Alternative Futures of EU Integration After the Covid-19 Pandemic

Alternative Futures of EU Integration After the Covid-19 Pandemic

Author: Andrea Renda

Publisher:

Published: 2023

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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The Covid-19 pandemic is having a profound impact on EU integration, and on the role of the EU in the global governance context. In this report, we present four possible scenarios that may materialize in the coming years, and up to 2040, by using an ‘alternative futures’ approach. This is an exploratory method deployed to develop a better understanding of what may yet happen, as opposed to postulating what is most likely to happen. The project included two digital workshops with the goal to develop a set of scenarios examining the impact of Covid-19 on the potential futures for EU integration. The scenarios, set in the year 2040, aim to communicate a series of alternative worlds that might emerge from developments of internal and external factors. We describe an ‘Optimistic New Deal’ scenario, which portrays a strong EU backed by Member States and leading the world towards tackling global challenges; a ‘Wretched fortress’ scenario, in which the EU faces severe difficulties due to rising Euroscepticism and a significant slowdown in the process of integration; a ‘United Force’ scenario, with the EU focusing on a limited number of global challenges and Member States relying on inter-governmental agreements for a wide array of policy domains; and a ‘Chinese province’ scenario, in which the EU splits, and the Member States that remain merge with a Eurasian bloc under the leadership of an increasingly eco-authoritarian China. The report then explores the consequences of these scenarios for the domains of development and health policy.


The Future of the EU After Brexit, and COVID-19

The Future of the EU After Brexit, and COVID-19

Author: Federico Fabbrini

Publisher:

Published: 2020

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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The paper examines the prospects of European integration after Brexit. It discusses a number of old and new crises faced by the European Union (EU) - including most recently the COVID-19 pandemic - and highlights how these have profoundly shaken the unity of the member states. In particular, the paper claims that three visions of integration are increasingly competing with each other - a first that sees the EU as a polity, a second that sees the EU as a market, and a third which instead uses the EU as a vehicle to entrench authoritarian governance at home. Given these unresolved tensions, it is unsurprising the EU governance system has been unable to effectively tackle subsequent crises, and as such efforts to rethink the EU constitutional architecture - including through a Conference on the Future of Europe - are to be welcome. However, many challenges still surround this defining moment, and therefore the question whether the EU will integrate further, or rather disintegrate, still remains open.


Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040

Author: National Intelligence Council

Publisher: Cosimo Reports

Published: 2021-03

Total Pages: 158

ISBN-13: 9781646794973

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.


European Dream and Reluctant Integration in the 21st Century

European Dream and Reluctant Integration in the 21st Century

Author: Hungdah Su (蘇宏達)

Publisher: 國立臺灣大學出版中心

Published: 2020-10-01

Total Pages: 514

ISBN-13: 9863504149

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To avoid a repeat of those nationalist nightmares, a common European Dream emerged after WWII, which has since developed into some essential doctrines of European integration. This dream-inspired institutionalist context has framed intergovernmental bargaining, sectoral spillovers and transnational cooperation in European integration. The powerful European Dream has even encouraged Europeans toward closer integration, though they were, quite often, very reluctant to go further. This dream-driven approach and reluctant runner’s model have highlighted some fundamental realities of European integration, extremely inspiring for the future of the EU and the ongoing Asian regionalism. This book consists of three parts and thirteen chapters. It aims to explain European integration, the EU’s role in global governance and the EU’s impact upon Asian regionalism with the help of the European Dream approach and reluctant runners’ model. Trump’s unilateralism, the rising tensions between the US and PRC and the COVID-19 pandemic may be a turning point for world politics. Both globalization and global governance have consequently slowed down, giving place to regionalism and inter-regionalism. This book hopes to contribute to the rising debate over European integration, Asian regionalism and EU-Asian inter-regionalism.


