Ein Überblick über die aktuellsten Technologien zum Aufbau einer Handelsstrategie: neuronale Netzwerke, genetische Algorithmen, Expertensysteme, Fuzzy logic und statistische Mustererkennung. Gezeigt wird, wie diese neuen Methoden in klassische Analysenverfahren integriert werden können. Auch Erläuterungen zur Prüfung und Bewertung existierender Systeme kommen nicht zu kurz.
Cutting-edge insight from the leader in trading technology In Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures, noted technical analyst John Ehlers continues to enlighten readers on the art of predicting the market based on tested systems. With application of his engineering expertise, Ehlers explains the latest, most advanced techniques that help traders predict stock and futures markets with surgical precision. Unique new indicators and automatic trading systems are described in text as well as Easy Language and EFS code. The approaches are universal and robust enough to be applied to a full range of market conditions. John F. Ehlers (Santa Barbara, CA) is President of MESA Software (www.mesasoftware.com) and has also written Rocket Science for Traders (0-471-40567-1) as well as numerous articles for Futures and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazines.
Cutting-edge insight from the leader in trading technology In Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures, noted technical analyst John Ehlers continues to enlighten readers on the art of predicting the market based on tested systems. With application of his engineering expertise, Ehlers explains the latest, most advanced techniques that help traders predict stock and futures markets with surgical precision. Unique new indicators and automatic trading systems are described in text as well as Easy Language and EFS code. The approaches are universal and robust enough to be applied to a full range of market conditions. John F. Ehlers (Santa Barbara, CA) is President of MESA Software (www.mesasoftware.com) and has also written Rocket Science for Traders (0-471-40567-1) as well as numerous articles for Futures and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazines.
Recent years have witnessed the advancement of automated algorithmic trading systems as institutional solutions in the form of autobots, black box or expert advisors. However, little research has been done in this area with sufficient evidence to show the efficiency of these systems. This paper builds an automated trading system which implements an optimized genetic-algorithm neural-network (GANN) model with cybernetic concepts and evaluates the success using a modified value-at-risk (MVaR) framework. The cybernetic engine includes a circular causal feedback control feature and a developed golden-ratio estimator, which can be applied to any form of market data in the development of risk-pricing models. The paper applies the Euro and Yen forex rates as data inputs. It is shown that the technique is useful as a trading and volatility control system for institutions including central bank monetary policy as a risk-minimizing strategy. Furthermore, the results are achieved within a 30-second timeframe for an intra-week trading strategy, offering relatively low latency performance. The results show that risk exposures are reduced by four to five times with a maximum possible success rate of 96%, providing evidence for further research and development in this area.
This book is not extensive by any means. There are many great books out there but this book is targeted at traders that seek inspiration for enhancing their trading methods. More importantly, this book is for anyone interested in trading as I have utilized mainly free software (FxPro Quant and MT4). Hence, anyone can read this book and learn from scratch to actually start trading with greater winning probabilities. Creating winning trading strategies is complex and hence automation is implemented, but maintaining an automated system can be tedious, and thus, my endeavor to build a self-learning and enhancing system otherwise known technically as a cybernetic system. The process in creating this book has really helped me solidify my ideas, and I sincerely hope for you as well.
Praise for BUILDING WINNING TRADING SYSTEMS with TradeStation (TM) "This book will prove vital to all systematic traders. Pruitt and Hill share a wealth of innovative timing patterns and fully disclosed trading strategies. For TradeStation(TM) users, there are powerful tutorials on indicator design and system building. The authors' vast expertise will benefit even practiced TradeStation(TM) veterans." -Nelson Freeburg Editor, Formula Research "TradeStation(TM) systems traders will discover a virtual gold mine of knowledge, guidance, and the benefit of vicarious experience from the two foremost experts on the subject in this valuable new addition to trading systems literature. There has long been a notable lack of worthwhile reference material for TradeStation(TM) users, and Building Winning Trading Systems with TradeStation(TM) fills a large void in this area." -Edward Dobson President, Traders Press, Inc. "Building Winning Trading Systems with TradeStation(TM) is filled with useful information and practical real-world examples. I believe TradeStation 6(TM) users will find it a valuable resource." -Bill Cruz Co-CEO, TradeStation(TM) Group, Inc.
Discover the answers to all your computerized trading questions, from basic to advanced, in this ground-breaking new guide to successful day trading. Twenty top experts reveal their techniques and strategies for successful computerized trading in this practical guide.
Most people know there is potential to make big money in the stock market, but they don't know how to get started. This work guides readers step by step through the authors' methods for building rule-based stock market trading systems.
The updated edition of the guide to building trading systems that can keep pace with the market The stock market is constantly evolving, and coupled with the new global economic landscape, traders need to radically rethink the way they do business at home and abroad. Enter Building Winning Trading Systems, Second Edition, the all-new incarnation of the established text on getting the most out of the trading world. With technology now a pervasive element of every aspect of trading, the issue has become how to create a new system that meets the demands of the altered financial climate, and how to make it work. Giving voice to the question on every trader and investor's lips, the book asks, "How can we build a trading system that will be paramount for our increasingly stressed markets?" The answer? Establish mechanical trading systems that remove human emotion from the equation and form the cornerstone of a complete trading plan and with greater agility, characteristics that are more important than ever given the kinetic pace of the markets. Presents an all-new strategy for trading systems that will show traders how to create systems that will work in the twenty first century Expert advice from highly respected trading authority, George Pruitt Includes a new website featuring updated TradeStation code and shows how to use the world's best investment software platform to develop and utilize trading systems that really work Once again paving the way for traders who want to adapt to their environment, Building Winning Trading Systems, Second Edition combines expertise in indicator design and system building in one indispensable volume.
How to Develop a Profitable Trading Strategy Why You Should Do the Opposite of What the Majority of Traders are Trying to Do Traders become active in the stock market for no other reason than to collect points, ticks and pips. As much as possible and as fast as possible. Everything else is pastime and useless analysis. Traders therefore need a method, a system that does exactly that: accumulating small profits permanently, which eventually adds up to a considerable plus in the account. For this to happen, the author takes the classic recommendation "cut your losses and let your profits run" under the magnifying glass. In this book, he does the opposite of this well-meaning advice: keep profits as small as possible and choose losses as great as possible. In the second part of the book, he is investigating a strategy that works with this premise. And the historical backtesting gives him right. When traders do the opposite of what the crowd is trying to do, they finally have success! Table of Contents Part 1: Do the Opposite of What the Crowd of Traders is Trying to Do! 1. What Traders Can Learn from Automatic Trading Systems 2. Do the Opposite of What is in the Trading Books Assertion 1: Cut your Losses and Let your Profits Run Assertion 2: Try to Achieve a Good Risk Reward Ratio Assertion 3: You only Need a Hit Rate of 33.33% 3. Aim for a High Hit Rate 4. Why Trading Strategies with "Good" RRRs Are Usually Unsuccessful 5. Praise of the Take Profit Order 6. Praise of the Automatic Entry Part 2: Trading Strategies with a Small Price Target and a Wide Stop Test 1: German Bund Future, Crossing Moving Average Strategy Test 2: E-Mini, Crossing Moving Average Strategy 1 Test 3: E-Mini, Crossing Moving Average Strategy 2 Conclusion Glossary More Books by Heikin Ashi Trader About the Author
