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Author:
Publisher:
Published: 1966
Total Pages: 880
ISBN-13:
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Author: Roger Cooke
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Published: 1991
Total Pages: 334
ISBN-13: 0195064658
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
Author: Alexander Del Mar
Publisher:
Published: 1880
Total Pages: 446
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: William James Milne
Publisher:
Published: 1915
Total Pages: 552
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: United States. Ordnance Dept
Publisher:
Published: 1911
Total Pages: 288
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: United States. Interdepartmental Screw Thread Committee
Publisher:
Published: 1959
Total Pages: 132
ISBN-13:
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Publisher:
Published: 1906
Total Pages: 426
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: United States. Navy Dept
Publisher:
Published: 1867
Total Pages: 330
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Arthur Jackson Barclay
Publisher:
Published: 1914
Total Pages: 202
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Actuarial Society of America
Publisher:
Published: 1915
Total Pages: 478
ISBN-13:
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