Mission Economy

Mission Economy

Author: Mariana Mazzucato

Publisher: HarperCollins

Published: 2021-03-23

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13: 0063046261

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Longlisted for the 2021 Porchlight Business Book Awards, Big Ideas & New Perspectives “She offers something both broad and scarce: a compelling new story about how to create a desirable future.”—New York Times An award-winning author and leading international economist delivers a hard-hitting and much needed critique of modern capitalism in which she argues that, to solve the massive crises facing us, we must be innovative—we must use collaborative, mission-oriented thinking while also bringing a stakeholder view of public private partnerships which means not only taking risks together but also sharing the rewards. Capitalism is in crisis. The rich have gotten richer—the 1 percent, those with more than $1 million, own 44 percent of the world's wealth—while climate change is transforming—and in some cases wiping out—life on the planet. We are plagued by crises threatening our lives, and this situation is unsustainable. But how do we fix these problems decades in the making? Mission Economy looks at the grand challenges facing us in a radically new way. Global warming, pollution, dementia, obesity, gun violence, mobility—these environmental, health, and social dilemmas are huge, complex, and have no simple solutions. Mariana Mazzucato argues we need to think bigger and mobilize our resources in a way that is as bold as inspirational as the moon landing—this time to the most ‘wicked’ social problems of our time.. We can only begin to find answers if we fundamentally restructure capitalism to make it inclusive, sustainable, and driven by innovation that tackles concrete problems from the digital divide, to health pandemics, to our polluted cities. That means changing government tools and culture, creating new markers of corporate governance, and ensuring that corporations, society, and the government coalesce to share a common goal. We did it to go to the moon. We can do it again to fix our problems and improve the lives of every one of us. We simply can no longer afford not to.


Europe's Future

Europe's Future

Author: Sergio Fabbrini

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2019-03-14

Total Pages: 183

ISBN-13: 1316999521

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Sergio Fabbrini proposes a way out of the EU's crises, which have triggered an unprecedented cleavage between 'sovereignist' and 'Europeanist' forces. The intergovernmental governance of the multiple crises of the past decade has led to a division on the very rationale of Europe's integration project. Sovereignism (the expression of nationalistic and populist forces) has demanded more decision-making autonomy for the EU member states, although Europeanism has struggled to make an effective case against this challenge. Fabbrini proposes a new perspective to release the EU from this predicament, involving the decoupling and reforming of the EU: on the one hand, the economic community of the single market (consisting of the current member states of the EU and of others interested in joining or re-joining it); and on the other, the political union (largely based on the eurozone reformed according to an original model of the federal union).


The East Asian Covid-19 Paradox

The East Asian Covid-19 Paradox

Author: Yves Tiberghien

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2022-03-10

Total Pages: 92

ISBN-13: 1108968473

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The Covid-19 pandemic triggered the first global public health emergency since 1918, the greatest economic crisis since the Great Depression, and the greatest geopolitical tensions in decades. Global governance mechanisms failed. Yet, East Asian countries (with caveats) managed to control Covid-19 better than most other countries and to increase their cooperation toward economic integration, despite their position on the security frontline. What explains this East Asian Covid paradox in a region devoid of strong regional institutions? This Element argues that high levels of institutional preparation, social cohesion, and global strategic reinforcement in a context of situational convergence explain the results. It relies on high-level interviews and case studies across the region.


Beyond the Regulatory Polity?

Beyond the Regulatory Polity?

Author: Philipp Genschel

Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 305

ISBN-13: 0199662827

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This volume explores the involvement of the European Union in the exercise of core state powers such as foreign and defense policy, public finance, public administration, and the maintenance of law and order.


Transforming Nations after the COVID-19 Pandemic

Transforming Nations after the COVID-19 Pandemic

Author: Denis H. J. Caro

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2021-01-23

Total Pages: 257

ISBN-13: 3030618102

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In 2020, the world is in the throes of the COVID-19 global pandemic—an epidemic the likes of which humankind has not experienced for decades. This book speaks to common and fundamental underlying issues that national communities face from a humanitarian and planetary systems perspective. From the globalization initiatives of the last decades, a dynamic and interconnected new planetary system order is emerging. This book underscores the need for decent, ethical, healthy, and just societies that enable individuals to reach full human potential. It explores the future directions of 12 Key Strategic Influencer (KSI) nations through 18 systemic factors that will shape the contours of future planetary governance this century. Finally, it proposes a nonconventional systems paradigm to humanitarian challenges.