Secular Cycles
Secular Cycles

Author: Peter Turchin

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2009-08-09

Total Pages: 361

ISBN-13: 0691136963

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"Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications."--BOOK JACKET.

Cycles
Cycles

Author: Edward R. Dewey

Publisher: Harriman House Limited

Published: 2024-03-19

Total Pages: 240

ISBN-13: 0857199587

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Edward R. Dewey, as chief economist in the Hoover Administration, was tasked by President Hoover to figure out what caused the 1929 stock market crash and ensuing depression. In the course of his extensive investigations, he became convinced that something important was missing from our collective knowledge of how economies and societies work—a working knowledge of cycles. He was joined in his quest to establish a “science of cycles” by other leaders of his time, including Ivy League scientists, Smithsonian Directors, Industrial CEOs, Ambassadors, and political leaders. First published in 1971, Cycles: The Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events was Dewey’s answer to President Hoover’s question and to many more questions which had arisen from his decades of research. Are there cycles in nature? In war? On Wall Street? In the universe? In you? Are cycles across different phenomena aligned with each other? Find out in this compelling book! You can also learn more about how Dewey’s work continues today at cycles.org.

Stock Cycles
Stock Cycles

Author: Michael A. Alexander

Publisher: iUniverse

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 220

ISBN-13: 9780595132423

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"Important reading for serious investors."-InvestorsInsight.comFor most Americans, a 401k plan is their first exposure to investing. Many of us are relying on the stock market to provide for us in our retirement yet at the same time, most of us are afraid of the stock market. It's a valid concern. How can something so important to our financial future be so completely unpredictable? When Michael Alexander first started investing in the stock market, he noticed that few analysts seemed to have much knowledge of what the market has done in the past. While no one can give precise answers to questions about the future of the market and be right all the time, Alexander feels that it's possible to gain an understanding of the future of the stock market by studying its past. Analyzing years of historical data for patterns of behavior that might repeat in the future, Alexander provides strong statistical evidence for a cyclical pattern in the stock market. These Stock Cycles show that long periods of poor stock returns have always followed long periods of good returns. Are we in for good times or is the party over?

Life Cycles
Life Cycles

Author: DK

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2020-09-08

Total Pages: 146

ISBN-13: 0744034787

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This stunning illustrated children's book takes an innovative look at the circle of life, including animals, dinosaurs, stars, volcanoes, and even YOU. Everything has a beginning and an end, but what happens in between? Follow the migration of zebra across the vast plains, meet penguins guarding their eggs on the ice, and watch butterflies emerge from their cocoons. Shoot back in time 4.5 billion years to see how planet Earth was formed and then leap into the future to see what happens when stars die. Discover a new life cycle every time you turn the page. You'll take a closer look at the life cycles of environments, too. Discover how a river forms and changes over time. Find out how a tree grows and all of the other life cycles it supports within it. See the amazing sculptures the ocean waves carve out of cliffs. Dive beneath the surface to see how coral reefs form, and what causes them to die. Follow the life cycles of weather--from the water cycle to ice ages, to give you a better grasp of the climate situation we find ourselves in now. From the single-celled amoeba to how the Earth formed, the life cycles in this ebook have been carefully chosen to give you an amazing overview of the universe, and how everything is intricately linked. Filled with facts to amaze your friends, stunning photography, and beautifully detailed illustrations by Sam Falconer, Life Cycles gets to grips with the essence of life itself.

Earth Cycles
Earth Cycles

Author: Michael Ross

Publisher: First Avenue Editions

Published: 2003-08

Total Pages: 36

ISBN-13: 9780761319771

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Explains how cyclical phenomena occur, including cycles of the moon, day into night, and changing seasons, helping children understand the cycles of nature.

