction to the New Keynesian economic model This revised second edition of Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle provides a rigorous graduate-level introduction to the New Keynesian framework and its applications to monetary policy. The New Keynesian framework is the workhorse for the analysis of monetary policy and its implications for inflation, economic fluctuations, and welfare. A backbone of the new generation of medium-scale models under development at major central banks and international policy institutions, the framework provides the theoretical underpinnings for the price stability–oriented strategies adopted by most central banks in the industrialized world. Using a canonical version of the New Keynesian model as a reference, Jordi Galí explores various issues pertaining to monetary policy's design, including optimal monetary policy and the desirability of simple policy rules. He analyzes several extensions of the baseline model, allowing for cost-push shocks, nominal wage rigidities, and open economy factors. In each case, the effects on monetary policy are addressed, with emphasis on the desirability of inflation-targeting policies. New material includes the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and an analysis of unemployment’s significance for monetary policy. The most up-to-date introduction to the New Keynesian framework available A single benchmark model used throughout New materials and exercises included An ideal resource for graduate students, researchers, and market analysts
Author:
Publisher:
Published: 1975-06
Total Pages: 132
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Matthew J. Kotchen
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Published: 2022-01-24
Total Pages: 275
ISBN-13: 0226821749
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis volume presents six new papers on environmental and energy economics and policy in the United States. Rebecca Davis, J. Scott Holladay, and Charles Sims analyze recent trends in and forecasts of coal-fired power plant retirements with and without new climate policy. Severin Borenstein and James Bushnell examine the efficiency of pricing for electricity, natural gas, and gasoline. James Archsmith, Erich Muehlegger, and David Rapson provide a prospective analysis of future pathways for electric vehicle adoption. Kenneth Gillingham considers the consequences of such pathways for the design of fuel vehicle economy standards. Frank Wolak investigates the long-term resource adequacy in wholesale electricity markets with significant intermittent renewables. Finally, Barbara Annicchiarico, Stefano Carattini, Carolyn Fischer, and Garth Heutel review the state of research on the interactions between business cycles and environmental policy.
Author: Allan Donald Harding
Publisher:
Published: 1999
Total Pages: 36
ISBN-13: 9780734014658
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