A Primer on Decision Making
A Primer on Decision Making

Author: James G. March

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

Published: 1994-05-23

Total Pages: 425

ISBN-13: 1439108331

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Building on lecture notes from his acclaimed course at Stanford University, James March provides a brilliant introduction to decision making, a central human activity fundamental to individual, group, organizational, and societal life. March draws on research from all the disciplines of social and behavioral science to show decision making in its broadest context. By emphasizing how decisions are actually made -- as opposed to how they should be made -- he enables those involved in the process to understand it both as observers and as participants. March sheds new light on the decision-making process by delineating four deep issues that persistently divide students of decision making: Are decisions based on rational choices involving preferences and expected consequences, or on rules that are appropriate to the identity of the decision maker and the situation? Is decision making a consistent, clear process or one characterized by ambiguity and inconsistency? Is decision making significant primarily for its outcomes, or for the individual and social meanings it creates and sustains? And finally, are the outcomes of decision processes attributable solely to the actions of individuals, or to the combined influence of interacting individuals, organizations, and societies? March's observations on how intelligence is -- or is not -- achieved through decision making, and possibilities for enhancing decision intelligence, are also provided. March explains key concepts of vital importance to students of decision making and decision makers, such as limited rationality, history-dependent rules, and ambiguity, and weaves these ideas into a full depiction of decision making. He includes a discussion of the modern aspects of several classic issues underlying these concepts, such as the relation between reason and ignorance, intentionality and fate, and meaning and interpretation. This valuable textbook by one of the seminal figures in the history of organizational decision making will be required reading for a new generation of scholars, managers, and other decision makers.

A Decision Making Primer
A Decision Making Primer

Author: G. Claude Wright

Publisher:

Published: 2023-04-25

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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If you often find yourself unraveling messes your poor choices have created, this book is a must read. Speaking to a wide variety of decision-making situations, its seventy seven principles provide the template for what a good decision-maker looks like. As you become aware of the multifaceted nature of some of these concepts, you'll find they apply to an even greater number of circumstances than you might have imagined. Many of the lessons stress the reality that poor decisions bear consequences-and a few of the principles will open your eyes to the presence of subtle, but important nuances that might otherwise escape your notice. These, alone are worth the price of the book. My hope is that this book will wean you from the habit of second guessing yourself and transform you into a competent decision-maker.

Primer on Decision Making
Primer on Decision Making

Author: James G. March

Publisher: Free Press

Published: 2009-01-23

Total Pages: 308

ISBN-13: 9781439157336

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Building on lecture notes from his acclaimed course at Stanford University, James March provides a brilliant introduction to decision making, a central human activity fundamental to individual, group, organizational, and societal life. March draws on research from all the disciplines of social and behavioral science to show decision making in its broadest context. By emphasizing how decisions are actually made -- as opposed to how they should be made -- he enables those involved in the process to understand it both as observers and as participants. March sheds new light on the decision-making process by delineating four deep issues that persistently divide students of decision making: Are decisions based on rational choices involving preferences and expected consequences, or on rules that are appropriate to the identity of the decision maker and the situation? Is decision making a consistent, clear process or one characterized by ambiguity and inconsistency? Is decision making significant primarily for its outcomes, or for the individual and social meanings it creates and sustains? And finally, are the outcomes of decision processes attributable solely to the actions of individuals, or to the combined influence of interacting individuals, organizations, and societies? March's observations on how intelligence is -- or is not -- achieved through decision making, and possibilities for enhancing decision intelligence, are also provided. March explains key concepts of vital importance to students of decision making and decision makers, such as limited rationality, history-dependent rules, and ambiguity, and weaves these ideas into a full depiction of decision making. He includes a discussion of the modern aspects of several classic issues underlying these concepts, such as the relation between reason and ignorance, intentionality and fate, and meaning and interpretation. This valuable textbook by one of the seminal figures in the history of organizational decision making will be required reading for a new generation of scholars, managers, and other decision makers.

Quality Decision Management -The Heart of Effective Futures-Oriented Management
Quality Decision Management -The Heart of Effective Futures-Oriented Management

Author: E.G. Frankel

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2008-12-21

Total Pages: 115

ISBN-13: 1402089961

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Over the years I have worked with or consulted for many managers throughout the world at all levels of industry and government. I have seen who succeeded, achieved goals, and made progress, and who failed or crashed. I have studied their methods of operation and their decision-making approach, as well as the range of people involved in the decision-making. I similarly personally managed large industrial and service organizations and their operations, and found that to succeed and have a content team of collaborators, decision-making had to be joint and delegated to the lowest competent and informed level. Using this approach not only improved the performance of the organization or firm, but also resulted in a more content, professional, cooperative, happy, and competent workforce. In general, people like to assume responsibility, particularly of functions with which they are intimately familiar. They enjoy the role of de- sion-maker and the use of their knowledge and experience in guiding their and related work. Delegation of decision-making not only infuses pride and conte- ment but also assures more informed, timely, and effective implementation of de- sions. It also adds to worker training and education as workers inquire, develop information and use of their own experience in improving their decision-making. Worker pride and feeling of control and involvement lead to contentment and s- isfaction which, in return, pays dividends in worker productivity, morale, retention, and resulting low turnover.

