Why Individual Business Cycles are Largely Idiosyncratic in Latin America?
Author: Pablo Mejía Reyes
Publisher:
Published: 2001
Total Pages: 40
ISBN-13:
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Regionalization vs. Globalization
Author: Mr.Hideaki Hirata
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2013-01-22
Total Pages: 65
ISBN-13: 1557753288
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAbstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the global, regional, and country-specific factors in explaining business cycles in a large sample of countries and regions over the period 1960–2010. We find that, since the mid-1980s, the importance of regional factors has increased markedly in explaining business cycles especially in regions that experienced a sharp growth in intra-regional trade and financial flows. By contrast, the relative importance of the global factor has declined over the same period. In short, the recent era of globalization has witnessed the emergence of regional business cycles.
Global Business Cycles
Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2008-06-01
Total Pages: 51
ISBN-13: 1451870019
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in key macroeconomic aggregates-output, consumption, and investment-into different factors. These are: (i) a global factor, which picks up fluctuations that are common across all variables and countries; (ii) three group-specific factors, which capture fluctuations that are common to all variables and all countries within each group of countries; (iii) country factors, which are common across all aggregates in a given country; and (iv) idiosyncratic factors specific to each time series. Our main result is that, during the period of globalization (1985-2005), there has been some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among the group of industrial economies and among the group of emerging market economies. Surprisingly, there has been a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor. In other words, there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence (or decoupling) between them.
Commodity Cycles, Inequality, and Poverty in Latin America
Author: Mr. Ravi Balakrishnan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2021-04-26
Total Pages: 123
ISBN-13: 1484326091
DOWNLOAD EBOOKOver the past decades, inequality has risen not just in advanced economies but also in many emerging market and developing economies, becoming one of the key global policy challenges. And throughout the 20th century, Latin America was associated with some of the world’s highest levels of inequality. Yet something interesting happened in the first decade and a half of the 21st century. Latin America was the only region in the World to have experienced significant declines in inequality in that period. Poverty also fell in Latin America, although this was replicated in other regions, and Latin America started from a relatively low base. Starting around 2014, however, and even before the COVID-19 pandemic hit, poverty and inequality gains had already slowed in Latin America and, in some cases, gone into reverse. And the COVID-19 shock, which is still playing out, is likely to dramatically worsen short-term poverty and inequality dynamics. Against this background, this departmental paper investigates the link between commodity prices, and poverty and inequality developments in Latin America.
South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2013
Author: World Bank
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Published: 2013-10-14
Total Pages: 65
ISBN-13: 1464801185
DOWNLOAD EBOOKGlobal capital re-balancing has highlighted structural weakness and vulnerability in South Asia, acting as a wake-up call for policy makers. Given the recent economic turmoil across emerging market economies, this edition's focus section examines the relationship between the transmission of economic shocks from India to the rest of South Asia.
Globalization and Development
Author: José Antonio Ocampo
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Published: 2003
Total Pages: 238
ISBN-13: 9780804749565
DOWNLOAD EBOOKGlobalization and Development draws upon the experiences of the Latin American and Caribbean region to provide a multidimensional assessment of the globalization process from the perspective of developing countries. Based on a study by the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), this book gives a historical overview of economic development in the region and presents both an economic and noneconomic agenda that addresses disparity, respects diversity, and fosters complementarity among regional, national, and international institutions. For orders originating outside of North America, please visit the World Bank website for a list of distributors and geographic discounts at http://publications.worldbank.org/howtoorder or e-mail [email protected].
The Long Shadow of Informality
Author: Franziska Ohnsorge
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Published: 2022-02-09
Total Pages: 397
ISBN-13: 1464817545
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA large percentage of workers and firms operate in the informal economy, outside the line of sight of governments in emerging market and developing economies. This may hold back the recovery in these economies from the deep recessions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic--unless governments adopt a broad set of policies to address the challenges of widespread informality. This study is the first comprehensive analysis of the extent of informality and its implications for a durable economic recovery and for long-term development. It finds that pervasive informality is associated with significantly weaker economic outcomes--including lower government resources to combat recessions, lower per capita incomes, greater poverty, less financial development, and weaker investment and productivity.
Panama
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2013-03-28
Total Pages: 64
ISBN-13: 1484311027
DOWNLOAD EBOOKPanama’s per capita GDP has doubled, driven by a steady rise in public and private investment underpinned by a stable macroeconomic environment and prudent policies. Easy credit and fiscal conditions should continue to support public and private consumption. Further fiscal restraint through better tax administration and expenditure management and enhanced buffers would help cope with adverse spillovers. There is progress in implementing financial sector assessment program (FSAP) recommendations, though there is a need to upgrade financial sector supervision. Improvements in competitiveness and recent education reforms should help sustain growth over the medium term.
Central Banking in Latin America
Author: Mr.Luis Ignacio Jácome
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2015-03-17
Total Pages: 57
ISBN-13: 1484303180
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis paper provides a brief historical journey of central banking in Latin America to shed light on the debate about monetary policy in the post-global financial crisis period. The paper distinguishes three periods in Latin America’s central bank history: the early years, when central banks endorsed the gold standard and coped with the collapse of this monetary system; a second period, in which central banks turned into development banks under the aegis of governments at the expense of increasing inflation; and the “golden years,” when central banks succeeded in preserving price stability in an environment of political independence. The paper concludes by cautioning against overburdening central banks in Latin America with multiple mandates as this could end up undermining their hard-won monetary policy credibility.
Economía 2010
Author: Roberto Rigobón
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Published: 2011-03-09
Total Pages: 163
ISBN-13: 0815721595
DOWNLOAD EBOOKJournal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, Fall 2010 Contents: Editors' Summary Reforming Pensions: Lessons from Economic Theory and Some Policy DirectionsBy Nicholas Barr and Peter Diamond Containing Systemic Risk: Paradigm-Based Perspectives on Regulatory ReformBy Augusto De la Torre and Alain Ize Labor Market Rigidities and Informality in ColombiaBy Camilo Mondragón-Vélez, Ximena Peña, and Daniel Wills Communicational Bias in Monetary Policy: Can Words Forecast Deeds?By Pablo Pincheira and Mauricio Calani
