Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Author: John W. Bodnar

Publisher: Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13:

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Looks at the challenges posed to the intelligence community by the changed strategic circumstances of the information age.


Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age

Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age

Author: Stig Stenslie

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2021-08-05

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 1000426610

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This book examines intelligence analysis in the digital age and demonstrates how intelligence has entered a new era. While intelligence is an ancient activity, the digital age is a relatively new phenomenon. This volume uses the concept of the "digital age" to highlight the increased change, complexity, and pace of information that is now circulated, as new technology has reduced the time it takes to spread news to almost nothing. These factors mean that decision-makers face an increasingly challenging threat environment, which in turn increases the demand for timely, relevant, and reliable intelligence to support policymaking. In this context, the book demonstrates that intelligence places greater demands on analysis work, as the traditional intelligence cycle is no longer adequate as a process description. In the digital age, it is not enough to accumulate as much information as possible to gain a better understanding of the world. To meet customers’ needs, the intelligence process must be centred around the analysis work – which in turn has increased the demand for analysts. Assessments, not least predictions, are now just as important as revealing someone else’s secrets. This volume will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, security studies, and international relations.


Strategic Warning Intelligence

Strategic Warning Intelligence

Author: John A. Gentry

Publisher: Georgetown University Press

Published: 2019-03-01

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 1626166560

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John A. Gentry and Joseph S. Gordon update our understanding of strategic warning intelligence analysis for the twenty-first century. Strategic warning—the process of long-range analysis to alert senior leaders to trending threats and opportunities that require action—is a critical intelligence function. It also is frequently misunderstood and underappreciated. Gentry and Gordon draw on both their practitioner and academic backgrounds to present a history of the strategic warning function in the US intelligence community. In doing so, they outline the capabilities of analytic methods, explain why strategic warning analysis is so hard, and discuss the special challenges strategic warning encounters from senior decision-makers. They also compare how strategic warning functions in other countries, evaluate why the United States has in recent years emphasized current intelligence instead of strategic warning, and recommend warning-related structural and procedural improvements in the US intelligence community. The authors examine historical case studies, including postmortems of warning failures, to provide examples of the analytic points they make. Strategic Warning Intelligence will interest scholars and practitioners and will be an ideal teaching text for intermediate and advanced students.


Terrorism Forecasting

Terrorism Forecasting

Author: Sundri Khalsa

Publisher:

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 100

ISBN-13:

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Accompanying CD-ROM includes a web-based interface and "a 45-minute video that provides an executive summary of the forecasting methodology"--P. 1.


Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Author: John W. Bodnar

Publisher: Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13:

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Looks at the challenges posed to the intelligence community by the changed strategic circumstances of the information age.


The Future of Intelligence

The Future of Intelligence

Author: Isabelle Duyvesteyn

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2014-04-11

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 1135095639

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This volume discusses the challenges the future holds for different aspects of the intelligence process and for organisations working in the field. The main focus of Western intelligence services is no longer on the intentions and capabilities of the Soviet Union and its allies. Instead, at present, there is a plethora of threats and problems that deserve attention. Some of these problems are short-term and potentially acute, such as terrorism. Others, such as the exhaustion of natural resources, are longer-term and by nature often more difficult to foresee in their implications. This book analyses the different activities that make up the intelligence process, or the ‘intelligence cycle’, with a focus on changes brought about by external developments in the international arena, such as technology and security threats. Drawing together a range of key thinkers in the field, The Future of Intelligence examines possible scenarios for future developments, including estimations about their plausibility, and the possible consequences for the functioning of intelligence and security services. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, foreign policy, security studies and IR in general.


Expertise Out of Context

Expertise Out of Context

Author: Robert R. Hoffman

Publisher: Psychology Press

Published: 2007-05-22

Total Pages: 541

ISBN-13: 1136679634

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Researchers have revealed that real expertise, while applied to well-defined tasks with highly circumscribed contexts, often stretches beyond its routine boundaries. For example, a medical doctor may be called upon to diagnose a rare disease or perform emergency surgery outside his or her area of specialization because other experts are not availab