Primer on Risk Analysis
Primer on Risk Analysis

Author: Charles Yoe

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2016-04-19

Total Pages: 248

ISBN-13: 1439857644

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In every decision context there are things we know and things we do not know. Risk analysis uses science and the best available evidence to assess what we know-and it is intentional in the way it addresses the importance of the things we don't know. Primer on Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty lays out the tasks of risk analysis in a

Learn Game Theory
Learn Game Theory

Author: Albert Rutherford

Publisher:

Published: 2021-03-27

Total Pages: 284

ISBN-13:

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Master strategic thinking and gain competitive advantage. Have you ever wondered how to make better decisions and solve problems with more ease? Learn Game Theory shares the well-hidden secrets of great decision-makers.Use Logic and Reason to Manage Uncertainty.Life is full of uncertainty. You don't know what lies ahead. But you can learn to control the controllable by using logic and reason. With the help of this book, you'll discover new ways to think about - and solve - problems more efficiently than ever before. Discover how strategic games model real-life behavior. You would be surprised how many game theory concepts affect your life.Game theory is a management device that helps rational decision-making.Game Theory is a branch of mathematics dedicated to the study of rational, strategic decision-making. You can apply it in many different fields, from psychology, economics, and politics to military strategy, business, and even retail pricing! It focuses on conflict and cooperation between intelligent, rational players, analyzing how to optimize one's decisions, taking into account others' actions.This book won't just give you theoretical knowledge. It will teach you practical life skills! The logical deductions used in game theory can help you learn superior decision-making skills based on strategic analysis.Become Confident in Your Decision-Making Skills.Albert Rutherford is an internationally bestselling author and a retired corporate executive. His books draw on various sources, from corporate system building, strategic analysis, scientific research, and his life experience. He has been building and improving systems his whole adult life and brings his proven advice to you. Predict the future with more accuracy.What's the best way to ask for a raise?How to choose a date spot with your partner avoiding friction?How do top athletes choose their best moves?How do companies like Nike or Adidas optimize their sales strategy?Extraordinary decisions will lead to outstanding success. Use the principles of game theory to have more confidence in your choices. Learn Game Theory is written in a casual, easy-to-follow way, with an abundance of relevant examples. It will help you get shrewd by applying strategic thinking and make better decisions based on logic and analysis. Learn Game Theory and make better business decisions, improve your relationships, understand people around you, and get out of sticky situations more effectively!

The Public Policy Primer
The Public Policy Primer

Author: Xun Wu

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2017-09-14

Total Pages: 138

ISBN-13: 1317229924

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Fully revised for a second edition, this essential guide provides a concise and accessible overview of the public policy process: agenda-setting, policy formulation, decision-making, implementation, and evaluation. The book provides an introduction to the key policy functions, the challenges they entail, and how the challenges may be addressed by policy actors. Written from a comparative perspective, the authors include examples from a diverse range of countries at different stages of development, highlighting key principles and practices through which policy actors can effectively manage their policy processes and outcomes. Key features of the second edition: fully updated and revised content throughout; expanded references and further reading; more guidance towards understanding the key concepts in public policy. This important tool offers students of public policy and policy practitioners guidance on how to make, implement, and evaluate public policies in ways that improve citizens' lives.

Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics
Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics

Author: Michael S. Kramer

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 309

ISBN-13: 3642613721

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Here is a book for clinicians, clinical investigators, trainees, and graduates who wish to develop their proficiency in the planning, execution, and interpretation of clinical and epidemiological research. Emphasis is placed on the design and analysis of research studies involving human subjects where the primary interest concerns principles of analytic (cause-and- effect) inference. The topic is presented from the standpoint of the clinician and assumes no previous knowledge of epidemiology, research design or statistics. Extensive use is made of illustrative examples from a variety of clinical specialties and subspecialties. The book is divided into three parts. Part I deals with epidemiological research design and analytic inference, including such issues as measurement, rates, analytic bias, and the main forms of observational and experimental epidemiological studies. Part II presents the principles and applications of biostatistics, with emphasis on statistical inference. Part III comprises four chapters covering such topics as diagnostic tests, decision analysis, survival (life-table) analysis, and causality.

How Women Decide
How Women Decide

Author: Therese Huston

Publisher: HMH

Published: 2016-05-10

Total Pages: 387

ISBN-13: 0544416104

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“An authoritative guide to help women navigate the workplace and their everyday life with greater success and impact” (Forbes). So, you’ve earned a seat at the table. What happens next? We all face hard decisions every day—and the choices we make, and how others perceive them, can be life changing. There are countless books on how to make those tough calls, but How Women Decide is the first to examine a much overlooked truth: Men and women reach verdicts differently, and often in surprising ways. Stress? It makes women more focused. Confidence? Caution can lead to stronger resolutions. And despite popular misconceptions, women are just as decisive as men—though they may pay for it. Pulling from the latest science on decision-making, as well as lively stories of real women and their experiences, cognitive scientist Therese Huston teaches us how we can better shape our habits, perceptions, and strategies, not just to make the most of our own opportunities, but to reform the culture and bring out the best results—regardless of who’s behind them.