Business Cycles
Business Cycles

Author: Lars Tvede

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2006-05-26

Total Pages: 512

ISBN-13:

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During our lifetime we experience any number of business cycle crises which undermine our confidence and lead many to their ruin. We also experience the ‘happy days’ when our faith in the future becomes almost limitless, and when we forget that tides always turn again. So how can we better understand and predict these cycles? To answer these questions Lars Tvede takes us through a story that moves back in time to the Scottish gambler and financial genius, John Law, and then on to the distracted Adam Smith, the stockbroker Ricardo, the investment banker Thornton, the extrovert Schumpeter, the speculator Gould and many others to trace the theory and reality of business cycles, as it has evolved over 300 years. Gradually we reach the computer jugglers of the modern day who, with giant networks of equations, try to solve the same questions that have attracted the attention of classical economists throughout the centuries. Lars Tvede concludes this historical journey with a summary of what the core of the problem is and how modern understanding of business cycles can be used to forecast economic fluctuations. The final sections of the book provide detailed studies and explanations to of how stocks, bonds, hedge funds, private equity funds, gold, diamonds, exchange rates, real estate, commodities, art and collectibles, and numerous sub-sectors of some of these markets each behave over different categories of business cycles.

The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles
The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles

Author: Jeffrey A. Hirsch

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-07-11

Total Pages: 245

ISBN-13: 111828349X

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Jeffrey Hirsch discusses how to capture market-beating returns by following specific stock market cycles While predicting the direction of the stock market at any given point is difficult, it's a fact that the market exhibits well-defined and sometimes predictable patterns. While cycles do not repeat exactly all of the time, statistical evidence suggests that cyclical tendencies are very strong and should not be ignored by investors. The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will show you how to profit from these recurring stock market patterns and cycles. Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, this reliable resource explains why these cycles occur, provides the historical evidence behind them, and shows you how to capture consistent profits from them moving forward. In addition to describing his most widely followed cycles and patters, Hirsch also discusses both longer term boom-bust economic cycles and shorter term tendencies involving the best days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market. The methods found here follow everything from presidential election cycles to the "Santa Claus" effect Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on market cycles and seasonal patterns The strategies explored are easy-to-implement, and based on research that has proven profitable over the course of time For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.

Mastering The Market Cycle
Mastering The Market Cycle

Author: Howard Marks

Publisher: HarperCollins

Published: 2018-10-02

Total Pages: 339

ISBN-13: 1328480569

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A NEW YORK TIMES, WALL STREET JOURNAL, AND USA TODAY BESTSELLER The legendary investor shows how to identify and master the cycles that govern the markets. We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets, and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result. If you study past cycles, understand their origins and remain alert for the next one, you will become keenly attuned to the investment environment as it changes. You’ll be aware and prepared while others get blindsided by unexpected events or fall victim to emotions like fear and greed. By following Marks’s insights—drawn in part from his iconic memos over the years to Oaktree’s clients—you can master these recurring patterns to have the opportunity to improve your results.

Cycles and Sunglasses
Cycles and Sunglasses

Author: Heinrich Kleinschmidt

Publisher: Trafford Publishing

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 84

ISBN-13: 1412046416

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If you've ever wondered what life here on Earth is really about... If you feel the way you are handling life does not work any more... you have already completed the first step of the learning cycle presented in this book. Your meeting this book could be synchronous. This text is meant for mainly two groups of readers. The first group, complacently relaxing on a religious beach, possibly knows they have eternal life. The second group is playing in the esoteric waves or in mysticism. They may be out quite far where the waves are bigger. The book invites both groups to join hands on the spiritual shoreline with your feet firmly balanced on the land and in the sea. This writing does not try to teach you anything. It presents 7 paradigms, viewed as sets of coloured sunglasses. These are as old as humanity. The book reminds you to remember to go on your own journey - to learn your own paradigms. Ones that work for you as you seek your own personal truths, balanced on firm sand underneath your feet. Cycles and Sunglasses raise more questions than answers. It opens up possibilities you may not think about every day. Sometimes with tongue in cheek. The 7 paradigms start off with an assumption that we are spiritual beings. The book presents you with a learning paradigm. It plays around with some of our purposes for being here on Earth, both individually and universally, as One. It reflects on being in the now and on being puppets - puppets of a higher purpose. For more data on your own reflective observation, read the book.