Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF B-1B Bomber Program

Case Study of Risk Management in the USAF B-1B Bomber Program

Author: Susan J. Bodilly

Publisher:

Published: 1993

Total Pages: 76

ISBN-13:

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This case study was undertaken in conjunction with six others to develop a better understanding of the risks involved in weapon system development and whether government policies effectively aid in the management of those risks to reduce the probability or severity of negative outcomes. The purpose of the larger study of seven Air Force procurement programs is to provide information that might improve the decision environment in which weapon systems are procured and thus to increase the probability of positive outcomes. This case focuses on the procurement of the B-1B bomber and covers the procurement of the entire aircraft platform and its component systems. The B-1B, with a direct program acquisition cost of $20.5 billion in 1981 dollars, represents a mixed array of technical advances depending on the component part examined. The case study identifies risk-related decisions made early in the program prior to or at the start of full-scale development. The assessments of risk and its subsequent management are then tracked to show how the early risk management decisions affected the program. The term risk, as used throughout this paper, is the probability that, given that an activity is undertaken, an event will occur that has negative outcomes for those involved. This case study (1) identifies acquisition practices that shape and manage risk and (2) suggests possible improvements.


The Transformation of American Air Power

The Transformation of American Air Power

Author: Benjamin S. Lambeth

Publisher: Cornell University Press

Published: 2018-10-18

Total Pages: 369

ISBN-13: 1501735950

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Since the unprecedentedly effective performance of the allied air campaign against Iraq during Operation Desert Storm, the role of American air power in future wars has become a topic of often heated public debate. In this balanced appraisal of air power's newly realized strengths in joint warfare, Benjamin Lambeth, a defense analyst and civilian pilot who has flown in most of the equipment described in this book, explores the extent to which the United States can now rely on air-delivered precision weapons in lieu of ground forces to achieve strategic objectives and minimize American casualties.Beginning with the U.S. experience in Southeast Asia and detailing how failures there set the stage for a sweeping refurbishment of the nation's air warfare capability, Lambeth reviews the recent history of American air power, including its role in the Gulf War and in later conflicts in Bosnia, Kosovo, and Serbia. He examines improvements in areas ranging from hardware development to aircrew skills and organizational adaptability.Lambeth acknowledges that the question of whether air power should operate independently or continue to support land operations is likely to remain contentious. He concludes, however, that air power, its strategic effectiveness proven, can now set the conditions for victory even from the outset of combat if applied to its fullest potential.


The F-16 Multinational Staged Improvement Program

The F-16 Multinational Staged Improvement Program

Author: Frank A. Camm

Publisher:

Published: 1993

Total Pages: 134

ISBN-13:

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The F-16 Multinational Staged Improvement Program (MSIP) is the development program that the F-16 program has used to move beyond the F-16A/B. Its primary product has been the F-16C/D, an aircraft whose design evolves over time as new technological capabilities become available or attractive to incorporate in its design. MSIP is the program that F-16C/D developers have used to introduce these capabilities over time. The prime contractor for the F-16, General Dynamics, and the F-16 System Program Office (SPO) formally initiated the program in 1980. This study examines MSIP, giving special attention to means of assessing and managing the risks associated with system development. It is one of seven case studies conducted by RAND for the Air Force to examine the Air Force's management of risk in development programs during the 1980s.


Selected Rand Abstracts

Selected Rand Abstracts

Author: Rand Corporation

Publisher:

Published: 2001

Total Pages: 340

ISBN-13:

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Includes Reports (R-series), Rand Memorandums (RM-series), papers (P-series), and Books.


The Development of the Advanced Medium-range Air-to-air Missile

The Development of the Advanced Medium-range Air-to-air Missile

Author: Kenneth R. Mayer

Publisher:

Published: 1993

Total Pages: 78

ISBN-13:

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In this case study of the AMRAAM program, Mayer examines weapons acquisition as a "political" process involving the perceptions and goals of many organizations. Technologically, the missile is a success, despite a development program that involved major schedule slips, substantial cost growth, and several major redesign efforts. Mayer concludes that external oversight can be counterproductive as it raises the likelihood that the system must respond to forces having little to do with performance or management. For example, overselling the program at the beginning can lead to serious difficulties when the inevitable technical problems make system performance and management look poor in relation to the original promises. In addition, formal structures and procedures designed to reduce uncertainty cannot be relied on to counter optimistic estimates of performance, schedule, or cost. Finally, he concludes that concurrent development programs and fixed price contracts are inappropriate for technically risky programs.


Rand

Rand

Author: Rand Corporation

Publisher:

Published: 1993

Total Pages: 152

ISBN-13:

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British Weapons Acquisition Policy and the Futility of Reform

British Weapons Acquisition Policy and the Futility of Reform

Author: Warren A. Chin

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2019-09-17

Total Pages: 292

ISBN-13: 1351162349

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Originally published in 2004. This incisive work reveals the causes of escalating costs and delays in British defence procurement from 1945 to the present. Tackling a complex subject in a straightforward and readable manner, it considers how successive British governments reacted to this problem, why they adopted the reforms they did and why these reforms failed to have any meaningful effect on the operation of this process. The study draws upon a number of disciplines such as economics, politics and science and engineering to provide a broad synthesis that allows the reader to understand the technicalities of the process. The conclusion reached is that there is no apparent solution to the problem of intergenerational costs of weapons, but that a key to controlling the growing cost of projects during their development lies in the construction of a more effective research and development strategy, a path followed by Margaret Thatcher's predecessors and one that is also being advocated today.