Capital Mobility and the Output-Inflation Tradeoff

Capital Mobility and the Output-Inflation Tradeoff

Author: Prakash Loungani

Publisher:

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 23

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Identifying determinants of the output-inflation tradeoff has long been a key issue in business cycle research. We provide evidence that in countries with greater restrictions on capital mobility, a given reduction in the inflation rate is associated with a smaller loss in output. This result is shown to be consistent with theoretical presumption from a version of the Mundell-Fleming model. Restrictions on capital mobility are measured using the IMF's Annual Report on Exchange Rate Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. Estimates of the output-inflation tradeoff are taken from previous studies, viz., Lucas (1973) and Ball, Mankiw and Romer (1988).


Can Capital Controls Alter the Inflation-unemployment Trade-off?

Can Capital Controls Alter the Inflation-unemployment Trade-off?

Author: Assaf Razin

Publisher:

Published: 1995

Total Pages: 32

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

It is well-known that, in the Mundell-Fleming model, capital mobility creates a channel through which permanent (transitory) shocks to aggregate demand such as fiscal and trade shocks are completely (partially) neutralized by the response of the real exchange rate. An important policy implication of the model which went largely unnoticed is how the transmission of these shocks under different degrees of capital mobility may alter the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, i.e., the Phillips Curve. In the context of the stochastic Mundell-Fleming model, we show that capital controls reduce the output/employment variations at the expense of bigger variations in inflation rates. When the policy maker puts heavier weight on stable employment than on stable inflation, therefore, his/her objective can be attained more easily under capital controls.


Inflation-output Tradeoffs as Equilibrium Outcome of Globalization

Inflation-output Tradeoffs as Equilibrium Outcome of Globalization

Author: Alon Binyamini

Publisher:

Published: 2008

Total Pages: 33

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The paper provides an integrated analysis of globalization effects on the inflation-output tradeoff and monetary policy in the New-Keynesian framework. The prediction of the analysis is threefold. First, labor, goods, and capital mobility flatten the Phillips curve, the tradeoff between inflation and activity. Second, the same globalization forces lead the welfare-based monetary policy to be more aggressive with regard to inflation fluctuations, and at the same time, more benign with respect to the output-gap fluctuations. Third, the equilibrium response of inflation to supply and demand shocks is more moderate, and the response of the output gap to these shocks is more pronounced, when the economy opens up; under such welfare-based monetary policy.


Flattened Inflation-output Tradeoff and Enhanced Anti-inflation Policy

Flattened Inflation-output Tradeoff and Enhanced Anti-inflation Policy

Author: Assaf Razin

Publisher:

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The paper provides a unified analysis of globalization effects on the Phillips curve and monetary policy, in a New-Keynesian framework. The main proposition of the paper is twofold. Labor, goods, and capital mobility flatten the tradeoff between inflation and activity. If policy makers are guided by the welfare criterion of the representative household, globalization forces also lead monetary policy to be more aggressive with regard to inflation fluctuations but, at the same time, more benign with respect to the output-gap fluctuations.


The 'new Keynesian' Phillips Curve

The 'new Keynesian' Phillips Curve

Author: Assaf Razin

Publisher:

Published: 2001

Total Pages: 28

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The paper extends Woodford's (2000) analysis of the closed economy Phillips curve to an open economy with both commodity trade and capital mobility. We show that consumption smoothing, which comes with the opening of the capital market, raises the degree of strategic complementarity among monopolistically competitive suppliers, thus rendering prices more sticky and magnifying output responses to nominal GDP shocks.


Capital Mobility

Capital Mobility

Author: Leonardo Leiderman

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1994-07-14

Total Pages: 400

ISBN-13: 9780521454384

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This edited volume examines capital mobility in both industrialised and developing countries.


Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

Author: Mr.Marco Airaudo

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-03-08

Total Pages: 65

ISBN-13: 1475523165

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.